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Wednesday 4 November
🔎 In-depth previews of today’s games
Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Real Madrid | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 4th · 6-3 | 1st · 7-2 |
| Home / away | 3-0 / 3-3 | 6-1 / 1-1 |
| Form (5) | WWWWW | WLWWL |
| Points for / against | 96.2 / 88.0 | 84.6 / 75.0 |
| Net rating | +10.6 (3rd) | +13.0 (1st) |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
Real Madrid: W @ Olimpia Milano 98-89 · W vs ASVEL 111-92 · W @ Maccabi Tel Aviv 113-99 · W @ Baskonia 104-86 · W vs Fenerbahce 95-76
Panathinaikos: W @ Partizan 72-55 · L vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 81-91 · W vs Baskonia 85-79 · W vs Olimpia Milano 80-75 · L @ Anadolu Efes 68-83
Our model gives Real Madrid 67%, with a projected score of 90-86, about 175 total points and a pace of 74.9 possessions. Confidence: medium.
2. What will decide the game
- Panathinaikos on offense, free throws: they rank 1st in the league while Real Madrid's defense ranks only 14th. A clear edge for Panathinaikos.
- Real Madrid on defense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 4th, while Panathinaikos's offense is 12th. Real Madrid can shut this down.
- Pace: Real Madrid play faster (77.9 possessions) than Panathinaikos (73.3). Whoever imposes their tempo takes the first step; the model expects 74.9.
- Absences: Nick Smith Jr (Real Madrid), Mikael Jantunen (Real Madrid), Facundo Campazzo (Real Madrid), Theo Maledon (Real Madrid).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Real Madrid | Panathinaikos | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 123.6 (2nd) | 115.4 (8th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 113.0 (8th) | 102.4 (1st) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 77.9 (1st) | 73.3 (16th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 57.1% (5th) | 54.8% (12th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 61.8% (1st) | 58.7% (11th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 44.8% | 42.4% | – |
| Assist rate | 62.0% (11th) | 63.3% (9th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 15.6% (4th) | 18.5% (17th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 34.5% (9th) | 36.5% (3rd) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 69.6% (3rd) | 66.8% (11th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 31.2% (10th) | 35.5% (1st) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 52.2% (4th) | 49.4% (3rd) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 16.0% (15th) | 19.3% (2nd) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 33.3% (14th) | 26.3% (7th) | 30.4% |
Real Madrid: Strengths: boxes out well and protects the ball.
Panathinaikos: Strengths: gets to the line often and forces turnovers. Weaknesses: turns the ball over a lot.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Real Madrid offense | Panathinaikos defense | Panathinaikos offense | Real Madrid defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 57.1% (5th) | 49.4% (3rd) | 54.8% (12th) | 52.2% (4th) |
| turnovers | 15.6% (4th) | 19.3% (2nd) | 18.5% (17th) | 16.0% (15th) |
| offensive rebounds | 34.5% (9th) | 33.2% (11th) | 36.5% (3rd) | 30.4% (3rd) |
| free throws | 31.2% (10th) | 26.3% (7th) | 35.5% (1st) | 33.3% (14th) |
4. Shots and zones
Real Madrid take 13% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 88% (league 78%), and Panathinaikos allow 83% there. That is Real Madrid's biggest edge.
Panathinaikos take 17% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 73% (league 78%), and Real Madrid allow 89% there. That is Panathinaikos's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Real Madrid | 13% · 88% | 34% · 49% | 8% · 27% | 4% · 35% | 32% · 39% | 8% · 46% |
| Defense Panathinaikos | 17% · 83% | 31% · 43% | 9% · 41% | 10% · 29% | 25% · 28% | 9% · 29% |
| Offense Panathinaikos | 17% · 73% | 29% · 52% | 11% · 50% | 8% · 39% | 25% · 35% | 9% · 27% |
| Defense Real Madrid | 13% · 89% | 35% · 43% | 14% · 41% | 3% · 63% | 25% · 34% | 11% · 31% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Real Madrid: 4% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Panathinaikos: 8% of shots in transition and 8% on second chances. Shot chart Real Madrid · Shot chart Panathinaikos
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Real Madrid
Best lineups
- Gabriele Procida, Jaime Pradilla, Andres Feliz, Maksym Shulga, Damian Jones: +154.6 net in 2 possessions
On/Off
- Alberto Abalde: the team is +25.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Theo Maledon (out): the team is +24.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Facundo Campazzo (out): the team is 17.5 better with him off the court
Real Madrid: very few clutch minutes this season.
Panathinaikos
Best lineups
- Mathias Lessort, Isaac Bonga, Brancou Badio, Sylvain Francisco, Nigel Hayes-Davis: +46.1 net in 46 possessions
- Konstantinos Mitoglou, Eleftherios Mantzoukas, Guerschon Yabusele, Jerian Grant, Panagiotis Kalaitzakis: +34.9 net in 98 possessions
On/Off
- Juancho Hernangomez: the team is +23.4 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Brancou Badio: the team is +16.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Guerschon Yabusele: the team is 26.0 better with him off the court
Panathinaikos: 0.0 net in 23 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 28-28 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Real Madrid
- Walter Tavares Centers: 10.2 pts, 7.4 reb, 0.1 ast, 16.0 PIR
- Andres Feliz Guards: 12.1 pts, 3.1 reb, 3.6 ast, 12.9 PIR
- Chuma Okeke Centers: 7.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.1 ast, 9.4 PIR
- Alberto Abalde Forwards: 6.2 pts, 2.3 reb, 1.4 ast, 6.7 PIR
Panathinaikos
- Mathias Lessort Centers: 11.8 pts, 7.4 reb, 1.4 ast, 19.8 PIR
- Sylvain Francisco Guards: 13.2 pts, 2.2 reb, 4.8 ast, 13.8 PIR
- Nigel Hayes-Davis Forwards: 12.9 pts, 3.6 reb, 0.7 ast, 11.6 PIR
- Guerschon Yabusele Forwards: 9.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.2 ast, 10.1 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Real Madrid produce | Panathinaikos allow | Panathinaikos produce | Real Madrid allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 12.9 | 27.0 | 27.7 | 36.9 |
| Forwards | 18.3 | 28.6 | 38.4 | 30.2 |
| Centers | 30.4 | 14.3 | 22.6 | 16.9 |
The most open matchup: Panathinaikos's forwards (38.4 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 30.2 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Real Madrid
- Nick Smith Jr: Injured: Discomfort in the sole of the right foot
- Mikael Jantunen: Injured: Complete plantar fascia tear in the left foot, out 2-3 months · Expected back: January 2027
- Facundo Campazzo: Injured: Muscle injury, awaiting tests on its severity
- Theo Maledon: Injured: Right knee sprain, no timetable for his return
Panathinaikos
- Eleftherios Mantzoukas: Has missed his team's last 3 games
Real Madrid will be without players who took 31% of their recent minutes.
According to the model, each absence shifts the expected margin by: Theo Maledon 0.6 points · Facundo Campazzo 0.5 points.
8. Head-to-head
In their last 7 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Real Madrid 2, Panathinaikos 5.
- 2026-02-03: Panathinaikos – Real Madrid 82-81
- 2025-11-13: Real Madrid – Panathinaikos 77-87
- 2025-03-06: Panathinaikos – Real Madrid 85-70
- 2024-10-17: Real Madrid – Panathinaikos 90-86
- 2024-05-26: Real Madrid – Panathinaikos 80-95
- 2024-02-29: Real Madrid – Panathinaikos 86-97
- 2023-12-07: Panathinaikos – Real Madrid 78-90
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Real Madrid 67% – Panathinaikos 33%, a score of about 90-86. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Thursday 5 November
🔎 In-depth previews of today’s games
Anadolu Efes vs Paris Basketball: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Anadolu Efes | Paris Basketball | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 14th · 4-5 | 16th · 3-6 |
| Home / away | 3-1 / 1-4 | 1-4 / 2-2 |
| Form (5) | LWWLW | LLLWW |
| Points for / against | 83.6 / 86.2 | 88.3 / 92.9 |
| Net rating | -3.5 (14th) | -5.9 (15th) |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
Anadolu Efes: L vs Bayern Munich 93-101 · W @ Zalgiris 85-70 · W vs Besiktas 89-80 · L @ Hapoel Tel Aviv 88-118 · W vs Panathinaikos 83-68
Paris Basketball: L vs Virtus Bologna 94-96 · L @ Crvena Zvezda 81-90 · L vs Valencia Basket 93-104 · W @ Dubai Basketball 99-93 · W @ Maccabi Tel Aviv 99-94
Our model gives Anadolu Efes 63%, with a projected score of 90-87, about 178 total points and a pace of 78.0 possessions. Confidence: medium.
2. What will decide the game
- Anadolu Efes on defense, free throws: they rank 2nd, while Paris Basketball's offense is 20th. Anadolu Efes can shut this down.
- Paris Basketball on defense, turnovers: they rank 7th, while Anadolu Efes's offense is 15th. Paris Basketball can shut this down.
- Anadolu Efes on defense, turnovers: they rank 5th, while Paris Basketball's offense is 12th. Anadolu Efes can shut this down.
- Absences: Pj Dozier (Anadolu Efes).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Anadolu Efes | Paris Basketball | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 109.3 (18th) | 114.5 (12th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 112.8 (7th) | 120.4 (14th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 76.5 (5th) | 77.2 (3rd) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 52.5% (14th) | 55.3% (11th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 57.6% (13th) | 57.3% (14th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 38.8% | 48.3% | – |
| Assist rate | 65.2% (5th) | 61.4% (14th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 18.3% (15th) | 17.9% (12th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 27.8% (20th) | 35.8% (5th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 68.4% (7th) | 61.9% (19th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 32.8% (6th) | 21.1% (20th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 55.4% (11th) | 56.2% (13th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 18.3% (5th) | 17.7% (7th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 25.2% (2nd) | 32.5% (12th) | 30.4% |
Anadolu Efes: Strengths: forces turnovers. Weaknesses: few offensive rebounds.
Paris Basketball: Strengths: strong on second chances. Weaknesses: rarely gets to the line and concedes second chances.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Anadolu Efes offense | Paris Basketball defense | Paris Basketball offense | Anadolu Efes defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 52.5% (14th) | 56.2% (13th) | 55.3% (11th) | 55.4% (11th) |
| turnovers | 18.3% (15th) | 17.7% (7th) | 17.9% (12th) | 18.3% (5th) |
| offensive rebounds | 27.8% (20th) | 38.1% (19th) | 35.8% (5th) | 31.6% (7th) |
| free throws | 32.8% (6th) | 32.5% (12th) | 21.1% (20th) | 25.2% (2nd) |
4. Shots and zones
Anadolu Efes take 29% of their shots in the paint (league 30%) at 42% (league 47%), and Paris Basketball allow 53% there. That is Anadolu Efes's biggest edge.
Paris Basketball take 32% of their shots in the paint (league 30%) at 51% (league 47%), and Anadolu Efes allow 48% there. That is Paris Basketball's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Anadolu Efes | 21% · 81% | 29% · 42% | 11% · 39% | 6% · 32% | 25% · 30% | 8% · 37% |
| Defense Paris Basketball | 14% · 76% | 35% · 53% | 11% · 43% | 6% · 29% | 27% · 40% | 7% · 35% |
| Offense Paris Basketball | 13% · 84% | 32% · 51% | 7% · 48% | 7% · 36% | 34% · 35% | 8% · 32% |
| Defense Anadolu Efes | 16% · 76% | 30% · 48% | 11% · 45% | 8% · 37% | 23% · 38% | 12% · 34% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Anadolu Efes: 8% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Paris Basketball: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart Anadolu Efes · Shot chart Paris Basketball
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Anadolu Efes
Best lineups
- Dario Saric, Mike James, Matthew Strazel, Collin Malcolm, Bruno Fernando: +28.0 net in 46 possessions
- Dario Saric, Matthew Strazel, Collin Malcolm, Bruno Fernando, Cameron Payne: +13.2 net in 38 possessions
On/Off
- Mike James: the team is +31.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Daron Russell: the team is +28.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Collin Malcolm: the team is 11.1 better with him off the court
Anadolu Efes: -21.6 net in 28 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 29-35 in points.
Paris Basketball
Best lineups
- Daulton Hommes, Mouhamed Faye, Terry Tarpey, Sebastian Herrera, Tyson Etienne: -9.3 net in 32 possessions
On/Off
- Nadir Hifi: the team is +48.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Terry Tarpey: the team is +45.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Joel Ayayi: the team is 50.5 better with him off the court
Paris Basketball: +29.2 net in 34 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 48-38 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Anadolu Efes
- Dario Saric Forwards: 11.6 pts, 6.6 reb, 1.8 ast, 14.9 PIR
- Collin Malcolm Forwards: 9.4 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.9 ast, 12.1 PIR
- Matthew Strazel Guards: 11.6 pts, 1.4 reb, 4.0 ast, 11.8 PIR
- Cameron Payne Guards: 15.0 pts, 0.8 reb, 4.0 ast, 11.2 PIR
Paris Basketball
- Nadir Hifi Guards: 21.2 pts, 1.7 reb, 2.7 ast, 17.5 PIR
- Tj Warren Forwards: 13.0 pts, 2.6 reb, 1.0 ast, 11.4 PIR
- Allan Dokossi Centers: 6.0 pts, 5.4 reb, 2.2 ast, 11.0 PIR
- Jared Rhoden Guards: 13.1 pts, 3.6 reb, 2.4 ast, 10.9 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Anadolu Efes produce | Paris Basketball allow | Paris Basketball produce | Anadolu Efes allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 30.1 | 44.2 | 46.3 | 45.2 |
| Forwards | 33.6 | 38.8 | 20.8 | 23.4 |
| Centers | 17.2 | 20.1 | 20.9 | 18.7 |
The most open matchup: Paris Basketball's guards (46.3 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 45.2 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Anadolu Efes
- Pj Dozier: Injured: Back, out 1-2 weeks · Expected back: 13 November
Paris Basketball
- Tj Warren: Has missed his team's last 4 games
8. Head-to-head
In their last 4 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Anadolu Efes 1, Paris Basketball 3.
- 2026-01-07: Anadolu Efes – Paris Basketball 79-84
- 2025-10-28: Paris Basketball – Anadolu Efes 80-90
- 2025-01-14: Paris Basketball – Anadolu Efes 88-84
- 2024-11-21: Anadolu Efes – Paris Basketball 84-93
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Anadolu Efes 63% – Paris Basketball 37%, a score of about 90-87. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Fenerbahce vs Baskonia: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Fenerbahce | Baskonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 7th · 6-3 | 20th · 1-8 |
| Home / away | 5-0 / 1-3 | 1-4 / 0-4 |
| Form (5) | WWWLL | LLLLL |
| Points for / against | 79.9 / 76.6 | 83.1 / 94.1 |
| Net rating | +4.6 (7th) | -14.2 (20th) |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
Fenerbahce: W vs Zalgiris 99-80 · W vs Partizan 74-65 · W @ Olympiacos 64-61 · L @ Valencia Basket 78-86 · L @ Real Madrid 76-95
Baskonia: L vs Dubai Basketball 79-93 · L @ Virtus Bologna 78-86 · L @ Panathinaikos 79-85 · L vs Real Madrid 86-104 · L @ ASVEL 79-94
Our model gives Fenerbahce 85%, with a projected score of 88-78, about 166 total points and a pace of 75.0 possessions. Confidence: high.
2. What will decide the game
- Fenerbahce on defense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 2nd, while Baskonia's offense is 20th. Fenerbahce can shut this down.
- Fenerbahce on defense, turnovers: they rank 9th, while Baskonia's offense is 20th. Fenerbahce can shut this down.
- Baskonia on offense, free throws: they rank 5th in the league while Fenerbahce's defense ranks only 16th. A clear edge for Baskonia.
- Pace: Baskonia play faster (77.2 possessions) than Fenerbahce (72.0). Whoever imposes their tempo takes the first step; the model expects 75.0.
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Fenerbahce | Baskonia | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 110.9 (17th) | 107.6 (19th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 106.3 (3rd) | 121.9 (17th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 72.0 (20th) | 77.2 (2nd) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 51.9% (17th) | 50.4% (20th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 55.8% (18th) | 55.4% (19th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 43.7% | 41.7% | – |
| Assist rate | 62.0% (10th) | 69.0% (3rd) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 17.6% (10th) | 19.9% (20th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 33.7% (11th) | 34.0% (10th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 66.4% (13th) | 65.4% (15th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 29.8% (13th) | 32.9% (5th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 48.5% (2nd) | 58.2% (17th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 17.4% (9th) | 17.0% (12th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 33.9% (16th) | 33.3% (15th) | 30.4% |
Fenerbahce: Strengths: holds opponents to poor shooting. Weaknesses: poor shooting.
Baskonia: Strengths: gets to the line often. Weaknesses: poor shooting and turns the ball over a lot.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Fenerbahce offense | Baskonia defense | Baskonia offense | Fenerbahce defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 51.9% (17th) | 58.2% (17th) | 50.4% (20th) | 48.5% (2nd) |
| turnovers | 17.6% (10th) | 17.0% (12th) | 19.9% (20th) | 17.4% (9th) |
| offensive rebounds | 33.7% (11th) | 34.6% (15th) | 34.0% (10th) | 33.6% (13th) |
| free throws | 29.8% (13th) | 33.3% (15th) | 32.9% (5th) | 33.9% (16th) |
4. Shots and zones
Fenerbahce take 26% of their shots in the paint (league 30%) at 48% (league 47%), and Baskonia allow 54% there. That is Fenerbahce's biggest edge.
Baskonia take 15% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 82% (league 78%), and Fenerbahce allow 74% there. That is Baskonia's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Fenerbahce | 19% · 77% | 26% · 48% | 11% · 42% | 8% · 34% | 24% · 28% | 12% · 34% |
| Defense Baskonia | 16% · 82% | 38% · 54% | 9% · 35% | 1% · 63% | 28% · 37% | 8% · 41% |
| Offense Baskonia | 15% · 82% | 35% · 47% | 8% · 37% | 3% · 53% | 31% · 29% | 8% · 23% |
| Defense Fenerbahce | 18% · 74% | 28% · 42% | 15% · 41% | 5% · 32% | 24% · 29% | 10% · 28% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Fenerbahce: 7% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Baskonia: 6% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart Fenerbahce · Shot chart Baskonia
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Fenerbahce
Best lineups
- Nicolo Melli, Will Clyburn, Shane Larkin, Shavon Shields, Wade Baldwin Iv: +15.8 net in 32 possessions
- Sertac Sanli, Shavon Shields, Trent Forrest, Talen Horton Tucker, Braxton Key: +3.9 net in 51 possessions
On/Off
- Wade Baldwin Iv: the team is +23.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Nicolo Melli: the team is +17.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Braxton Key: the team is 17.5 better with him off the court
Fenerbahce: +32.4 net in 25 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 31-23 in points.
Baskonia
Best lineups
- Matteo Spagnolo, Kenneth Faried, Dj Stewart, Kobi Simmons, A.J. Lawson: -13.7 net in 29 possessions
- Rodions Kurucs, Tadas Sedekerskis, Dj Stewart, Kobi Simmons, Chris Duarte: +44.2 net in 20 possessions
On/Off
- Rodions Kurucs: the team is +31.6 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Marcio Santos: the team is +25.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Dj Stewart: the team is 30.0 better with him off the court
Baskonia: -31.4 net in 19 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 16-22 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Fenerbahce
- Shavon Shields Forwards: 11.9 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.6 ast, 14.6 PIR
- Wade Baldwin Iv Guards: 11.7 pts, 3.1 reb, 4.9 ast, 13.8 PIR
- Talen Horton Tucker Guards: 10.6 pts, 3.4 reb, 2.1 ast, 11.1 PIR
- Will Clyburn Forwards: 10.1 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.6 ast, 10.1 PIR
Baskonia
- Tadas Sedekerskis Forwards: 10.1 pts, 4.7 reb, 0.3 ast, 13.0 PIR
- Kenneth Faried Centers: 8.7 pts, 5.9 reb, 0.7 ast, 12.9 PIR
- Chris Duarte Forwards: 10.7 pts, 4.3 reb, 1.8 ast, 11.7 PIR
- A.J. Lawson Forwards: 12.9 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.1 ast, 10.2 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Fenerbahce produce | Baskonia allow | Baskonia produce | Fenerbahce allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 35.4 | 44.2 | 15.1 | 28.8 |
| Forwards | 40.6 | 35.2 | 47.6 | 23.1 |
| Centers | 8.1 | 31.1 | 12.9 | 22.0 |
The most open matchup: Fenerbahce's guards (35.4 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 44.2 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Fenerbahce
- No known absences
Baskonia
- Rodions Kurucs: Has missed his team's last 2 games
- Chris Duarte: Has missed his team's last 3 games
- Tadas Sedekerskis: Has missed his team's last 2 games
8. Head-to-head
In their last 6 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Fenerbahce 4, Baskonia 2.
- 2026-01-23: Fenerbahce – Baskonia 84-71
- 2026-01-02: Baskonia – Fenerbahce 93-108
- 2025-03-28: Fenerbahce – Baskonia 82-77
- 2024-12-03: Baskonia – Fenerbahce 88-76
- 2024-03-01: Fenerbahce – Baskonia 111-96
- 2023-12-06: Baskonia – Fenerbahce 80-79
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Fenerbahce 85% – Baskonia 15%, a score of about 88-78. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Barcelona: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 6th · 6-3 | 8th · 6-3 |
| Home / away | 4-1 / 2-2 | 3-2 / 3-1 |
| Form (5) | WWWWL | WLWWW |
| Points for / against | 92.3 / 87.3 | 90.8 / 88.6 |
| Net rating | +6.6 (6th) | +3.0 (9th) |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
Hapoel Tel Aviv: W vs Besiktas 100-82 · W @ Panathinaikos 91-81 · W vs Virtus Bologna 90-81 · W vs Anadolu Efes 118-88 · L @ Dubai Basketball 83-97
Barcelona: W vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 90-87 · L vs Olympiacos 100-105 · W @ Olimpia Milano 89-81 · W @ Bayern Munich 88-84 · W vs Valencia Basket 98-94
Our model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv 64%, with a projected score of 90-85, about 175 total points and a pace of 74.9 possessions. Confidence: medium.
2. What will decide the game
- Barcelona on offense, turnovers: they rank 7th in the league while Hapoel Tel Aviv's defense ranks only 19th. A clear edge for Barcelona.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 4th in the league while Barcelona's defense ranks only 12th. A clear edge for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on offense, turnovers: they rank 1st in the league while Barcelona's defense ranks only 8th. A clear edge for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Barcelona | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 122.4 (3rd) | 121.1 (4th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 115.8 (9th) | 118.2 (13th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 75.4 (9th) | 73.9 (14th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 57.4% (4th) | 57.9% (1st) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 61.0% (2nd) | 60.6% (4th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 38.8% | 43.1% | – |
| Assist rate | 50.5% (19th) | 49.5% (20th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 12.7% (1st) | 15.7% (7th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 28.4% (19th) | 34.5% (8th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 69.0% (5th) | 65.4% (15th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 28.6% (15th) | 25.8% (19th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 52.5% (5th) | 56.0% (12th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 14.6% (19th) | 17.6% (8th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 33.9% (17th) | 29.2% (9th) | 30.4% |
Hapoel Tel Aviv: Strengths: protects the ball and efficient shooting. Weaknesses: few offensive rebounds and forces few turnovers.
Barcelona: Strengths: efficient shooting. Weaknesses: rarely gets to the line and concedes second chances.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Hapoel Tel Aviv offense | Barcelona defense | Barcelona offense | Hapoel Tel Aviv defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 57.4% (4th) | 56.0% (12th) | 57.9% (1st) | 52.5% (5th) |
| turnovers | 12.7% (1st) | 17.6% (8th) | 15.7% (7th) | 14.6% (19th) |
| offensive rebounds | 28.4% (19th) | 34.6% (15th) | 34.5% (8th) | 31.0% (5th) |
| free throws | 28.6% (15th) | 29.2% (9th) | 25.8% (19th) | 33.9% (17th) |
4. Shots and zones
Hapoel Tel Aviv take 9% of their shots top-of-the-key threes (league 9%) at 49% (league 35%), and Barcelona allow 38% there. That is Hapoel Tel Aviv's biggest edge.
Barcelona take 12% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 86% (league 78%), and Hapoel Tel Aviv allow 80% there. That is Barcelona's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Hapoel Tel Aviv | 21% · 82% | 32% · 41% | 8% · 40% | 6% · 41% | 24% · 38% | 9% · 49% |
| Defense Barcelona | 13% · 76% | 35% · 50% | 10% · 45% | 7% · 41% | 26% · 37% | 10% · 38% |
| Offense Barcelona | 12% · 86% | 32% · 53% | 13% · 46% | 6% · 41% | 29% · 38% | 9% · 37% |
| Defense Hapoel Tel Aviv | 21% · 80% | 28% · 40% | 14% · 38% | 5% · 42% | 24% · 31% | 8% · 40% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Hapoel Tel Aviv: 4% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Barcelona: 5% of shots in transition and 8% on second chances. Shot chart Hapoel Tel Aviv · Shot chart Barcelona
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best lineups
- Tomas Satoransky, Zach Leday, Elijah Bryant, Dan Oturu, Amir Coffey: +2.2 net in 46 possessions
- Vasilije Micic, Tomas Satoransky, Zach Leday, Elijah Bryant, Dan Oturu: -20.5 net in 54 possessions
On/Off
- Tai Odiase: the team is +22.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Zach Leday: the team is +21.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Bruno Caboclo: the team is 41.2 better with him off the court
Hapoel Tel Aviv: +45.1 net in 20 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 31-22 in points.
Barcelona
Best lineups
- Joel Parra, Olek Balcerowski, Kevin Punter, Justin Robinson, Tyrese Martin: +37.1 net in 54 possessions
- Joel Parra, Olek Balcerowski, Kevin Punter, Justin Robinson, Justin Minaya: -9.7 net in 31 possessions
On/Off
- Josh Nebo: the team is +16.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Kevin Punter: the team is +11.1 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Justin Robinson: the team is 12.0 better with him off the court
Barcelona: -9.1 net in 55 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 71-76 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Elijah Bryant Guards: 13.7 pts, 5.7 reb, 4.2 ast, 20.7 PIR
- Zach Leday Forwards: 11.9 pts, 4.4 reb, 0.7 ast, 14.3 PIR
- Dan Oturu Centers: 11.0 pts, 5.7 reb, 0.6 ast, 13.3 PIR
- Antonio Blakeney Guards: 15.0 pts, 2.0 reb, 1.1 ast, 12.6 PIR
Barcelona
- Kevin Punter Guards: 16.7 pts, 2.0 reb, 2.3 ast, 15.8 PIR
- Justin Robinson Guards: 13.0 pts, 1.7 reb, 3.9 ast, 13.2 PIR
- Umoja Gibson Guards: 10.5 pts, 2.5 reb, 2.9 ast, 13.0 PIR
- Josh Nebo Centers: 7.7 pts, 7.2 reb, 0.8 ast, 12.8 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Hapoel Tel Aviv produce | Barcelona allow | Barcelona produce | Hapoel Tel Aviv allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 57.2 | 38.0 | 45.6 | 34.4 |
| Forwards | 19.2 | 32.2 | 28.1 | 26.9 |
| Centers | 22.4 | 21.7 | 16.2 | 24.9 |
The most open matchup: Hapoel Tel Aviv's guards (57.2 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 38.0 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- No known absences
Barcelona
- No known absences
8. Head-to-head
In their last 2 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Hapoel Tel Aviv 2, Barcelona 0.
- 2026-03-13: Barcelona – Hapoel Tel Aviv 75-80
- 2025-09-30: Hapoel Tel Aviv – Barcelona 103-87
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Hapoel Tel Aviv 64% – Barcelona 36%, a score of about 90-85. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
ASVEL vs Bayern Munich: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| ASVEL | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 15th · 4-5 | 18th · 2-7 |
| Home / away | 3-2 / 1-3 | 0-4 / 2-3 |
| Form (5) | LLLWW | WLLLL |
| Points for / against | 87.6 / 92.3 | 85.4 / 94.4 |
| Net rating | -6.3 (16th) | -12.0 (19th) |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
ASVEL: L vs Crvena Zvezda 82-84 · L @ Real Madrid 92-111 · L @ Zalgiris 85-105 · W vs Partizan 82-75 · W vs Baskonia 94-79
Bayern Munich: W @ Anadolu Efes 101-93 · L @ Besiktas 87-95 · L vs Dubai Basketball 91-107 · L vs Barcelona 84-88 · L @ Crvena Zvezda 73-103
Our model gives ASVEL 57%, with a projected score of 90-87, about 176 total points and a pace of 75.6 possessions. Confidence: low.
2. What will decide the game
- ASVEL on defense, turnovers: they rank 3rd, while Bayern Munich's offense is 19th. ASVEL can shut this down.
- ASVEL on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 3rd in the league while Bayern Munich's defense ranks only 18th. A clear edge for ASVEL.
- Bayern Munich on defense, free throws: they rank 8th, while ASVEL's offense is 17th. Bayern Munich can shut this down.
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| ASVEL | Bayern Munich | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 115.0 (9th) | 113.8 (14th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 121.3 (16th) | 125.8 (20th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 76.1 (7th) | 75.1 (11th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 57.7% (3rd) | 55.5% (10th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 60.4% (6th) | 59.8% (8th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 41.5% | 41.2% | – |
| Assist rate | 69.1% (2nd) | 64.3% (8th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 18.1% (13th) | 19.1% (19th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 29.7% (16th) | 31.7% (14th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 59.0% (20th) | 64.7% (17th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 28.1% (17th) | 29.9% (12th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 57.9% (16th) | 59.7% (18th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 18.7% (3rd) | 16.1% (14th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 29.7% (10th) | 28.8% (8th) | 30.4% |
ASVEL: Strengths: efficient shooting and forces turnovers. Weaknesses: concedes second chances and rarely gets to the line.
Bayern Munich: Weaknesses: turns the ball over a lot and allows easy shots.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | ASVEL offense | Bayern Munich defense | Bayern Munich offense | ASVEL defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 57.7% (3rd) | 59.7% (18th) | 55.5% (10th) | 57.9% (16th) |
| turnovers | 18.1% (13th) | 16.1% (14th) | 19.1% (19th) | 18.7% (3rd) |
| offensive rebounds | 29.7% (16th) | 35.3% (17th) | 31.7% (14th) | 41.0% (20th) |
| free throws | 28.1% (17th) | 28.8% (8th) | 29.9% (12th) | 29.7% (10th) |
4. Shots and zones
ASVEL take 26% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 42% (league 35%), and Bayern Munich allow 37% there. That is ASVEL's biggest edge.
Bayern Munich take 25% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 40% (league 35%), and ASVEL allow 37% there. That is Bayern Munich's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense ASVEL | 18% · 69% | 25% · 53% | 15% · 39% | 8% · 50% | 26% · 42% | 8% · 32% |
| Defense Bayern Munich | 20% · 84% | 26% · 48% | 10% · 51% | 9% · 42% | 25% · 37% | 10% · 37% |
| Offense Bayern Munich | 17% · 76% | 30% · 48% | 12% · 47% | 7% · 37% | 25% · 40% | 9% · 28% |
| Defense ASVEL | 21% · 68% | 25% · 54% | 8% · 35% | 6% · 49% | 32% · 37% | 7% · 48% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
ASVEL: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Bayern Munich: 6% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart ASVEL · Shot chart Bayern Munich
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
ASVEL
Best lineups
- Joel Bolomboy, Both Gach, Hugo Besson, Tremont Waters, Jae Crowder: +6.6 net in 61 possessions
- Joel Bolomboy, Both Gach, Marc-Owen Fodzo Dada, Patty Mills, Jae Crowder: -43.2 net in 32 possessions
On/Off
- Patty Mills: the team is +29.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Tyty Washington Jr: the team is +25.4 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Both Gach: the team is 34.0 better with him off the court
ASVEL: +43.6 net in 30 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 36-23 in points.
Bayern Munich
Best lineups
- Andreas Obst, Johannes Voigtmann, Rokas Jokubaitis, Miles Norris, Marjon Beauchamp: +3.9 net in 25 possessions
- Vladimir Lucic, Johannes Thiemann, Oscar Da Silva, Kamar Baldwin, Justinian Jessup: +56.3 net in 25 possessions
On/Off
- Tobias Jensen: the team is +45.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Justinian Jessup: the team is +28.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Austin Wiley: the team is 26.4 better with him off the court
Bayern Munich: -32.8 net in 34 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 30-41 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
ASVEL
- Patty Mills Guards: 15.1 pts, 0.6 reb, 2.3 ast, 14.5 PIR
- Tyty Washington Jr Guards: 10.8 pts, 2.6 reb, 4.4 ast, 13.4 PIR
- Hugo Besson Guards: 11.7 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.0 ast, 12.3 PIR
- Jae Crowder Forwards: 10.9 pts, 4.3 reb, 3.4 ast, 11.3 PIR
Bayern Munich
- Johannes Thiemann Centers: 8.8 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.4 ast, 11.8 PIR
- Duane Washington Guards: 15.3 pts, 0.8 reb, 2.9 ast, 10.8 PIR
- Oscar Da Silva Forwards: 7.5 pts, 2.3 reb, 0.8 ast, 9.3 PIR
- Vladimir Lucic Forwards: 5.9 pts, 2.4 reb, 0.8 ast, 8.2 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | ASVEL produce | Bayern Munich allow | Bayern Munich produce | ASVEL allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 45.8 | 48.3 | 29.4 | 36.4 |
| Forwards | 36.0 | 27.7 | 26.3 | 39.9 |
| Centers | 8.6 | 28.8 | 25.0 | 22.6 |
The most open matchup: ASVEL's guards (45.8 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 48.3 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
ASVEL
- Myles Cale: Has missed his team's last 2 games
Bayern Munich
- No known absences
8. Head-to-head
In their last 6 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): ASVEL 2, Bayern Munich 4.
- 2026-03-26: Bayern Munich – ASVEL 93-83
- 2025-12-17: ASVEL – Bayern Munich 76-74
- 2025-02-06: Bayern Munich – ASVEL 76-67
- 2024-11-01: ASVEL – Bayern Munich 71-84
- 2024-01-25: Bayern Munich – ASVEL 64-76
- 2023-11-23: ASVEL – Bayern Munich 100-101
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: ASVEL 57% – Bayern Munich 43%, a score of about 90-87. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Basket: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Olimpia Milano | Valencia Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 19th · 1-8 | 5th · 6-3 |
| Home / away | 1-3 / 0-5 | 3-2 / 3-1 |
| Form (5) | LLLLL | LLWWL |
| Points for / against | 82.0 / 90.2 | 97.1 / 90.9 |
| Net rating | -11.2 (18th) | +8.0 (5th) |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
Olimpia Milano: L vs Real Madrid 89-98 · L vs Dubai Basketball 97-101 · L vs Barcelona 81-89 · L @ Panathinaikos 75-80 · L @ Olympiacos 78-84
Valencia Basket: L vs Olympiacos 97-102 · L vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 88-91 · W @ Paris Basketball 104-93 · W vs Fenerbahce 86-78 · L @ Barcelona 94-98
Our model gives Valencia Basket 75%, with a projected score of 86-93, about 179 total points and a pace of 75.4 possessions. Confidence: high.
2. What will decide the game
- Valencia Basket on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 8th in the league while Olimpia Milano's defense ranks only 19th. A clear edge for Valencia Basket.
- Valencia Basket on offense, turnovers: they rank 2nd in the league while Olimpia Milano's defense ranks only 13th. A clear edge for Valencia Basket.
- Valencia Basket on offense, free throws: they rank 8th in the league while Olimpia Milano's defense ranks only 19th. A clear edge for Valencia Basket.
- Pace: Valencia Basket play faster (77.0 possessions) than Olimpia Milano (73.2). Whoever imposes their tempo takes the first step; the model expects 75.4.
- Absences: Nathan Reuvers (Valencia Basket).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Olimpia Milano | Valencia Basket | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 112.0 (16th) | 124.4 (1st) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 123.3 (18th) | 116.4 (10th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 73.2 (17th) | 77.0 (4th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 52.2% (16th) | 55.9% (8th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 57.1% (15th) | 59.6% (10th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 44.4% | 39.8% | – |
| Assist rate | 64.8% (7th) | 57.1% (17th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 18.8% (18th) | 13.2% (2nd) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 34.9% (6th) | 34.8% (7th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 67.1% (9th) | 70.3% (2nd) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 31.3% (9th) | 31.4% (8th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 60.1% (19th) | 56.3% (14th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 16.7% (13th) | 15.1% (18th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 34.3% (19th) | 25.4% (4th) | 30.4% |
Olimpia Milano: Weaknesses: allows easy shots and turns the ball over a lot.
Valencia Basket: Strengths: protects the ball and boxes out well. Weaknesses: forces few turnovers.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Olimpia Milano offense | Valencia Basket defense | Valencia Basket offense | Olimpia Milano defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 52.2% (16th) | 56.3% (14th) | 55.9% (8th) | 60.1% (19th) |
| turnovers | 18.8% (18th) | 15.1% (18th) | 13.2% (2nd) | 16.7% (13th) |
| offensive rebounds | 34.9% (6th) | 29.7% (2nd) | 34.8% (7th) | 32.9% (9th) |
| free throws | 31.3% (9th) | 25.4% (4th) | 31.4% (8th) | 34.3% (19th) |
4. Shots and zones
Olimpia Milano take 27% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 38% (league 35%), and Valencia Basket allow 32% there. That is Olimpia Milano's biggest edge.
Valencia Basket take 26% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 35% (league 35%), and Olimpia Milano allow 40% there. That is Valencia Basket's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Olimpia Milano | 17% · 80% | 26% · 42% | 12% · 38% | 7% · 28% | 27% · 38% | 10% · 29% |
| Defense Valencia Basket | 24% · 72% | 25% · 49% | 9% · 42% | 8% · 50% | 27% · 32% | 7% · 37% |
| Offense Valencia Basket | 22% · 70% | 28% · 45% | 10% · 44% | 5% · 52% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 43% |
| Defense Olimpia Milano | 21% · 83% | 26% · 51% | 12% · 43% | 5% · 46% | 26% · 40% | 10% · 37% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Olimpia Milano: 5% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Valencia Basket: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart Olimpia Milano · Shot chart Valencia Basket
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Olimpia Milano
Best lineups
- Alec Peters, Leandro Bolmaro, Devon Hall, Moses Wright, Rj Cole: +8.6 net in 35 possessions
- Marko Guduric, Devin Booker, Leandro Bolmaro, Darius Thompson, Jason Burnell: -3.1 net in 32 possessions
On/Off
- Devin Booker: the team is +21.1 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Leandro Bolmaro: the team is +16.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Moses Wright: the team is 17.0 better with him off the court
Olimpia Milano: -44.0 net in 32 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 28-42 in points.
Valencia Basket
Best lineups
- Neal Sako, Dylan Osetkowski, Kameron Taylor, Tj Shorts, Armoni Brooks: +31.0 net in 36 possessions
On/Off
- Tj Shorts: the team is +31.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Armoni Brooks: the team is +28.6 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Gonzalo Corbalan: the team is 36.7 better with him off the court
Valencia Basket: -18.4 net in 49 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 54-63 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Olimpia Milano
- Moses Wright Centers: 12.8 pts, 5.7 reb, 0.9 ast, 15.4 PIR
- Devon Hall Guards: 9.9 pts, 2.8 reb, 4.2 ast, 11.1 PIR
- Alec Peters Forwards: 9.5 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.9 ast, 10.5 PIR
- Rj Cole Guards: 9.3 pts, 2.0 reb, 2.9 ast, 9.6 PIR
Valencia Basket
- Tj Shorts Guards: 17.1 pts, 1.8 reb, 5.7 ast, 20.7 PIR
- Nikola Mirotic Forwards: 13.0 pts, 3.1 reb, 0.9 ast, 15.0 PIR
- Armoni Brooks Guards: 14.8 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.3 ast, 13.4 PIR
- Kameron Taylor Forwards: 11.3 pts, 4.3 reb, 2.1 ast, 10.7 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Olimpia Milano produce | Valencia Basket allow | Valencia Basket produce | Olimpia Milano allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 42.4 | 41.0 | 47.4 | 36.1 |
| Forwards | 17.7 | 37.4 | 39.8 | 39.2 |
| Centers | 21.9 | 17.9 | 9.7 | 20.4 |
The most open matchup: Valencia Basket's guards (47.4 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 36.1 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Olimpia Milano
- No known absences
Valencia Basket
- Nathan Reuvers: Injured: Foot
8. Head-to-head
In their last 4 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Olimpia Milano 1, Valencia Basket 3.
- 2026-04-07: Valencia Basket – Olimpia Milano 102-96
- 2025-10-23: Olimpia Milano – Valencia Basket 100-103
- 2024-01-19: Valencia Basket – Olimpia Milano 84-72
- 2023-11-09: Olimpia Milano – Valencia Basket 83-52
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Olimpia Milano 25% – Valencia Basket 75%, a score of about 86-93. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Friday 6 November
🔎 In-depth previews of today’s games
Besiktas vs Zalgiris: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Besiktas | Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 11th · 4-5 | 10th · 5-4 |
| Home / away | 1-3 / 3-2 | 2-2 / 3-2 |
| Form (5) | LWLLW | LLWWW |
| Points for / against | 90.0 / 91.8 | 85.9 / 84.0 |
| Net rating | -2.3 (11th) | +2.5 (10th) |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
Besiktas: L @ Hapoel Tel Aviv 82-100 · W vs Bayern Munich 95-87 · L @ Anadolu Efes 80-89 · L vs Olympiacos 73-81 · W @ Virtus Bologna 103-101
Zalgiris: L @ Fenerbahce 80-99 · L vs Anadolu Efes 70-85 · W vs ASVEL 105-85 · W @ Virtus Bologna 91-74 · W vs Partizan 87-80
Our model gives Besiktas 51%, with a projected score of 89-89, about 179 total points and a pace of 75.6 possessions. Confidence: low.
2. What will decide the game
- Zalgiris on defense, offensive rebounds: they rank 1st, while Besiktas's offense is 17th. Zalgiris can shut this down.
- Zalgiris on offense, free throws: they rank 7th in the league while Besiktas's defense ranks only 20th. A clear edge for Zalgiris.
- Zalgiris on defense, free throws: they rank 6th, while Besiktas's offense is 18th. Zalgiris can shut this down.
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Besiktas | Zalgiris | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 118.5 (7th) | 115.0 (10th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 120.9 (15th) | 112.5 (6th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 75.9 (8th) | 74.7 (12th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 57.7% (2nd) | 54.7% (13th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 60.9% (3rd) | 58.6% (12th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 43.2% | 39.4% | – |
| Assist rate | 61.6% (13th) | 65.1% (6th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 15.8% (8th) | 18.5% (16th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 29.3% (17th) | 36.1% (4th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 66.6% (12th) | 72.2% (1st) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 26.7% (18th) | 32.2% (7th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 56.4% (15th) | 53.0% (8th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 17.1% (10th) | 15.2% (17th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 45.1% (20th) | 26.3% (6th) | 30.4% |
Besiktas: Strengths: efficient shooting. Weaknesses: rarely gets to the line and few offensive rebounds.
Zalgiris: Strengths: boxes out well and strong on second chances. Weaknesses: forces few turnovers and turns the ball over a lot.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Besiktas offense | Zalgiris defense | Zalgiris offense | Besiktas defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 57.7% (2nd) | 53.0% (8th) | 54.7% (13th) | 56.4% (15th) |
| turnovers | 15.8% (8th) | 15.2% (17th) | 18.5% (16th) | 17.1% (10th) |
| offensive rebounds | 29.3% (17th) | 27.8% (1st) | 36.1% (4th) | 33.4% (12th) |
| free throws | 26.7% (18th) | 26.3% (6th) | 32.2% (7th) | 45.1% (20th) |
4. Shots and zones
Besiktas take 30% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 44% (league 35%), and Zalgiris allow 30% there. That is Besiktas's biggest edge.
Zalgiris take 11% of their shots top-of-the-key threes (league 9%) at 39% (league 35%), and Besiktas allow 36% there. That is Zalgiris's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Besiktas | 15% · 85% | 31% · 47% | 11% · 40% | 5% · 46% | 30% · 44% | 9% · 24% |
| Defense Zalgiris | 20% · 79% | 29% · 46% | 14% · 44% | 4% · 41% | 25% · 30% | 8% · 33% |
| Offense Zalgiris | 18% · 71% | 33% · 44% | 10% · 30% | 6% · 63% | 23% · 37% | 11% · 39% |
| Defense Besiktas | 19% · 85% | 34% · 47% | 13% · 46% | 3% · 35% | 24% · 36% | 7% · 36% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Besiktas: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Zalgiris: 5% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart Besiktas · Shot chart Zalgiris
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Besiktas
Best lineups
- Berk Ugurlu, Ante Zizic, Anthony Brown, Conor Morgan, Jaylen Nowell: -10.3 net in 29 possessions
- Ante Zizic, Anthony Brown, Conor Morgan, Devon Dotson, Jaylen Nowell: +14.1 net in 28 possessions
On/Off
- Devon Dotson: the team is +23.7 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Wenyen Gabriel: the team is +16.4 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Berk Ugurlu: the team is 20.7 better with him off the court
Besiktas: +162.8 net in 9 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 23-9 in points.
Zalgiris
Best lineups
- Jonas Valanciunas, Arnas Butkevicius, Azuolas Tubelis, Carsen Edwards, Saben Lee: +3.7 net in 54 possessions
On/Off
- Marius Grigonis: the team is +23.0 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Maodo Lo: the team is +11.0 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Marek Blazevic: the team is 43.8 better with him off the court
Zalgiris: +27.1 net in 37 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 56-46 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Besiktas
- Ante Zizic Centers: 8.3 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.4 ast, 13.8 PIR
- Devon Dotson Guards: 9.7 pts, 1.9 reb, 3.7 ast, 12.9 PIR
- Scottie Wilbekin Guards: 14.8 pts, 1.6 reb, 3.1 ast, 12.7 PIR
- Jaylen Nowell Guards: 12.1 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.2 ast, 9.0 PIR
Zalgiris
- Jonas Valanciunas Centers: 12.1 pts, 8.1 reb, 2.0 ast, 19.3 PIR
- Azuolas Tubelis Forwards: 11.3 pts, 6.0 reb, 1.6 ast, 15.6 PIR
- Carsen Edwards Guards: 15.8 pts, 1.2 reb, 2.6 ast, 12.0 PIR
- Sterling Brown Guards: 11.0 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.0 ast, 11.0 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Besiktas produce | Zalgiris allow | Zalgiris produce | Besiktas allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 36.4 | 35.8 | 37.4 | 40.3 |
| Forwards | 10.9 | 36.6 | 33.0 | 42.6 |
| Centers | 35.9 | 14.4 | 20.3 | 20.7 |
The most open matchup: Zalgiris's guards (37.4 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 40.3 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Besiktas
- Furkan Korkmaz: Has missed his team's last 3 games
- Devon Dotson: Has missed his team's last 2 games
Zalgiris
- No known absences
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Besiktas 51% – Zalgiris 49%, a score of about 89-89. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Olympiacos vs Crvena Zvezda: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Olympiacos | Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 2nd · 7-2 | 3rd · 6-3 |
| Home / away | 2-1 / 5-1 | 4-2 / 2-1 |
| Form (5) | WWLWW | WWLWW |
| Points for / against | 90.6 / 83.8 | 85.6 / 77.0 |
| Net rating | +8.9 (4th) | +11.4 (2nd) |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
Olympiacos: W @ Valencia Basket 102-97 · W @ Barcelona 105-100 · L vs Fenerbahce 61-64 · W @ Besiktas 81-73 · W vs Olimpia Milano 84-78
Crvena Zvezda: W @ ASVEL 84-82 · W vs Paris Basketball 90-81 · L @ Partizan 82-85 · W vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 100-78 · W vs Bayern Munich 103-73
Our model gives Olympiacos 74%, with a projected score of 89-83, about 172 total points and a pace of 73.4 possessions. Confidence: high.
2. What will decide the game
- Olympiacos on offense, offensive rebounds: they rank 1st in the league while Crvena Zvezda's defense ranks only 14th. A clear edge for Olympiacos.
- Olympiacos on defense, free throws: they rank 1st, while Crvena Zvezda's offense is 14th. Olympiacos can shut this down.
- Crvena Zvezda on defense, turnovers: they rank 4th, while Olympiacos's offense is 11th. Crvena Zvezda can shut this down.
- Absences: Evan Fournier (Olympiacos), Jean Montero (Olympiacos).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Olympiacos | Crvena Zvezda | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 119.1 (6th) | 114.4 (13th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 110.2 (5th) | 103.0 (2nd) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 74.0 (13th) | 73.8 (15th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 56.0% (7th) | 52.3% (15th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 60.4% (5th) | 55.9% (16th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 37.4% | 42.7% | – |
| Assist rate | 61.9% (12th) | 70.8% (1st) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 17.7% (11th) | 15.6% (6th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 37.4% (1st) | 33.6% (12th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 67.1% (10th) | 66.3% (14th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 32.9% (4th) | 28.8% (14th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 53.1% (9th) | 47.9% (1st) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 17.8% (6th) | 18.6% (4th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 21.3% (1st) | 30.5% (11th) | 30.4% |
Olympiacos: Strengths: strong on second chances and gets to the line often.
Crvena Zvezda: Strengths: holds opponents to poor shooting and forces turnovers.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Olympiacos offense | Crvena Zvezda defense | Crvena Zvezda offense | Olympiacos defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 56.0% (7th) | 47.9% (1st) | 52.3% (15th) | 53.1% (9th) |
| turnovers | 17.7% (11th) | 18.6% (4th) | 15.6% (6th) | 17.8% (6th) |
| offensive rebounds | 37.4% (1st) | 33.7% (14th) | 33.6% (12th) | 32.9% (10th) |
| free throws | 32.9% (4th) | 30.5% (11th) | 28.8% (14th) | 21.3% (1st) |
4. Shots and zones
Olympiacos take 7% of their shots corner threes (league 6%) at 50% (league 40%), and Crvena Zvezda allow 32% there. That is Olympiacos's biggest edge.
Crvena Zvezda take 10% of their shots from mid-range (league 11%) at 49% (league 42%), and Olympiacos allow 39% there. That is Crvena Zvezda's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Olympiacos | 23% · 82% | 31% · 47% | 8% · 43% | 7% · 50% | 24% · 31% | 6% · 18% |
| Defense Crvena Zvezda | 16% · 71% | 34% · 44% | 9% · 33% | 6% · 32% | 25% · 30% | 11% · 31% |
| Offense Crvena Zvezda | 17% · 70% | 30% · 44% | 10% · 49% | 8% · 34% | 23% · 32% | 11% · 41% |
| Defense Olympiacos | 15% · 83% | 24% · 35% | 11% · 39% | 9% · 50% | 32% · 37% | 8% · 26% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Olympiacos: 5% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Crvena Zvezda: 8% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Shot chart Olympiacos · Shot chart Crvena Zvezda
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Olympiacos
Best lineups
- Kostas Papanikolaou, Sasha Vezenkov, Codi Miller-Mcintyre, Donta Hall, Tyson Ward: +42.2 net in 36 possessions
- Sasha Vezenkov, Codi Miller-Mcintyre, Tyler Dorsey, Donta Hall, Tyson Ward: -30.4 net in 36 possessions
On/Off
- Jean Montero (out): the team is +27.1 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Evan Fournier (out): the team is +17.1 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Cory Joseph: the team is 21.7 better with him off the court
Olympiacos: +19.5 net in 72 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 89-75 in points.
Crvena Zvezda
Best lineups
- Chris Jones, Tyson Carter, Chima Moneke, Jordan Nwora, Christian Koloko: +46.4 net in 28 possessions
- Nikola Djurisic, Chris Jones, Semi Ojeleye, Chima Moneke, Jared Butler: +43.4 net in 28 possessions
On/Off
- Ognjen Dobric: the team is +16.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Chima Moneke: the team is +14.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Johnathan Motley: the team is 33.0 better with him off the court
Crvena Zvezda: +18.6 net in 48 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 56-47 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Olympiacos
- Sasha Vezenkov Forwards: 18.2 pts, 6.0 reb, 1.0 ast, 22.3 PIR
- Tyler Dorsey Guards: 12.6 pts, 1.6 reb, 1.4 ast, 12.0 PIR
- Mbaye Ndiaye Forwards: 9.2 pts, 3.0 reb, 1.1 ast, 11.0 PIR
- Nikola Milutinov Centers: 3.8 pts, 6.4 reb, 1.0 ast, 10.4 PIR
Crvena Zvezda
- Chima Moneke Forwards: 11.2 pts, 4.3 reb, 1.6 ast, 14.4 PIR
- Jordan Nwora Forwards: 14.7 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.2 ast, 14.2 PIR
- Chris Jones Guards: 8.8 pts, 2.4 reb, 5.9 ast, 13.6 PIR
- Semi Ojeleye Forwards: 9.4 pts, 4.1 reb, 1.4 ast, 11.6 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Olympiacos produce | Crvena Zvezda allow | Crvena Zvezda produce | Olympiacos allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 18.2 | 27.7 | 37.8 | 36.8 |
| Forwards | 48.2 | 31.2 | 48.2 | 28.4 |
| Centers | 19.8 | 16.9 | 3.0 | 15.9 |
The most open matchup: Olympiacos's forwards (48.2 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 31.2 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Olympiacos
- Evan Fournier: Injured: Shoulder and knee, out about 20 days · Expected back: 10 November
- Tyler Dorsey: Has missed his team's last 4 games
- Jean Montero: Injured: Left knee meniscus surgery, out about 6 months · Expected back: May 2027
Crvena Zvezda
- No known absences
8. Head-to-head
In their last 6 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Olympiacos 3, Crvena Zvezda 3.
- 2026-02-12: Olympiacos – Crvena Zvezda 92-86
- 2025-11-26: Crvena Zvezda – Olympiacos 91-80
- 2025-03-20: Olympiacos – Crvena Zvezda 73-81
- 2024-12-13: Crvena Zvezda – Olympiacos 87-73
- 2024-04-04: Crvena Zvezda – Olympiacos 86-89
- 2023-11-16: Olympiacos – Crvena Zvezda 88-83
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Olympiacos 74% – Crvena Zvezda 26%, a score of about 89-83. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Virtus Bologna vs Dubai Basketball: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Virtus Bologna | Dubai Basketball | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 13th · 4-5 | 9th · 6-3 |
| Home / away | 2-2 / 2-3 | 3-2 / 3-1 |
| Form (5) | WWLLL | WWWLW |
| Points for / against | 86.8 / 89.1 | 87.4 / 85.1 |
| Net rating | -3.1 (13th) | +3.2 (8th) |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
Virtus Bologna: W @ Paris Basketball 96-94 · W vs Baskonia 86-78 · L @ Hapoel Tel Aviv 81-90 · L vs Zalgiris 74-91 · L vs Besiktas 101-103
Dubai Basketball: W @ Baskonia 93-79 · W @ Olimpia Milano 101-97 · W @ Bayern Munich 107-91 · L vs Paris Basketball 93-99 · W vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 97-83
Our model gives Dubai Basketball 60%, with a projected score of 89-90, about 179 total points and a pace of 75.8 possessions. Confidence: medium.
2. What will decide the game
- Virtus Bologna on offense, turnovers: they rank 9th in the league while Dubai Basketball's defense ranks only 20th. A clear edge for Virtus Bologna.
- Dubai Basketball on offense, turnovers: they rank 5th in the league while Virtus Bologna's defense ranks only 16th. A clear edge for Dubai Basketball.
- Dubai Basketball on defense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 10th, while Virtus Bologna's offense is 18th. Dubai Basketball can shut this down.
- Pace: Virtus Bologna play faster (76.4 possessions) than Dubai Basketball (72.7). Whoever imposes their tempo takes the first step; the model expects 75.8.
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Virtus Bologna | Dubai Basketball | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 113.5 (15th) | 120.3 (5th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 116.6 (11th) | 117.0 (12th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 76.4 (6th) | 72.7 (18th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 51.2% (18th) | 55.5% (9th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 55.9% (17th) | 60.2% (7th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 41.3% | 37.8% | – |
| Assist rate | 55.7% (18th) | 57.7% (16th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 16.9% (9th) | 15.6% (5th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 36.6% (2nd) | 33.6% (13th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 63.9% (18th) | 68.8% (6th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 33.0% (3rd) | 35.3% (2nd) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 53.0% (7th) | 53.7% (10th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 15.8% (16th) | 12.8% (20th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 26.1% (5th) | 25.3% (3rd) | 30.4% |
Virtus Bologna: Strengths: strong on second chances and gets to the line often. Weaknesses: poor shooting and concedes second chances.
Dubai Basketball: Strengths: gets to the line often and protects the ball. Weaknesses: forces few turnovers.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Virtus Bologna offense | Dubai Basketball defense | Dubai Basketball offense | Virtus Bologna defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 51.2% (18th) | 53.7% (10th) | 55.5% (9th) | 53.0% (7th) |
| turnovers | 16.9% (9th) | 12.8% (20th) | 15.6% (5th) | 15.8% (16th) |
| offensive rebounds | 36.6% (2nd) | 31.2% (6th) | 33.6% (13th) | 36.1% (18th) |
| free throws | 33.0% (3rd) | 25.3% (3rd) | 35.3% (2nd) | 26.1% (5th) |
4. Shots and zones
Virtus Bologna take 14% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 82% (league 78%), and Dubai Basketball allow 83% there. That is Virtus Bologna's biggest edge.
Dubai Basketball take 23% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 37% (league 35%), and Virtus Bologna allow 39% there. That is Dubai Basketball's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Virtus Bologna | 14% · 82% | 34% · 43% | 12% · 46% | 3% · 24% | 30% · 30% | 7% · 43% |
| Defense Dubai Basketball | 12% · 83% | 37% · 52% | 12% · 37% | 6% · 43% | 25% · 34% | 9% · 31% |
| Offense Dubai Basketball | 15% · 84% | 34% · 48% | 13% · 41% | 7% · 46% | 23% · 37% | 8% · 30% |
| Defense Virtus Bologna | 15% · 72% | 36% · 44% | 9% · 36% | 4% · 19% | 29% · 39% | 8% · 37% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Virtus Bologna: 6% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Dubai Basketball: 6% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Shot chart Virtus Bologna · Shot chart Dubai Basketball
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Virtus Bologna
Best lineups
- Marcus Carr, Derrick Alston Jr., Aliou Diarra, Kessler Edwards, Wendell Moore: +9.9 net in 61 possessions
- Marcus Carr, Mouhamet Diouf, Derrick Alston Jr., Kessler Edwards, Wendell Moore: -35.7 net in 39 possessions
On/Off
- Wendell Moore: the team is +16.0 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Marcus Carr: the team is +11.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Daniel Hackett: the team is 29.4 better with him off the court
Virtus Bologna: -11.9 net in 42 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 54-59 in points.
Dubai Basketball
Best lineups
- Filip Petrusev, Dwayne Bacon, Mckinley Wright Iv, Mfiondu Kabengele, Davion Mintz: +36.0 net in 53 possessions
- Elie Okobo, Jaron Blossomgame, Dwayne Bacon, Mckinley Wright Iv, Mfiondu Kabengele: +7.6 net in 93 possessions
On/Off
- Mckinley Wright Iv: the team is +30.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Filip Petrusev: the team is +15.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Kosta Kondic: the team is 32.7 better with him off the court
Dubai Basketball: -97.3 net in 11 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 9-20 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Virtus Bologna
- Aliou Diarra Centers: 11.6 pts, 7.0 reb, 0.3 ast, 18.1 PIR
- Wendell Moore Guards: 11.7 pts, 4.4 reb, 1.1 ast, 11.9 PIR
- Marcus Carr Guards: 13.1 pts, 2.1 reb, 5.1 ast, 11.2 PIR
- Derrick Alston Jr. Forwards: 14.0 pts, 2.2 reb, 1.1 ast, 10.2 PIR
Dubai Basketball
- Dwayne Bacon Forwards: 16.7 pts, 4.1 reb, 2.8 ast, 19.1 PIR
- Mfiondu Kabengele Centers: 14.4 pts, 7.7 reb, 1.1 ast, 17.9 PIR
- Elie Okobo Guards: 12.1 pts, 2.2 reb, 4.7 ast, 13.9 PIR
- Filip Petrusev Centers: 8.8 pts, 2.8 reb, 0.8 ast, 11.3 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Virtus Bologna produce | Dubai Basketball allow | Dubai Basketball produce | Virtus Bologna allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 39.3 | 37.6 | 28.8 | 33.8 |
| Forwards | 25.1 | 26.8 | 32.3 | 34.9 |
| Centers | 26.7 | 20.0 | 34.2 | 19.9 |
The most open matchup: Virtus Bologna's guards (39.3 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 37.6 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Virtus Bologna
- Tommaso Baldasso: Has missed his team's last 2 games
Dubai Basketball
- Thomas Walkup: Has missed his team's last 3 games
8. Head-to-head
In their last 2 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Virtus Bologna 2, Dubai Basketball 0.
- 2026-01-15: Dubai Basketball – Virtus Bologna 72-80
- 2025-12-05: Virtus Bologna – Dubai Basketball 79-78
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Virtus Bologna 40% – Dubai Basketball 60%, a score of about 89-90. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Partizan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 10)
1. The picture before tip-off
| Partizan | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 12th · 4-5 | 17th · 2-7 |
| Home / away | 2-1 / 2-4 | 1-3 / 1-4 |
| Form (5) | LLWLL | LWLLL |
| Points for / against | 78.4 / 80.2 | 86.7 / 94.7 |
| Net rating | -2.4 (12th) | -10.6 (17th) |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
Partizan: L vs Panathinaikos 55-72 · L @ Fenerbahce 65-74 · W vs Crvena Zvezda 85-82 · L @ ASVEL 75-82 · L @ Zalgiris 80-87
Maccabi Tel Aviv: L @ Barcelona 87-90 · W @ Valencia Basket 91-88 · L vs Real Madrid 99-113 · L @ Crvena Zvezda 78-100 · L vs Paris Basketball 94-99
Our model gives Partizan 69%, with a projected score of 88-83, about 171 total points and a pace of 75.2 possessions. Confidence: medium.
2. What will decide the game
- Partizan on defense, turnovers: they rank 1st, while Maccabi Tel Aviv's offense is 14th. Partizan can shut this down.
- Partizan on defense, offensive rebounds: they rank 4th, while Maccabi Tel Aviv's offense is 15th. Partizan can shut this down.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv on defense, offensive rebounds: they rank 8th, while Partizan's offense is 18th. Maccabi Tel Aviv can shut this down.
- Pace: Maccabi Tel Aviv play faster (75.4 possessions) than Partizan (72.4). Whoever imposes their tempo takes the first step; the model expects 75.2.
- Absences: Tonye Jekiri (Partizan), Iffe Lundberg (Maccabi Tel Aviv).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Partizan | Maccabi Tel Aviv | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 106.9 (20th) | 115.0 (11th) | 115.6 |
| Defensive rating | 109.3 (4th) | 125.6 (19th) | 115.6 |
| Pace (possessions) | 72.4 (19th) | 75.4 (10th) | 75.0 |
| eFG% | 50.8% (19th) | 56.1% (6th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 53.8% (20th) | 59.8% (9th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 35.2% | 39.7% | – |
| Assist rate | 67.3% (4th) | 60.1% (15th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 15.0% (3rd) | 18.3% (14th) | 16.9% |
| OREB% | 29.0% (18th) | 31.3% (15th) | 33.2% |
| DREB% | 69.3% (4th) | 67.7% (8th) | 66.8% |
| Free-throw rate | 30.2% (11th) | 28.3% (16th) | 30.3% |
| Opponent eFG% | 52.6% (6th) | 61.3% (20th) | 54.7% |
| Opponent TOV% | 19.5% (1st) | 17.1% (11th) | 16.9% |
| Opponent FTr | 33.0% (13th) | 34.0% (18th) | 30.4% |
Partizan: Strengths: forces turnovers and protects the ball. Weaknesses: poor shooting and few offensive rebounds.
Maccabi Tel Aviv: Weaknesses: allows easy shots and rarely gets to the line.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Partizan offense | Maccabi Tel Aviv defense | Maccabi Tel Aviv offense | Partizan defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 50.8% (19th) | 61.3% (20th) | 56.1% (6th) | 52.6% (6th) |
| turnovers | 15.0% (3rd) | 17.1% (11th) | 18.3% (14th) | 19.5% (1st) |
| offensive rebounds | 29.0% (18th) | 32.3% (8th) | 31.3% (15th) | 30.7% (4th) |
| free throws | 30.2% (11th) | 34.0% (18th) | 28.3% (16th) | 33.0% (13th) |
4. Shots and zones
Partizan take 26% of their shots wing threes (league 26%) at 30% (league 35%), and Maccabi Tel Aviv allow 43% there. That is Partizan's biggest edge.
Maccabi Tel Aviv take 13% of their shots top-of-the-key threes (league 9%) at 40% (league 35%), and Partizan allow 34% there. That is Maccabi Tel Aviv's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Partizan | 21% · 72% | 29% · 50% | 15% · 35% | 4% · 31% | 26% · 30% | 5% · 33% |
| Defense Maccabi Tel Aviv | 17% · 78% | 21% · 46% | 8% · 53% | 10% · 44% | 29% · 43% | 14% · 38% |
| Offense Maccabi Tel Aviv | 17% · 83% | 30% · 44% | 13% · 49% | 4% · 36% | 23% · 35% | 13% · 40% |
| Defense Partizan | 17% · 77% | 31% · 44% | 11% · 41% | 4% · 29% | 29% · 35% | 7% · 34% |
| League | 17% · 78% | 30% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 40% | 26% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Partizan: 5% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Maccabi Tel Aviv: 6% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart Partizan · Shot chart Maccabi Tel Aviv
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Partizan
Best lineups
- Nikola Tanaskovic, Alessandro Pajola, Kevarrius Hayes, Carlik Jones, Ethan Thompson: -18.8 net in 37 possessions
On/Off
- Tonye Jekiri (out): the team is +18.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Carlik Jones: the team is +13.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Joffrey Lauvergne: the team is 41.8 better with him off the court
Partizan: -34.1 net in 32 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 24-35 in points.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Best lineups
- Daniel Theis, Jaylen Hoard, Yam Madar, O'Shae J Brissett, Keaton Wallace: -62.0 net in 26 possessions
- Jaylen Hoard, Yam Madar, Roman Sorkin, Jimmy Clark Iii, O'Shae J Brissett: +4.4 net in 23 possessions
On/Off
- William Rayman: the team is +27.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Iffe Lundberg (out): the team is +17.9 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Keaton Wallace: the team is 21.0 better with him off the court
Maccabi Tel Aviv: -5.4 net in 18 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 21-22 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Partizan
- Carlik Jones Guards: 14.3 pts, 3.0 reb, 5.9 ast, 16.0 PIR
- Lamar Stevens Forwards: 10.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 0.4 ast, 10.7 PIR
- Kevarrius Hayes Centers: 9.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.4 ast, 10.7 PIR
- Luca Vildoza Guards: 8.2 pts, 1.7 reb, 2.7 ast, 10.2 PIR
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Yam Madar Guards: 11.9 pts, 2.1 reb, 4.7 ast, 14.6 PIR
- O'Shae J Brissett Forwards: 8.7 pts, 4.3 reb, 1.1 ast, 12.1 PIR
- Bonzie Colson Forwards: 10.7 pts, 3.1 reb, 0.7 ast, 12.0 PIR
- Roman Sorkin Forwards: 11.0 pts, 2.0 reb, 1.0 ast, 11.2 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Partizan produce | Maccabi Tel Aviv allow | Maccabi Tel Aviv produce | Partizan allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 35.1 | 44.1 | 27.6 | 35.3 |
| Forwards | 17.0 | 36.9 | 47.8 | 30.9 |
| Centers | 18.7 | 17.4 | 19.8 | 18.8 |
The most open matchup: Partizan's guards (35.1 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 44.1 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Partizan
- Tonye Jekiri: Injured: Groin strain
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Iffe Lundberg: Injured: Partial quadriceps tendon tear
8. Head-to-head
In their last 6 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Partizan 3, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.
- 2026-02-03: Maccabi Tel Aviv – Partizan 95-93
- 2025-12-26: Partizan – Maccabi Tel Aviv 87-112
- 2025-01-03: Partizan – Maccabi Tel Aviv 98-75
- 2024-10-17: Maccabi Tel Aviv – Partizan 79-91
- 2024-01-12: Partizan – Maccabi Tel Aviv 88-79
- 2023-10-05: Maccabi Tel Aviv – Partizan 96-81
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Partizan 69% – Maccabi Tel Aviv 31%, a score of about 88-83. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Wednesday 11 November
Thursday 12 November
Friday 13 November
Tuesday 3 November
Tuesday 10 November
Projections are statistical estimates, not betting advice or a guarantee of any result. Gambling is for adults (18+) only. Please play responsibly.