EuroCup · Round 6
Jerusalem – Aris
Wednesday 4 November at 21:00 (Athens time)
Matchup Center
JLM Jerusalem77%
23%Aris ARI
Projected score92-82
Margin+10.6
Projected total173.9
Pace76.1
Model confidenceMedium
Jerusalem 77% win probability | Projected score: 92-82 | Projected total: 174 | Pace: 76.1 | Model confidence: Medium
Model mp-1.0 (lightgbm) · last updated 4 Nov, 21:30 · how accurate it is
Scenario simulator
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Team comparison
| Jerusalem | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| 119.1 90% | Offensive Rating | 118.5 87% |
| 98.7 97% | Defensive Rating | 97.2 100% |
| +20.4 97% | Net Rating | +21.3 100% |
| 74.6 29% | Pace | 76.9 61% |
| 55.9% 81% | eFG% | 53.7% 55% |
| 60.5% 84% | TS% | 59.7% 81% |
| 74.2% 94% | AST% | 68.9% 84% |
| 19.0% 42% | TOV% | 17.9% 61% |
| 40.0% 100% | OREB% | 37.5% 94% |
| 69.3% 68% | DREB% | 63.0% 0% |
| 38.2% 81% | FT rate | 41.5% 100% |
| 2-0 · Net +37.9 | Home / away | 2-0 · Net +27.6 |
| WWWWW | Form (5) | WWWWW |
The % is the league percentile (100 = best). Bold marks the better side.
Key matchups
- Top scorer vs defense: Kenny Lofton Jr (18.8 pts) vs a defense with DRtg 97.2 (1) · Matthew Morgan (16.2 pts) vs a defense with DRtg 98.7 (2)
- Rebounding battle: Jerusalem OREB% 40.0% vs DREB% 63.0% Aris · Aris OREB% 37.5% vs DREB% 69.3% Jerusalem
- Pace battle: Jerusalem 74.6 – Aris 76.9 · projected 76.1
- Coaches: Sasa Obradovic – Vassilis Spanoulis
Players to watch
JerusalemAris
Projected PIR
- Kenny Lofton Jr 23.0 PIR
- Devontae Cacok 15.2 PIR
- Jaleen Smith 13.2 PIR
- David Roddy 12.0 PIR
- Shake Milton 11.4 PIR
- Jeremiah Robinson - Earl 22.2 PIR
- Neno Dimitrijevic 18.4 PIR
- E.J Liddell 14.6 PIR
- Matthew Morgan 14.0 PIR
- Vassilis Toliopoulos 9.8 PIR
Scorers
- Kenny Lofton Jr 18.8 pts
- Jaleen Smith 11.8 pts
- David Roddy 10.6 pts
- Shake Milton 10.2 pts
- Devontae Cacok 10.0 pts
- Matthew Morgan 16.2 pts
- Jeremiah Robinson - Earl 15.4 pts
- Neno Dimitrijevic 14.6 pts
- Vassilis Toliopoulos 10.0 pts
- E.J Liddell 9.6 pts
Rebounders
- Devontae Cacok 7.0 reb
- Kenny Lofton Jr 6.8 reb
- Dusan Miletic 4.4 reb
- David Roddy 3.4 reb
- Nimrod Levi 3.0 reb
- Jeremiah Robinson - Earl 10.4 reb
- E.J Liddell 6.2 reb
- Neno Dimitrijevic 3.6 reb
- Matthew Morgan 3.4 reb
- Khem Birch 3.2 reb
Playmakers
- Jaleen Smith 5.4 ast
- Lorenzo Brown 3.8 ast
- Shake Milton 3.6 ast
- Devontae Cacok 2.4 ast
- Kenny Lofton Jr 2.2 ast
- Neno Dimitrijevic 4.4 ast
- Matthew Morgan 2.8 ast
- E.J Liddell 2.8 ast
- Elijah Mitrou - Long 2.2 ast
- Vassilis Toliopoulos 2.0 ast
Injury watch
No known absences.
Historical context
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Aris – Jerusalem | 77-96 |
| 2025-10-28 | Jerusalem – Aris | 103-76 |
| 2025-01-02 | Jerusalem – Aris | 90-85 |
| 2024-10-16 | Aris – Jerusalem | 68-78 |
- At this venue: Jerusalem 2-0 at home · Aris 2-0 away
- On short rest (≤2 days): Jerusalem 0-0 · Aris 0-0
- On regular rest: Jerusalem 4-0 · Aris 4-0
- Rest before this game: Jerusalem 7 · Aris 7 days
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guaranteed tips. Gambling is for adults only (21+ in Greece, 18+ elsewhere). Play responsibly.