Fantasy Manager Tools
Fantasy Model Performance & Backtesting How accurate our PIR projections, fantasy projections, optimizer and captain picks really are: measured on past seasons and updated after every round.
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Active model pir-2stage-v2 · updated 5 November 2026 at 13:43 · 37.426 predictions
2020-21: 31 rounds (4–34), 5.851 predictions · 2021-22: 33 rounds (2–34), 5.283 predictions · 2022-23: 33 rounds (2–34), 6.391 predictions · 2023-24: 33 rounds (2–34), 6.457 predictions · 2024-25: 33 rounds (2–34), 6.231 predictions · 2025-26: 37 rounds (2–38), 7.587 predictions · 2026-27: 8 rounds (2–9), 1.767 predictions
PIR MAE ⓘ 5.53 simple avg 5.66 · n=37426
Fantasy points MAE ⓘ 5.87 n=37426
Correlation ⓘ 0.50 R² 0.25
Over/under hit rate ⓘ 63.7% on 22269 picks
P10–P90 coverage ⓘ 81.7% target 80%
Optimizer percentile ⓘ 96% top 25%: 92% · n=208
Captain in top 10 ⓘ 34% n=196
Results are based on backtests on historical data and are refreshed after every round. Every prediction uses a model trained ONLY on earlier rounds of the same season (time-based split), from round 4 on, exactly as in production. Groups with fewer than 30 observations are hidden.
Calibration ⓘ
Projected vs actual 0.0 5.9 11.8 17.6 23.5 Projection 0–5: mean projection 3.08, mean actual 2.99 (n=11048) Projection 5–10: mean projection 7.40, mean actual 7.46 (n=15939) Projection 10–15: mean projection 12.04, mean actual 12.02 (n=8546) Projection 15–20: mean projection 16.70, mean actual 16.61 (n=1733) Projection 20–25: mean projection 21.37, mean actual 19.53 (n=159) mean projected PIR diagonal = perfect Quantiles P10/P50/P90 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Quantile 10%: observed below 6.2% Quantile 20%: observed below 18.2% Quantile 30%: observed below 32.0% Quantile 40%: observed below 45.2% Quantile 50%: observed below 56.2% Quantile 60%: observed below 64.9% Quantile 70%: observed below 73.2% Quantile 80%: observed below 81.0% Quantile 90%: observed below 89.1% 10% 50% 90% predicted quantile below P10 9.9% · below P50 56.2% · below P90 91.5% · ECE 0.032
Projected PIR n Mean projection Mean actual Gap <0 0 hidden (n < 30) 0–5 11048 3.08 2.99 -0.09 5–10 15939 7.40 7.46 0.06 10–15 8546 12.04 12.02 -0.02 15–20 1733 16.70 16.61 -0.09 20–25 159 21.37 19.53 -1.84 25+ 1 hidden (n < 30)
CSV ↓
Fantasy points: floor / ceiling ⓘ
MAE 5.87 RMSE 7.57 P10–P90 81.3% Floor hit 90.1% Ceiling hit 8.8% n 37426
Error distribution ⓘ 0 1649 3298 4947 6596 -30.0 … -27.5: 0 -27.5 … -25.0: 1 -25.0 … -22.5: 7 -22.5 … -20.0: 21 -20.0 … -17.5: 71 -17.5 … -15.0: 188 -15.0 … -12.5: 553 -12.5 … -10.0: 1200 -10.0 … -7.5: 2418 -7.5 … -5.0: 4127 -5.0 … -2.5: 6166 -2.5 … 0.0: 6596 0.0 … 2.5: 4298 2.5 … 5.0: 3636 5.0 … 7.5: 2667 7.5 … 10.0: 1956 10.0 … 12.5: 1402 12.5 … 15.0: 925 15.0 … 17.5: 496 17.5 … 20.0: 336 20.0 … 22.5: 169 22.5 … 25.0: 93 25.0 … 27.5: 55 27.5 … 30.0: 45 -30 -15 0 +15 +30 error = actual − projected (PIR)
MAE 5.53 RMSE 7.11 Median AE 4.45 MAPE 45.1% Bias -0.02 Directional 59.0% Minutes MAE 5.82
Accuracy by group
By position ⓘ Guard Guard: MAE 5.69, RMSE 7.33, bias -0.08, n=15229 5.69 n=15229 Forward Forward: MAE 5.29, RMSE 6.82, bias 0.02, n=14340 5.29 n=14340 Center Center: MAE 5.67, RMSE 7.21, bias 0.04, n=7857 5.67 n=7857 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 Guard 15229 5.69 7.33 -0.08 0.50 59% 6.04 81% Forward 14340 5.29 6.82 0.02 0.50 59% 5.62 83% Center 7857 5.67 7.21 0.04 0.47 59% 6.01 81%
CSV ↓
By price ⓘ <6 <6: MAE 3.48, RMSE 4.79, bias 0.01, n=4215 3.48 n=4215 6–9 6–9: MAE 4.70, RMSE 6.01, bias -0.10, n=10718 4.70 n=10718 9–12 9–12: MAE 5.75, RMSE 7.22, bias 0.07, n=10637 5.75 n=10637 12–15 12–15: MAE 6.53, RMSE 8.09, bias -0.06, n=7041 6.53 n=7041 15+ 15+: MAE 7.25, RMSE 9.03, bias 0.00, n=4815 7.25 n=4815 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 <6 4215 3.48 4.79 0.01 0.26 54% 3.67 90% 6–9 10718 4.70 6.01 -0.10 0.28 57% 4.95 86% 9–12 10637 5.75 7.22 0.07 0.28 59% 6.10 81% 12–15 7041 6.53 8.09 -0.06 0.29 60% 6.95 77% 15+ 4815 7.25 9.03 0.00 0.34 65% 7.76 74%
CSV ↓
By minutes ⓘ <10' <10': MAE 3.75, RMSE 5.18, bias 0.12, n=7064 3.75 n=7064 10–20' 10–20': MAE 5.40, RMSE 6.79, bias -0.08, n=15644 5.40 n=15644 20–28' 20–28': MAE 6.39, RMSE 7.99, bias 0.03, n=11997 6.39 n=11997 28'+ 28'+: MAE 7.13, RMSE 8.88, bias -0.23, n=2721 7.13 n=2721 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 <10' 7064 3.75 5.18 0.12 0.36 64% 3.95 90% 10–20' 15644 5.40 6.79 -0.08 0.35 57% 5.71 83% 20–28' 11997 6.39 7.99 0.03 0.32 58% 6.81 77% 28'+ 2721 7.13 8.88 -0.23 0.28 58% 7.64 75%
CSV ↓
By projected PIR ⓘ <0 hidden (n < 30) · n=0 0–5 0–5: MAE 3.86, RMSE 5.14, bias -0.09, n=11048 3.86 n=11048 5–10 5–10: MAE 5.76, RMSE 7.18, bias 0.06, n=15939 5.76 n=15939 10–15 10–15: MAE 6.84, RMSE 8.47, bias -0.02, n=8546 6.84 n=8546 15–20 15–20: MAE 7.41, RMSE 9.28, bias -0.09, n=1733 7.41 n=1733 20+ 20+: MAE 7.84, RMSE 10.08, bias -1.92, n=160 7.84 n=160 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 <0 0 hidden (n < 30) 0–5 11048 3.86 5.14 -0.09 0.21 62% 4.06 90% 5–10 15939 5.76 7.18 0.06 0.21 57% 6.10 81% 10–15 8546 6.84 8.47 -0.02 0.14 59% 7.30 75% 15–20 1733 7.41 9.28 -0.09 0.07 59% 8.00 75% 20+ 160 7.84 10.08 -1.92 0.11 73% 8.68 76%
CSV ↓
Starter / bench ⓘ Likely starter Likely starter: MAE 6.21, RMSE 7.82, bias -0.01, n=16007 6.21 n=16007 Bench Bench: MAE 5.03, RMSE 6.54, bias -0.03, n=21419 5.03 n=21419 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 Likely starter 16007 6.21 7.82 -0.01 0.44 58% 6.61 79% Bench 21419 5.03 6.54 -0.03 0.45 60% 5.32 84%
CSV ↓
Home / away ⓘ Home Home: MAE 5.60, RMSE 7.21, bias 0.19, n=18940 5.60 n=18940 Away Away: MAE 5.46, RMSE 7.00, bias -0.23, n=18486 5.46 n=18486 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 Home 18940 5.60 7.21 0.19 0.51 58% 6.01 81% Away 18486 5.46 7.00 -0.23 0.49 60% 5.73 82%
CSV ↓
Back-to-back ⓘ Rested Rested: MAE 5.55, RMSE 7.14, bias 0.01, n=29711 5.55 n=29711 Back-to-back Back-to-back: MAE 5.46, RMSE 6.99, bias -0.10, n=7715 5.46 n=7715 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 Rested 29711 5.55 7.14 0.01 0.49 59% 5.89 82% Back-to-back 7715 5.46 6.99 -0.10 0.52 60% 5.79 82%
CSV ↓
By season ⓘ 2020-21 2020-21: MAE 5.49, RMSE 7.09, bias -0.03, n=5851 5.49 n=5851 2021-22 2021-22: MAE 5.54, RMSE 7.09, bias -0.07, n=4962 5.54 n=4962 2022-23 2022-23: MAE 5.42, RMSE 6.95, bias -0.01, n=6055 5.42 n=6055 2023-24 2023-24: MAE 5.43, RMSE 7.00, bias -0.03, n=6110 5.43 n=6110 2024-25 2024-25: MAE 5.54, RMSE 7.14, bias 0.15, n=5884 5.54 n=5884 2025-26 2025-26: MAE 5.70, RMSE 7.33, bias -0.06, n=7215 5.70 n=7215 2026-27 2026-27: MAE 5.68, RMSE 7.16, bias -0.19, n=1349 5.68 n=1349 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 2020-21 5851 5.49 7.09 -0.03 0.49 58% 5.83 81% 2021-22 4962 5.54 7.09 -0.07 0.49 59% 5.88 81% 2022-23 6055 5.42 6.95 -0.01 0.49 59% 5.75 82% 2023-24 6110 5.43 7.00 -0.03 0.52 59% 5.77 82% 2024-25 5884 5.54 7.14 0.15 0.53 59% 5.88 82% 2025-26 7215 5.70 7.33 -0.06 0.48 59% 6.05 82% 2026-27 1349 5.68 7.16 -0.19 0.42 58% 6.02 81%
CSV ↓
By round (current season) ⓘ 4 4: MAE 5.48, RMSE 7.07, bias -0.63, n=219 5.48 n=219 5 5: MAE 5.57, RMSE 6.97, bias -0.26, n=226 5.57 n=226 6 6: MAE 5.64, RMSE 7.34, bias -0.10, n=226 5.64 n=226 7 7: MAE 6.01, RMSE 7.36, bias -0.04, n=226 6.01 n=226 8 8: MAE 5.87, RMSE 7.24, bias -0.04, n=226 5.87 n=226 9 9: MAE 5.54, RMSE 6.99, bias -0.11, n=226 5.54 n=226 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 4 219 5.48 7.07 -0.63 0.42 62% – – 5 226 5.57 6.97 -0.26 0.41 57% – – 6 226 5.64 7.34 -0.10 0.42 58% – – 7 226 6.01 7.36 -0.04 0.39 58% – – 8 226 5.87 7.24 -0.04 0.40 60% – – 9 226 5.54 6.99 -0.11 0.44 57% – –
CSV ↓
Optimizer backtest ⓘ
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% E2020 round 4: optimizer 152.1 · random (mean) 72.0 · perfect 291.9 · percentile 100% E2020 round 5: optimizer 113.8 · random (mean) 66.9 · perfect 253.9 · percentile 97% E2020 round 6: optimizer 105.8 · random (mean) 64.0 · perfect 253.7 · percentile 96% E2020 round 7: optimizer 59.8 · random (mean) 69.5 · perfect 271.4 · percentile 37% E2020 round 8: optimizer 83.6 · random (mean) 63.3 · perfect 270.1 · percentile 79% E2020 round 9: optimizer 109.0 · random (mean) 63.0 · perfect 260.1 · percentile 97% E2020 round 10: optimizer 110.2 · random (mean) 68.4 · perfect 232.9 · percentile 95% E2020 round 11: optimizer 92.5 · random (mean) 67.7 · perfect 250.9 · percentile 85% E2020 round 12: optimizer 112.5 · random (mean) 65.7 · perfect 221.3 · percentile 97% E2020 round 13: optimizer 112.6 · random (mean) 59.8 · perfect 270.9 · percentile 97% E2020 round 14: optimizer 144.4 · random (mean) 72.6 · perfect 248.6 · percentile 100% E2020 round 15: optimizer 112.3 · random (mean) 63.5 · perfect 244.0 · percentile 98% E2020 round 16: optimizer 111.9 · random (mean) 67.6 · perfect 276.8 · percentile 95% E2020 round 17: optimizer 101.2 · random (mean) 61.5 · perfect 273.4 · percentile 94% E2020 round 18: optimizer 138.1 · random (mean) 70.9 · perfect 279.5 · percentile 99% E2020 round 19: optimizer 131.6 · random (mean) 68.8 · perfect 267.8 · percentile 99% E2020 round 20: optimizer 109.8 · random (mean) 63.0 · perfect 232.9 · percentile 97% E2020 round 21: optimizer 85.0 · random (mean) 63.6 · perfect 298.3 · percentile 81% E2020 round 22: optimizer 85.5 · random (mean) 67.7 · perfect 280.9 · percentile 77% E2020 round 23: optimizer 130.3 · random (mean) 64.6 · perfect 219.5 · percentile 100% E2020 round 24: optimizer 123.5 · random (mean) 74.4 · perfect 242.8 · percentile 96% E2020 round 25: optimizer 135.1 · random (mean) 67.3 · perfect 229.4 · percentile 100% E2020 round 26: optimizer 86.5 · random (mean) 60.8 · perfect 240.0 · percentile 86% E2020 round 27: optimizer 128.4 · random (mean) 64.6 · perfect 227.7 · percentile 100% E2020 round 28: optimizer 162.0 · random (mean) 63.6 · perfect 261.3 · percentile 100% E2020 round 29: optimizer 111.2 · random (mean) 62.7 · perfect 243.5 · percentile 96% E2020 round 30: optimizer 89.4 · random (mean) 63.8 · perfect 254.7 · percentile 86% E2020 round 31: optimizer 118.5 · random (mean) 64.8 · perfect 232.2 · percentile 98% E2020 round 32: optimizer 169.4 · random (mean) 71.0 · perfect 273.4 · percentile 100% E2020 round 33: optimizer 93.9 · random (mean) 64.2 · perfect 229.1 · percentile 90% E2020 round 34: optimizer 125.3 · random (mean) 60.0 · perfect 240.1 · percentile 99% E2021 round 2: optimizer 115.5 · random (mean) 65.5 · perfect 202.8 · percentile 98% E2021 round 3: optimizer 127.3 · random (mean) 70.6 · perfect 238.1 · percentile 99% E2021 round 4: optimizer 138.9 · random (mean) 70.6 · perfect 259.9 · percentile 99% E2021 round 5: optimizer 126.6 · random (mean) 65.8 · perfect 231.8 · percentile 99% E2021 round 6: optimizer 87.8 · random (mean) 67.9 · perfect 262.8 · percentile 78% E2021 round 7: optimizer 92.5 · random (mean) 61.7 · perfect 239.5 · percentile 90% E2021 round 8: optimizer 96.0 · random (mean) 67.5 · perfect 227.6 · percentile 88% E2021 round 9: optimizer 152.9 · random (mean) 68.9 · perfect 254.1 · percentile 100% E2021 round 10: optimizer 138.3 · random (mean) 71.9 · perfect 294.8 · percentile 98% E2021 round 11: optimizer 92.8 · random (mean) 67.5 · perfect 258.9 · percentile 85% E2021 round 12: optimizer 96.8 · random (mean) 70.3 · perfect 249.2 · percentile 89% E2021 round 13: optimizer 127.4 · random (mean) 71.1 · perfect 266.9 · percentile 98% E2021 round 14: optimizer 83.3 · random (mean) 65.4 · perfect 261.2 · percentile 77% E2021 round 15: optimizer 135.1 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 236.4 · percentile 100% E2021 round 16: optimizer 129.8 · random (mean) 64.7 · perfect 238.1 · percentile 99% E2021 round 17: optimizer 130.3 · random (mean) 71.2 · perfect 261.5 · percentile 97% E2021 round 18: optimizer 89.4 · random (mean) 69.7 · perfect 243.1 · percentile 78% E2021 round 19: optimizer 106.4 · random (mean) 72.0 · perfect 252.4 · percentile 90% E2021 round 20: optimizer 111.0 · random (mean) 66.1 · perfect 236.7 · percentile 96% E2021 round 21: optimizer 87.8 · random (mean) 69.6 · perfect 266.6 · percentile 78% E2021 round 22: optimizer 58.4 · random (mean) 58.3 · perfect 235.8 · percentile 53% E2021 round 23: optimizer 54.6 · random (mean) 62.0 · perfect 229.6 · percentile 39% E2021 round 24: optimizer 141.8 · random (mean) 68.2 · perfect 266.7 · percentile 100% E2021 round 25: optimizer 80.3 · random (mean) 59.1 · perfect 201.2 · percentile 85% E2021 round 26: optimizer 91.1 · random (mean) 63.9 · perfect 250.3 · percentile 85% E2021 round 27: optimizer 149.6 · random (mean) 56.3 · perfect 212.4 · percentile 100% E2021 round 28: optimizer 136.8 · random (mean) 71.2 · perfect 226.6 · percentile 100% E2021 round 29: optimizer 150.6 · random (mean) 64.3 · perfect 238.1 · percentile 100% E2021 round 30: optimizer 142.5 · random (mean) 67.9 · perfect 225.3 · percentile 100% E2021 round 31: optimizer 57.7 · random (mean) 60.3 · perfect 232.0 · percentile 49% E2021 round 32: optimizer 102.7 · random (mean) 62.5 · perfect 198.7 · percentile 96% E2021 round 33: optimizer 87.4 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 242.6 · percentile 81% E2021 round 34: optimizer 116.0 · random (mean) 67.4 · perfect 226.2 · percentile 97% E2022 round 2: optimizer 136.1 · random (mean) 75.0 · perfect 265.4 · percentile 98% E2022 round 3: optimizer 81.3 · random (mean) 70.7 · perfect 255.0 · percentile 68% E2022 round 4: optimizer 99.4 · random (mean) 67.8 · perfect 242.7 · percentile 89% E2022 round 5: optimizer 137.4 · random (mean) 64.8 · perfect 244.0 · percentile 100% E2022 round 6: optimizer 144.9 · random (mean) 72.5 · perfect 244.9 · percentile 100% E2022 round 7: optimizer 145.1 · random (mean) 66.7 · perfect 246.8 · percentile 100% E2022 round 8: optimizer 110.2 · random (mean) 61.0 · perfect 263.2 · percentile 96% E2022 round 9: optimizer 98.6 · random (mean) 64.5 · perfect 244.3 · percentile 92% E2022 round 10: optimizer 153.2 · random (mean) 64.4 · perfect 247.1 · percentile 100% E2022 round 11: optimizer 141.6 · random (mean) 65.3 · perfect 267.5 · percentile 100% E2022 round 12: optimizer 103.5 · random (mean) 67.3 · perfect 225.7 · percentile 93% E2022 round 13: optimizer 95.9 · random (mean) 63.0 · perfect 240.7 · percentile 91% E2022 round 14: optimizer 115.4 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 248.4 · percentile 97% E2022 round 15: optimizer 78.5 · random (mean) 64.1 · perfect 240.7 · percentile 73% E2022 round 16: optimizer 130.7 · random (mean) 72.1 · perfect 270.2 · percentile 98% E2022 round 17: optimizer 102.6 · random (mean) 65.7 · perfect 250.3 · percentile 95% E2022 round 18: optimizer 111.3 · random (mean) 65.0 · perfect 267.6 · percentile 95% E2022 round 19: optimizer 75.5 · random (mean) 65.0 · perfect 284.3 · percentile 69% E2022 round 20: optimizer 92.1 · random (mean) 65.4 · perfect 246.9 · percentile 87% E2022 round 21: optimizer 110.1 · random (mean) 69.4 · perfect 284.3 · percentile 93% E2022 round 22: optimizer 81.0 · random (mean) 64.1 · perfect 226.7 · percentile 77% E2022 round 23: optimizer 107.6 · random (mean) 66.2 · perfect 251.6 · percentile 96% E2022 round 24: optimizer 117.7 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 270.3 · percentile 97% E2022 round 25: optimizer 106.7 · random (mean) 65.6 · perfect 244.9 · percentile 95% E2022 round 26: optimizer 148.4 · random (mean) 65.8 · perfect 253.0 · percentile 100% E2022 round 27: optimizer 65.7 · random (mean) 60.0 · perfect 232.8 · percentile 61% E2022 round 28: optimizer 136.9 · random (mean) 64.7 · perfect 217.1 · percentile 100% E2022 round 29: optimizer 128.6 · random (mean) 62.5 · perfect 240.3 · percentile 100% E2022 round 30: optimizer 170.6 · random (mean) 67.1 · perfect 241.8 · percentile 100% E2022 round 31: optimizer 185.7 · random (mean) 67.6 · perfect 289.4 · percentile 100% E2022 round 32: optimizer 116.5 · random (mean) 61.1 · perfect 247.6 · percentile 98% E2022 round 33: optimizer 157.3 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 258.4 · percentile 100% E2022 round 34: optimizer 114.5 · random (mean) 66.9 · perfect 257.5 · percentile 96% E2023 round 2: optimizer 116.8 · random (mean) 70.1 · perfect 271.8 · percentile 95% E2023 round 3: optimizer 146.3 · random (mean) 65.3 · perfect 243.3 · percentile 100% E2023 round 4: optimizer 128.4 · random (mean) 74.2 · perfect 260.4 · percentile 97% E2023 round 5: optimizer 103.7 · random (mean) 64.9 · perfect 230.3 · percentile 93% E2023 round 6: optimizer 138.6 · random (mean) 66.9 · perfect 235.8 · percentile 100% E2023 round 7: optimizer 91.8 · random (mean) 69.4 · perfect 275.9 · percentile 83% E2023 round 8: optimizer 83.8 · random (mean) 63.6 · perfect 234.0 · percentile 81% E2023 round 9: optimizer 109.1 · random (mean) 67.4 · perfect 251.3 · percentile 94% E2023 round 10: optimizer 116.2 · random (mean) 70.4 · perfect 256.5 · percentile 96% E2023 round 11: optimizer 105.5 · random (mean) 71.3 · perfect 261.9 · percentile 91% E2023 round 12: optimizer 82.4 · random (mean) 61.8 · perfect 257.6 · percentile 81% E2023 round 13: optimizer 166.2 · random (mean) 65.6 · perfect 261.5 · percentile 100% E2023 round 14: optimizer 170.6 · random (mean) 64.6 · perfect 243.1 · percentile 100% E2023 round 15: optimizer 106.9 · random (mean) 61.0 · perfect 235.3 · percentile 97% E2023 round 16: optimizer 89.7 · random (mean) 64.3 · perfect 254.6 · percentile 85% E2023 round 17: optimizer 87.5 · random (mean) 63.6 · perfect 231.0 · percentile 85% E2023 round 18: optimizer 83.7 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 254.8 · percentile 77% E2023 round 19: optimizer 168.5 · random (mean) 67.4 · perfect 297.0 · percentile 100% E2023 round 20: optimizer 109.0 · random (mean) 65.5 · perfect 226.0 · percentile 96% E2023 round 21: optimizer 109.8 · random (mean) 64.4 · perfect 281.8 · percentile 95% E2023 round 22: optimizer 146.1 · random (mean) 63.7 · perfect 263.4 · percentile 100% E2023 round 23: optimizer 83.8 · random (mean) 59.3 · perfect 256.1 · percentile 84% E2023 round 24: optimizer 159.8 · random (mean) 65.6 · perfect 263.0 · percentile 100% E2023 round 25: optimizer 138.1 · random (mean) 59.9 · perfect 260.6 · percentile 100% E2023 round 26: optimizer 142.7 · random (mean) 67.1 · perfect 268.9 · percentile 99% E2023 round 27: optimizer 88.2 · random (mean) 70.1 · perfect 267.3 · percentile 77% E2023 round 28: optimizer 131.6 · random (mean) 62.9 · perfect 216.3 · percentile 100% E2023 round 29: optimizer 86.6 · random (mean) 58.8 · perfect 234.5 · percentile 89% E2023 round 30: optimizer 132.6 · random (mean) 59.7 · perfect 270.3 · percentile 99% E2023 round 31: optimizer 92.8 · random (mean) 64.7 · perfect 245.9 · percentile 89% E2023 round 32: optimizer 100.5 · random (mean) 66.6 · perfect 290.6 · percentile 90% E2023 round 33: optimizer 96.0 · random (mean) 61.4 · perfect 230.1 · percentile 92% E2023 round 34: optimizer 90.8 · random (mean) 59.0 · perfect 234.1 · percentile 91% E2024 round 2: optimizer 159.2 · random (mean) 73.2 · perfect 237.0 · percentile 100% E2024 round 3: optimizer 98.6 · random (mean) 62.6 · perfect 230.4 · percentile 93% E2024 round 4: optimizer 160.1 · random (mean) 75.7 · perfect 256.3 · percentile 100% E2024 round 5: optimizer 65.1 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 233.4 · percentile 53% E2024 round 6: optimizer 91.0 · random (mean) 69.5 · perfect 213.7 · percentile 84% E2024 round 7: optimizer 92.8 · random (mean) 63.7 · perfect 233.0 · percentile 88% E2024 round 8: optimizer 125.8 · random (mean) 69.7 · perfect 249.8 · percentile 98% E2024 round 9: optimizer 109.6 · random (mean) 75.5 · perfect 283.0 · percentile 91% E2024 round 10: optimizer 48.4 · random (mean) 64.4 · perfect 247.0 · percentile 28% E2024 round 11: optimizer 123.5 · random (mean) 70.3 · perfect 252.7 · percentile 97% E2024 round 12: optimizer 132.5 · random (mean) 66.9 · perfect 271.4 · percentile 98% E2024 round 13: optimizer 126.2 · random (mean) 69.0 · perfect 226.4 · percentile 98% E2024 round 14: optimizer 108.8 · random (mean) 65.0 · perfect 251.4 · percentile 95% E2024 round 15: optimizer 86.8 · random (mean) 70.2 · perfect 241.4 · percentile 75% E2024 round 16: optimizer 101.3 · random (mean) 67.4 · perfect 268.6 · percentile 89% E2024 round 17: optimizer 93.3 · random (mean) 69.4 · perfect 263.1 · percentile 82% E2024 round 18: optimizer 132.2 · random (mean) 65.3 · perfect 241.4 · percentile 99% E2024 round 19: optimizer 77.3 · random (mean) 65.6 · perfect 259.9 · percentile 70% E2024 round 20: optimizer 58.7 · random (mean) 66.3 · perfect 295.8 · percentile 42% E2024 round 21: optimizer 105.0 · random (mean) 69.6 · perfect 274.1 · percentile 91% E2024 round 22: optimizer 129.6 · random (mean) 69.1 · perfect 255.6 · percentile 99% E2024 round 23: optimizer 103.5 · random (mean) 69.8 · perfect 255.8 · percentile 90% E2024 round 24: optimizer 90.5 · random (mean) 61.0 · perfect 245.2 · percentile 89% E2024 round 25: optimizer 134.3 · random (mean) 57.7 · perfect 213.8 · percentile 100% E2024 round 26: optimizer 138.7 · random (mean) 60.5 · perfect 248.2 · percentile 100% E2024 round 27: optimizer 86.7 · random (mean) 65.3 · perfect 242.4 · percentile 81% E2024 round 28: optimizer 78.7 · random (mean) 59.4 · perfect 217.9 · percentile 82% E2024 round 29: optimizer 123.1 · random (mean) 64.1 · perfect 241.8 · percentile 99% E2024 round 30: optimizer 130.5 · random (mean) 61.7 · perfect 267.9 · percentile 99% E2024 round 31: optimizer 133.0 · random (mean) 66.1 · perfect 235.7 · percentile 99% E2024 round 32: optimizer 102.3 · random (mean) 66.8 · perfect 234.8 · percentile 91% E2024 round 33: optimizer 148.7 · random (mean) 67.6 · perfect 277.4 · percentile 99% E2024 round 34: optimizer 109.2 · random (mean) 66.3 · perfect 252.6 · percentile 95% E2025 round 2: optimizer 124.3 · random (mean) 82.8 · perfect 285.5 · percentile 93% E2025 round 3: optimizer 212.3 · random (mean) 72.4 · perfect 267.8 · percentile 100% E2025 round 4: optimizer 103.6 · random (mean) 68.7 · perfect 264.6 · percentile 90% E2025 round 5: optimizer 142.0 · random (mean) 65.1 · perfect 240.1 · percentile 100% E2025 round 6: optimizer 104.6 · random (mean) 73.9 · perfect 259.3 · percentile 89% E2025 round 7: optimizer 136.4 · random (mean) 66.9 · perfect 254.2 · percentile 99% E2025 round 8: optimizer 117.7 · random (mean) 61.6 · perfect 266.5 · percentile 97% E2025 round 9: optimizer 110.1 · random (mean) 73.4 · perfect 282.0 · percentile 92% E2025 round 10: optimizer 108.8 · random (mean) 72.5 · perfect 270.0 · percentile 90% E2025 round 11: optimizer 102.6 · random (mean) 67.1 · perfect 250.8 · percentile 91% E2025 round 12: optimizer 94.8 · random (mean) 72.2 · perfect 257.6 · percentile 82% E2025 round 13: optimizer 133.8 · random (mean) 66.8 · perfect 276.7 · percentile 99% E2025 round 14: optimizer 114.8 · random (mean) 68.7 · perfect 283.6 · percentile 96% E2025 round 15: optimizer 115.2 · random (mean) 71.9 · perfect 270.0 · percentile 94% E2025 round 16: optimizer 65.8 · random (mean) 65.3 · perfect 269.0 · percentile 54% E2025 round 17: optimizer 142.8 · random (mean) 72.2 · perfect 266.2 · percentile 99% E2025 round 18: optimizer 138.4 · random (mean) 73.8 · perfect 267.4 · percentile 99% E2025 round 19: optimizer 94.6 · random (mean) 73.0 · perfect 253.2 · percentile 81% E2025 round 20: optimizer 75.9 · random (mean) 66.1 · perfect 269.6 · percentile 66% E2025 round 21: optimizer 155.1 · random (mean) 65.9 · perfect 253.0 · percentile 100% E2025 round 22: optimizer 93.4 · random (mean) 67.2 · perfect 249.5 · percentile 87% E2025 round 23: optimizer 119.5 · random (mean) 66.7 · perfect 255.9 · percentile 98% E2025 round 24: optimizer 91.3 · random (mean) 64.1 · perfect 250.5 · percentile 87% E2025 round 25: optimizer 101.2 · random (mean) 69.2 · perfect 253.2 · percentile 89% E2025 round 26: optimizer 108.8 · random (mean) 67.3 · perfect 251.7 · percentile 93% E2025 round 27: optimizer 144.0 · random (mean) 65.5 · perfect 248.1 · percentile 100% E2025 round 28: optimizer 115.5 · random (mean) 66.5 · perfect 257.4 · percentile 97% E2025 round 29: optimizer 84.5 · random (mean) 68.3 · perfect 258.4 · percentile 74% E2025 round 30: optimizer 131.6 · random (mean) 67.3 · perfect 209.6 · percentile 100% E2025 round 31: optimizer 97.4 · random (mean) 61.9 · perfect 267.8 · percentile 92% E2025 round 32: optimizer 95.5 · random (mean) 65.2 · perfect 236.6 · percentile 90% E2025 round 33: optimizer 84.1 · random (mean) 69.5 · perfect 250.2 · percentile 75% E2025 round 34: optimizer 130.9 · random (mean) 77.5 · perfect 265.9 · percentile 97% E2025 round 35: optimizer 108.2 · random (mean) 68.2 · perfect 266.5 · percentile 94% E2025 round 36: optimizer 126.7 · random (mean) 62.5 · perfect 278.3 · percentile 99% E2025 round 37: optimizer 51.0 · random (mean) 64.5 · perfect 259.4 · percentile 30% E2025 round 38: optimizer 187.3 · random (mean) 63.1 · perfect 271.3 · percentile 100% E2026 round 2: optimizer 132.4 · random (mean) 81.4 · perfect 240.9 · percentile 99% E2026 round 3: optimizer 157.3 · random (mean) 69.1 · perfect 282.6 · percentile 100% E2026 round 4: optimizer 182.9 · random (mean) 69.3 · perfect 262.7 · percentile 100% E2026 round 5: optimizer 75.9 · random (mean) 69.6 · perfect 250.9 · percentile 63% E2026 round 6: optimizer 165.0 · random (mean) 71.2 · perfect 273.9 · percentile 100% E2026 round 7: optimizer 107.7 · random (mean) 71.2 · perfect 255.0 · percentile 92% E2026 round 8: optimizer 118.5 · random (mean) 71.7 · perfect 250.2 · percentile 97% E2026 round 9: optimizer 114.1 · random (mean) 66.9 · perfect 251.8 · percentile 96% each bar = one round · line = 50% (a random lineup)
Projections Rounds Median pct Mean pct Top 10% Top 25% Avg rank /2000 Points vs random vs perfect Captain right Bench optimal pir-2stage-v1 196 95% 86% 63% 80% 280 108.8 +42.4 −143.4 37% 5% pir-2stage-v2 208 96% 91% 69% 92% 188 114.5 +47.8 −137.7 40% 5% pir-lgbm-v1 196 94% 86% 61% 79% 291 106.8 +40.5 −145.4 36% 4% Positional average 202 81% 73% 33% 60% 533 88.8 +22.4 −163.4 26% 0% 10-game average 202 93% 86% 60% 81% 289 104.7 +38.4 −147.4 48% 12%
CSV ↓
Simplifications: one turn per round, no coach, budget 100, mode balanced, estimated prices from the 10-game PIR average (no public historical prices). There is no historical user lineup; the baseline is the same optimizer on the 10-game average. “Captain right” = best starter of the lineup. “Bench optimal” = no better placement of the same 10.
Captain evaluation ⓘ
Best of the round 7% Top 5 22% Top 10 34% Median percentile 91% Average rank 30.8 Points missed vs best 34.8 Projection error 15.9 n 196
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% E2024 round 16: Nikola Mirotic · 32.0 captain points · rank 33/191 E2024 round 17: Nikola Mirotic · 50.0 captain points · rank 13/191 E2024 round 18: Nikola Mirotic · 38.0 captain points · rank 25/191 E2024 round 19: Theo Maledon · 20.0 captain points · rank 65/191 E2024 round 20: Sasha Vezenkov · 114.4 captain points · rank 1/191 E2024 round 21: Sasha Vezenkov · 41.8 captain points · rank 25/191 E2024 round 22: Sasha Vezenkov · 46.2 captain points · rank 18/191 E2024 round 23: Sasha Vezenkov · 48.0 captain points · rank 14/191 E2024 round 24: Sasha Vezenkov · 74.8 captain points · rank 3/191 E2024 round 25: Sasha Vezenkov · 66.0 captain points · rank 1/191 E2024 round 26: Chima Moneke · 61.6 captain points · rank 6/191 E2024 round 27: Sasha Vezenkov · 30.8 captain points · rank 38/191 E2024 round 28: Sasha Vezenkov · 46.2 captain points · rank 7/191 E2024 round 29: Sasha Vezenkov · 52.8 captain points · rank 4/191 E2024 round 30: Sasha Vezenkov · 44.0 captain points · rank 18/191 E2024 round 31: Sasha Vezenkov · 72.0 captain points · rank 2/191 E2024 round 32: Sasha Vezenkov · 48.0 captain points · rank 15/191 E2024 round 33: Sasha Vezenkov · 39.6 captain points · rank 26/191 E2024 round 34: Sasha Vezenkov · 50.6 captain points · rank 10/191 E2025 round 4: Sasha Vezenkov · 38.0 captain points · rank 26/195 E2025 round 5: Sasha Vezenkov · 68.2 captain points · rank 1/197 E2025 round 6: Sasha Vezenkov · 48.4 captain points · rank 11/198 E2025 round 7: Sasha Vezenkov · 40.0 captain points · rank 24/201 E2025 round 8: Sasha Vezenkov · 33.0 captain points · rank 35/201 E2025 round 9: Sasha Vezenkov · 39.6 captain points · rank 27/203 E2025 round 10: Sasha Vezenkov · 41.8 captain points · rank 21/204 E2025 round 11: Filip Petrusev · 37.4 captain points · rank 28/205 E2025 round 12: Sasha Vezenkov · 13.2 captain points · rank 105/205 E2025 round 13: Elijah Bryant · 30.0 captain points · rank 38/207 E2025 round 14: Elijah Bryant · 22.0 captain points · rank 65/207 E2025 round 15: Filip Petrusev · 22.0 captain points · rank 73/208 E2025 round 16: Sylvain Francisco · 20.0 captain points · rank 77/208 E2025 round 17: Sylvain Francisco · 50.6 captain points · rank 14/208 E2025 round 18: Mckinley Wright Iv · 66.0 captain points · rank 3/208 E2025 round 19: Elijah Bryant · 30.0 captain points · rank 55/208 E2025 round 20: Elijah Bryant · 28.6 captain points · rank 50/208 E2025 round 21: Sasha Vezenkov · 77.0 captain points · rank 1/208 E2025 round 22: Sasha Vezenkov · 70.4 captain points · rank 2/208 E2025 round 23: Sasha Vezenkov · 70.4 captain points · rank 3/208 E2025 round 24: Sasha Vezenkov · 44.0 captain points · rank 17/208 E2025 round 25: Sasha Vezenkov · 59.4 captain points · rank 4/208 E2025 round 26: Sasha Vezenkov · 24.0 captain points · rank 63/208 E2025 round 27: Sasha Vezenkov · 68.2 captain points · rank 2/208 E2025 round 28: Sasha Vezenkov · 55.0 captain points · rank 8/208 E2025 round 29: Sasha Vezenkov · 0.0 captain points · rank 155/208 E2025 round 30: Sylvain Francisco · 14.0 captain points · rank 101/208 E2025 round 31: Mfiondu Kabengele · 37.4 captain points · rank 20/208 E2025 round 32: Elijah Bryant · 30.8 captain points · rank 42/208 E2025 round 33: Mfiondu Kabengele · 36.0 captain points · rank 31/208 E2025 round 34: Mfiondu Kabengele · 52.0 captain points · rank 16/208 E2025 round 35: Mfiondu Kabengele · 46.2 captain points · rank 15/208 E2025 round 36: Elijah Bryant · 70.4 captain points · rank 3/208 E2025 round 37: Elijah Bryant · 22.0 captain points · rank 74/208 E2025 round 38: Moses Wright · 94.6 captain points · rank 1/208 E2026 round 4: Elijah Bryant · 46.0 captain points · rank 12/219 E2026 round 5: Elijah Bryant · 33.0 captain points · rank 38/226 E2026 round 6: Elijah Bryant · 48.4 captain points · rank 12/226 E2026 round 7: Elijah Bryant · 28.6 captain points · rank 48/226 E2026 round 8: Sasha Vezenkov · 41.8 captain points · rank 20/226 E2026 round 9: Sasha Vezenkov · 48.4 captain points · rank 10/226
Captain risk calibration ⓘ
Risk n P10–P90 width P10–P90 Actual SD MAE Low risk 74 20.5 72% 19.5 16.0 Medium 58 22.0 78% 20.9 15.6 High 64 24.0 83% 21.3 16.1
CSV ↓
Model comparison ⓘ
Model n MAE RMSE Corr R² Hit O/U P10–P90 ECE Optimizer pct Captain top 10 pir-2stage-v1 37426 5.56 7.15 0.49 0.24 63% 81% 0.030 95% 31% ★ pir-2stage-v2 active 37426 5.53 7.11 0.50 0.25 64% 82% 0.032 96% 34% pir-lgbm-v1 37426 5.56 7.15 0.49 0.24 63% 81% 0.029 94% 32% Positional average 37426 6.68 8.19 0.07 0.00 53% 81% 0.040 81% 14% 10-game average 37426 5.66 7.38 0.47 0.19 70% 82% 0.023 93% 29%
CSV ↓
pir-2stage-v2 pir-2stage-v1 pir-lgbm-v1 Positional average 10-game average
Versions and rollback
Version Engine Status Since Description pir-2stage-v1 hgb retired 2026-10-20 Δύο στάδια: λεπτά × PIR/λεπτό με HistGradientBoosting (scikit-learn) πάνω σε Bayesian baseline, P10/P50/P90 με quantile regression και conformal διεύρυνση pir-lgbm-v1 lgbm challenger 2026-11-05 Ίδια features και δομή με το pir-2stage-v1, με LightGBM αντί για HistGradientBoosting pir-2stage-v2 hgb production 2026-11-05 Όπως το v1, συν: προηγούμενη σεζόν του παίκτη ως αφετηρία, εκπαίδευση και σε 2 προηγούμενες σεζόν (προβλέπει από τη 2η αγωνιστική), ταξίδι, φάουλ ανά 36', λεπτά συμπαικτών που λείπουν
CSV ↓
The active version is set in data/fantasy/models.json. If a new version is worse than the previous one, an alert recommends a rollback (python fantasy/perf_run.py --rollback <version> or the GitHub workflow input rollback_to). Previous version: pir-2stage-v1.
What v2 adds ⓘ
Start of season (rounds 2–3) v1 cannot project before round 4; v2 can, thanks to previous seasons.
Model n MAE Corr pir-2stage-v2 1098 5.65 0.48 Positional average 1098 6.65 0.03 10-game average 1098 6.28 0.39
CSV ↓
Players with and without history (MAE) Group n pir-2stage-v2 pir-2stage-v1 pir-lgbm-v1 Positional average 10-game average No previous-season history 17587 5.39 5.39 5.39 6.58 5.46 Played the previous season 19839 5.66 5.71 5.71 6.77 5.84
CSV ↓
Captain rule: expected or upside ⓘ Model n Points (expected) Top 10 Points (upside) Top 10 pir-2stage-v2 196 41.4 31% 42.0 34% pir-2stage-v1 196 39.8 29% 40.4 31% pir-lgbm-v1 196 39.7 30% 40.8 32% Positional average 196 26.9 17% 26.2 14% 10-game average 196 40.6 29% 40.6 29%
CSV ↓
Historical trend ⓘ 4.0 5.3 6.5 7.8 9.0 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 4: 6.71 (n=176) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 5: 6.22 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 6: 5.32 (n=184) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 7: 5.98 (n=186) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 8: 5.80 (n=186) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 9: 5.29 (n=187) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 10: 6.04 (n=187) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 11: 5.74 (n=187) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 12: 5.48 (n=188) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 13: 5.32 (n=188) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 14: 5.49 (n=189) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 15: 4.94 (n=189) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 16: 5.34 (n=189) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 17: 5.22 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 18: 6.26 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 19: 5.27 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 20: 4.86 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 21: 5.21 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 22: 5.40 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 23: 5.01 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 24: 5.81 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 25: 5.68 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 26: 5.57 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 27: 5.32 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 28: 4.84 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 29: 5.28 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 30: 5.17 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 31: 5.36 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 32: 5.53 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 33: 5.26 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2020 round 34: 5.61 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 4: 5.64 (n=164) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 5: 5.54 (n=164) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 6: 5.80 (n=170) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 7: 5.36 (n=171) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 8: 4.80 (n=172) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 9: 5.17 (n=173) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 10: 6.03 (n=174) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 11: 5.58 (n=175) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 12: 5.05 (n=175) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 13: 5.36 (n=175) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 14: 5.76 (n=176) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 15: 5.19 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 16: 5.44 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 17: 6.77 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 18: 5.98 (n=160) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 19: 5.91 (n=141) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 20: 5.66 (n=160) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 21: 5.84 (n=139) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 22: 6.34 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 23: 5.35 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 24: 5.45 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 25: 4.80 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 26: 6.00 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 27: 5.79 (n=127) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 28: 5.04 (n=125) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 29: 5.68 (n=130) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 30: 5.97 (n=126) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 31: 5.88 (n=145) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 32: 4.74 (n=130) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 33: 5.80 (n=147) pir-2stage-v1 · E2021 round 34: 5.91 (n=127) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 4: 5.96 (n=177) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 5: 5.11 (n=180) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 6: 5.27 (n=184) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 7: 5.47 (n=189) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 8: 5.85 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 9: 5.11 (n=193) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 10: 4.96 (n=195) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 11: 5.61 (n=196) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 12: 5.06 (n=197) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 13: 5.49 (n=197) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 14: 5.75 (n=197) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 15: 5.17 (n=197) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 16: 6.17 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 17: 5.07 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 18: 5.82 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 19: 5.73 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 20: 5.55 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 21: 5.88 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 22: 5.48 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 23: 5.09 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 24: 5.59 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 25: 5.57 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 26: 5.38 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 27: 5.67 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 28: 5.16 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 29: 5.41 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 30: 5.45 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 31: 5.20 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 32: 5.58 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 33: 5.42 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2022 round 34: 5.43 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 4: 5.83 (n=185) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 5: 5.44 (n=188) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 6: 5.73 (n=190) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 7: 5.38 (n=192) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 8: 5.47 (n=195) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 9: 5.45 (n=196) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 10: 5.30 (n=196) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 11: 5.18 (n=196) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 12: 5.56 (n=196) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 13: 4.94 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 14: 5.43 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 15: 4.86 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 16: 5.19 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 17: 5.69 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 18: 5.86 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 19: 5.32 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 20: 4.90 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 21: 6.15 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 22: 5.57 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 23: 5.91 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 24: 5.96 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 25: 5.66 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 26: 5.28 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 27: 5.82 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 28: 5.11 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 29: 4.85 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 30: 5.65 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 31: 4.92 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 32: 5.51 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 33: 5.38 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2023 round 34: 5.41 (n=199) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 4: 6.08 (n=181) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 5: 5.45 (n=182) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 6: 5.01 (n=184) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 7: 5.72 (n=186) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 8: 5.75 (n=186) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 9: 5.58 (n=190) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 10: 5.76 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 11: 5.68 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 12: 5.38 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 13: 5.52 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 14: 4.76 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 15: 5.93 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 16: 5.97 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 17: 5.38 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 18: 5.32 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 19: 5.41 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 20: 6.51 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 21: 5.91 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 22: 5.82 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 23: 5.75 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 24: 5.84 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 25: 4.50 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 26: 5.02 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 27: 6.14 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 28: 4.85 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 29: 5.24 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 30: 6.08 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 31: 5.53 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 32: 5.53 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 33: 5.72 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2024 round 34: 5.47 (n=191) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 4: 6.24 (n=195) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 5: 5.92 (n=197) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 6: 5.64 (n=198) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 7: 5.65 (n=201) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 8: 5.62 (n=201) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 9: 5.80 (n=203) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 10: 5.51 (n=204) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 11: 5.49 (n=205) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 12: 6.00 (n=205) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 13: 5.30 (n=207) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 14: 5.90 (n=207) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 15: 6.07 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 16: 5.67 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 17: 5.66 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 18: 5.75 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 19: 5.89 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 20: 6.45 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 21: 5.43 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 22: 5.52 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 23: 5.39 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 24: 5.39 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 25: 5.95 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 26: 5.93 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 27: 5.46 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 28: 5.81 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 29: 6.30 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 30: 5.25 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 31: 5.30 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 32: 5.75 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 33: 5.32 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 34: 5.95 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 35: 5.82 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 36: 6.38 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 37: 5.63 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2025 round 38: 5.50 (n=208) pir-2stage-v1 · E2026 round 4: 5.47 (n=219) pir-2stage-v1 · E2026 round 5: 5.45 (n=226) pir-2stage-v1 · E2026 round 6: 5.86 (n=226) pir-2stage-v1 · E2026 round 7: 6.08 (n=226) pir-2stage-v1 · E2026 round 8: 5.89 (n=226) pir-2stage-v1 · E2026 round 9: 5.67 (n=226) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 4: 6.71 (n=176) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 5: 6.21 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 6: 5.22 (n=184) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 7: 6.08 (n=186) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 8: 5.82 (n=186) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 9: 5.25 (n=187) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 10: 6.04 (n=187) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 11: 5.75 (n=187) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 12: 5.50 (n=188) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 13: 5.30 (n=188) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 14: 5.47 (n=189) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 15: 4.95 (n=189) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 16: 5.32 (n=189) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 17: 5.20 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 18: 6.26 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 19: 5.28 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 20: 4.85 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 21: 5.22 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 22: 5.40 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 23: 5.05 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 24: 5.81 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 25: 5.69 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 26: 5.56 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 27: 5.33 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 28: 4.83 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 29: 5.28 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 30: 5.15 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 31: 5.37 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 32: 5.53 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 33: 5.27 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 34: 5.60 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 4: 5.64 (n=164) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 5: 5.36 (n=164) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 6: 5.78 (n=170) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 7: 5.28 (n=171) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 8: 4.78 (n=172) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 9: 5.01 (n=173) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 10: 5.93 (n=174) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 11: 5.64 (n=175) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 12: 4.93 (n=175) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 13: 5.22 (n=175) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 14: 5.66 (n=176) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 15: 5.16 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 16: 5.35 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 17: 6.67 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 18: 5.95 (n=160) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 19: 5.96 (n=141) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 20: 5.60 (n=160) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 21: 5.82 (n=139) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 22: 6.31 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 23: 5.36 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 24: 5.42 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 25: 4.75 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 26: 5.96 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 27: 5.86 (n=127) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 28: 4.93 (n=125) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 29: 5.67 (n=130) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 30: 5.93 (n=126) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 31: 5.76 (n=145) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 32: 4.68 (n=130) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 33: 5.74 (n=147) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 34: 5.83 (n=127) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 4: 5.89 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 5: 5.01 (n=180) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 6: 5.18 (n=184) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 7: 5.40 (n=189) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 8: 5.92 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 9: 5.22 (n=193) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 10: 4.96 (n=195) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 11: 5.52 (n=196) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 12: 5.01 (n=197) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 13: 5.40 (n=197) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 14: 5.64 (n=197) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 15: 5.08 (n=197) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 16: 6.13 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 17: 5.01 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 18: 5.80 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 19: 5.66 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 20: 5.44 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 21: 5.86 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 22: 5.53 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 23: 5.05 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 24: 5.57 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 25: 5.58 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 26: 5.30 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 27: 5.58 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 28: 5.11 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 29: 5.34 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 30: 5.39 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 31: 5.24 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 32: 5.59 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 33: 5.37 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 34: 5.38 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 4: 5.68 (n=185) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 5: 5.34 (n=188) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 6: 5.71 (n=190) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 7: 5.48 (n=192) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 8: 5.14 (n=195) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 9: 5.38 (n=196) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 10: 5.41 (n=196) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 11: 5.27 (n=196) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 12: 5.56 (n=196) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 13: 4.90 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 14: 5.51 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 15: 4.88 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 16: 5.25 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 17: 5.74 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 18: 5.78 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 19: 5.29 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 20: 4.91 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 21: 6.12 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 22: 5.55 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 23: 5.92 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 24: 5.91 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 25: 5.68 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 26: 5.37 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 27: 5.84 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 28: 5.13 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 29: 4.87 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 30: 5.73 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 31: 4.96 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 32: 5.49 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 33: 5.33 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 34: 5.37 (n=199) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 4: 6.02 (n=181) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 5: 5.26 (n=182) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 6: 5.14 (n=184) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 7: 5.51 (n=186) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 8: 5.60 (n=186) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 9: 5.51 (n=190) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 10: 5.72 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 11: 5.77 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 12: 5.30 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 13: 5.48 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 14: 4.78 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 15: 6.07 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 16: 5.88 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 17: 5.39 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 18: 5.30 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 19: 5.38 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 20: 6.42 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 21: 5.88 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 22: 5.78 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 23: 5.72 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 24: 5.79 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 25: 4.48 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 26: 5.10 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 27: 6.13 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 28: 4.78 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 29: 5.10 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 30: 6.11 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 31: 5.54 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 32: 5.57 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 33: 5.71 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 34: 5.47 (n=191) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 4: 6.25 (n=195) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 5: 5.64 (n=197) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 6: 5.62 (n=198) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 7: 5.68 (n=201) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 8: 5.57 (n=201) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 9: 5.72 (n=203) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 10: 5.59 (n=204) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 11: 5.66 (n=205) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 12: 5.98 (n=205) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 13: 5.30 (n=207) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 14: 5.77 (n=207) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 15: 5.94 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 16: 5.60 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 17: 5.67 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 18: 5.68 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 19: 5.80 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 20: 6.40 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 21: 5.45 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 22: 5.53 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 23: 5.38 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 24: 5.33 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 25: 5.92 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 26: 5.81 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 27: 5.37 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 28: 5.82 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 29: 6.27 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 30: 5.20 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 31: 5.32 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 32: 5.74 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 33: 5.26 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 34: 5.92 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 35: 5.81 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 36: 6.33 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 37: 5.64 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 38: 5.51 (n=208) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 4: 5.48 (n=219) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 5: 5.57 (n=226) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 6: 5.64 (n=226) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 7: 6.01 (n=226) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 8: 5.87 (n=226) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 9: 5.54 (n=226) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 4: 6.69 (n=176) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 5: 6.24 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 6: 5.29 (n=184) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 7: 6.02 (n=186) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 8: 5.83 (n=186) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 9: 5.25 (n=187) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 10: 6.04 (n=187) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 11: 5.77 (n=187) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 12: 5.50 (n=188) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 13: 5.30 (n=188) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 14: 5.49 (n=189) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 15: 4.91 (n=189) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 16: 5.32 (n=189) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 17: 5.22 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 18: 6.27 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 19: 5.29 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 20: 4.85 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 21: 5.25 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 22: 5.41 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 23: 5.02 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 24: 5.83 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 25: 5.68 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 26: 5.58 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 27: 5.29 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 28: 4.84 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 29: 5.28 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 30: 5.15 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 31: 5.34 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 32: 5.53 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 33: 5.24 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2020 round 34: 5.60 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 4: 5.63 (n=164) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 5: 5.56 (n=164) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 6: 5.80 (n=170) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 7: 5.34 (n=171) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 8: 4.73 (n=172) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 9: 5.19 (n=173) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 10: 6.06 (n=174) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 11: 5.56 (n=175) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 12: 5.07 (n=175) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 13: 5.39 (n=175) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 14: 5.77 (n=176) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 15: 5.20 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 16: 5.42 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 17: 6.78 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 18: 5.97 (n=160) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 19: 5.92 (n=141) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 20: 5.65 (n=160) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 21: 5.85 (n=139) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 22: 6.34 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 23: 5.37 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 24: 5.46 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 25: 4.82 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 26: 6.00 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 27: 5.80 (n=127) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 28: 5.04 (n=125) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 29: 5.66 (n=130) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 30: 5.97 (n=126) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 31: 5.88 (n=145) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 32: 4.73 (n=130) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 33: 5.80 (n=147) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2021 round 34: 5.91 (n=127) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 4: 5.98 (n=177) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 5: 5.13 (n=180) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 6: 5.26 (n=184) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 7: 5.48 (n=189) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 8: 5.88 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 9: 5.12 (n=193) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 10: 4.94 (n=195) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 11: 5.62 (n=196) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 12: 5.06 (n=197) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 13: 5.50 (n=197) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 14: 5.76 (n=197) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 15: 5.14 (n=197) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 16: 6.14 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 17: 5.06 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 18: 5.81 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 19: 5.76 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 20: 5.53 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 21: 5.88 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 22: 5.49 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 23: 5.10 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 24: 5.58 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 25: 5.55 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 26: 5.37 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 27: 5.65 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 28: 5.16 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 29: 5.42 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 30: 5.45 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 31: 5.20 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 32: 5.60 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 33: 5.43 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2022 round 34: 5.42 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 4: 5.81 (n=185) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 5: 5.40 (n=188) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 6: 5.74 (n=190) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 7: 5.38 (n=192) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 8: 5.49 (n=195) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 9: 5.45 (n=196) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 10: 5.33 (n=196) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 11: 5.20 (n=196) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 12: 5.55 (n=196) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 13: 4.93 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 14: 5.45 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 15: 4.87 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 16: 5.18 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 17: 5.70 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 18: 5.85 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 19: 5.31 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 20: 4.93 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 21: 6.16 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 22: 5.56 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 23: 5.92 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 24: 5.96 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 25: 5.66 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 26: 5.28 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 27: 5.79 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 28: 5.10 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 29: 4.87 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 30: 5.66 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 31: 4.93 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 32: 5.52 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 33: 5.40 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2023 round 34: 5.39 (n=199) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 4: 6.08 (n=181) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 5: 5.45 (n=182) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 6: 5.03 (n=184) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 7: 5.76 (n=186) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 8: 5.70 (n=186) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 9: 5.56 (n=190) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 10: 5.79 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 11: 5.67 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 12: 5.39 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 13: 5.51 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 14: 4.78 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 15: 5.93 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 16: 5.97 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 17: 5.39 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 18: 5.31 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 19: 5.41 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 20: 6.51 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 21: 5.90 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 22: 5.83 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 23: 5.75 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 24: 5.83 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 25: 4.50 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 26: 5.02 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 27: 6.15 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 28: 4.84 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 29: 5.25 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 30: 6.10 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 31: 5.53 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 32: 5.54 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 33: 5.72 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2024 round 34: 5.46 (n=191) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 4: 6.25 (n=195) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 5: 5.91 (n=197) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 6: 5.63 (n=198) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 7: 5.68 (n=201) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 8: 5.60 (n=201) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 9: 5.78 (n=203) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 10: 5.52 (n=204) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 11: 5.50 (n=205) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 12: 6.00 (n=205) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 13: 5.30 (n=207) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 14: 5.91 (n=207) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 15: 6.05 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 16: 5.69 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 17: 5.66 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 18: 5.77 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 19: 5.89 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 20: 6.43 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 21: 5.43 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 22: 5.52 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 23: 5.39 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 24: 5.38 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 25: 5.92 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 26: 5.92 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 27: 5.48 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 28: 5.81 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 29: 6.31 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 30: 5.25 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 31: 5.32 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 32: 5.76 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 33: 5.33 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 34: 5.97 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 35: 5.81 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 36: 6.38 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 37: 5.63 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2025 round 38: 5.50 (n=208) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2026 round 4: 5.49 (n=219) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2026 round 5: 5.48 (n=226) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2026 round 6: 5.87 (n=226) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2026 round 7: 6.05 (n=226) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2026 round 8: 5.89 (n=226) pir-lgbm-v1 · E2026 round 9: 5.68 (n=226) Positional average · E2020 round 4: 7.62 (n=176) Positional average · E2020 round 5: 6.81 (n=177) Positional average · E2020 round 6: 6.40 (n=184) Positional average · E2020 round 7: 6.63 (n=186) Positional average · E2020 round 8: 6.66 (n=186) Positional average · E2020 round 9: 6.36 (n=187) Positional average · E2020 round 10: 7.03 (n=187) Positional average · E2020 round 11: 6.98 (n=187) Positional average · E2020 round 12: 6.21 (n=188) Positional average · E2020 round 13: 6.22 (n=188) Positional average · E2020 round 14: 6.75 (n=189) Positional average · E2020 round 15: 6.35 (n=189) Positional average · E2020 round 16: 6.62 (n=189) Positional average · E2020 round 17: 6.17 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 18: 7.04 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 19: 6.56 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 20: 5.93 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 21: 6.46 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 22: 6.32 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 23: 6.07 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 24: 7.11 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 25: 6.40 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 26: 6.68 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 27: 6.75 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 28: 6.20 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 29: 7.09 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 30: 6.52 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 31: 6.38 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 32: 7.04 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 33: 6.74 (n=191) Positional average · E2020 round 34: 6.50 (n=191) Positional average · E2021 round 4: 6.36 (n=164) Positional average · E2021 round 5: 6.26 (n=164) Positional average · E2021 round 6: 6.65 (n=170) Positional average · E2021 round 7: 6.48 (n=171) Positional average · E2021 round 8: 6.21 (n=172) Positional average · E2021 round 9: 5.92 (n=173) Positional average · E2021 round 10: 7.18 (n=174) Positional average · E2021 round 11: 6.47 (n=175) Positional average · E2021 round 12: 5.50 (n=175) Positional average · E2021 round 13: 6.66 (n=175) Positional average · E2021 round 14: 6.85 (n=176) Positional average · E2021 round 15: 6.30 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 16: 6.51 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 17: 7.67 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 18: 6.83 (n=160) Positional average · E2021 round 19: 6.55 (n=141) Positional average · E2021 round 20: 6.67 (n=160) Positional average · E2021 round 21: 6.36 (n=139) Positional average · E2021 round 22: 7.07 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 23: 6.44 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 24: 7.20 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 25: 5.93 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 26: 7.22 (n=177) Positional average · E2021 round 27: 7.06 (n=127) Positional average · E2021 round 28: 6.85 (n=125) Positional average · E2021 round 29: 7.18 (n=130) Positional average · E2021 round 30: 7.23 (n=126) Positional average · E2021 round 31: 6.94 (n=145) Positional average · E2021 round 32: 6.11 (n=130) Positional average · E2021 round 33: 6.61 (n=147) Positional average · E2021 round 34: 6.52 (n=127) Positional average · E2022 round 4: 6.86 (n=177) Positional average · E2022 round 5: 6.31 (n=180) Positional average · E2022 round 6: 6.63 (n=184) Positional average · E2022 round 7: 6.52 (n=189) Positional average · E2022 round 8: 6.62 (n=191) Positional average · E2022 round 9: 6.58 (n=193) Positional average · E2022 round 10: 6.52 (n=195) Positional average · E2022 round 11: 6.82 (n=196) Positional average · E2022 round 12: 6.08 (n=197) Positional average · E2022 round 13: 6.54 (n=197) Positional average · E2022 round 14: 6.92 (n=197) Positional average · E2022 round 15: 6.11 (n=197) Positional average · E2022 round 16: 7.16 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 17: 5.62 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 18: 6.75 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 19: 6.47 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 20: 6.03 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 21: 6.86 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 22: 6.13 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 23: 5.93 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 24: 6.63 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 25: 6.56 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 26: 6.45 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 27: 6.22 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 28: 6.29 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 29: 7.11 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 30: 7.11 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 31: 6.35 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 32: 6.53 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 33: 6.23 (n=198) Positional average · E2022 round 34: 6.63 (n=198) Positional average · E2023 round 4: 6.58 (n=185) Positional average · E2023 round 5: 6.51 (n=188) Positional average · E2023 round 6: 6.69 (n=190) Positional average · E2023 round 7: 6.69 (n=192) Positional average · E2023 round 8: 6.17 (n=195) Positional average · E2023 round 9: 6.78 (n=196) Positional average · E2023 round 10: 6.66 (n=196) Positional average · E2023 round 11: 7.03 (n=196) Positional average · E2023 round 12: 6.64 (n=196) Positional average · E2023 round 13: 6.88 (n=198) Positional average · E2023 round 14: 7.04 (n=198) Positional average · E2023 round 15: 6.31 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 16: 6.82 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 17: 6.63 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 18: 7.01 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 19: 6.88 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 20: 6.23 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 21: 6.92 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 22: 6.65 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 23: 7.00 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 24: 6.79 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 25: 7.09 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 26: 6.52 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 27: 6.54 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 28: 6.55 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 29: 6.17 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 30: 7.09 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 31: 6.65 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 32: 6.87 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 33: 6.71 (n=199) Positional average · E2023 round 34: 6.23 (n=199) Positional average · E2024 round 4: 7.34 (n=181) Positional average · E2024 round 5: 6.55 (n=182) Positional average · E2024 round 6: 6.06 (n=184) Positional average · E2024 round 7: 6.38 (n=186) Positional average · E2024 round 8: 6.52 (n=186) Positional average · E2024 round 9: 7.18 (n=190) Positional average · E2024 round 10: 7.13 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 11: 7.15 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 12: 6.81 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 13: 6.76 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 14: 6.80 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 15: 7.33 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 16: 7.01 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 17: 6.82 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 18: 6.51 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 19: 6.54 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 20: 7.01 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 21: 7.21 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 22: 7.13 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 23: 7.09 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 24: 6.82 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 25: 6.30 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 26: 6.74 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 27: 6.94 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 28: 6.24 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 29: 6.64 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 30: 6.80 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 31: 7.30 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 32: 7.19 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 33: 7.14 (n=191) Positional average · E2024 round 34: 7.14 (n=191) Positional average · E2025 round 4: 6.86 (n=195) Positional average · E2025 round 5: 6.83 (n=197) Positional average · E2025 round 6: 6.99 (n=198) Positional average · E2025 round 7: 7.04 (n=201) Positional average · E2025 round 8: 6.92 (n=201) Positional average · E2025 round 9: 6.85 (n=203) Positional average · E2025 round 10: 7.00 (n=204) Positional average · E2025 round 11: 6.80 (n=205) Positional average · E2025 round 12: 6.90 (n=205) Positional average · E2025 round 13: 6.25 (n=207) Positional average · E2025 round 14: 6.71 (n=207) Positional average · E2025 round 15: 7.37 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 16: 6.94 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 17: 6.99 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 18: 6.88 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 19: 7.03 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 20: 7.18 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 21: 6.54 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 22: 6.57 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 23: 6.64 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 24: 6.61 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 25: 6.93 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 26: 7.03 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 27: 6.79 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 28: 6.69 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 29: 7.12 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 30: 6.01 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 31: 6.54 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 32: 6.67 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 33: 6.39 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 34: 7.27 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 35: 6.93 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 36: 7.66 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 37: 6.84 (n=208) Positional average · E2025 round 38: 6.62 (n=208) Positional average · E2026 round 4: 6.30 (n=219) Positional average · E2026 round 5: 6.32 (n=226) Positional average · E2026 round 6: 6.44 (n=226) Positional average · E2026 round 7: 6.59 (n=226) Positional average · E2026 round 8: 6.51 (n=226) Positional average · E2026 round 9: 6.41 (n=226) 10-game average · E2020 round 4: 6.70 (n=176) 10-game average · E2020 round 5: 6.12 (n=177) 10-game average · E2020 round 6: 5.44 (n=184) 10-game average · E2020 round 7: 6.07 (n=186) 10-game average · E2020 round 8: 5.91 (n=186) 10-game average · E2020 round 9: 5.14 (n=187) 10-game average · E2020 round 10: 6.11 (n=187) 10-game average · E2020 round 11: 5.67 (n=187) 10-game average · E2020 round 12: 5.69 (n=188) 10-game average · E2020 round 13: 5.49 (n=188) 10-game average · E2020 round 14: 5.63 (n=189) 10-game average · E2020 round 15: 4.99 (n=189) 10-game average · E2020 round 16: 5.45 (n=189) 10-game average · E2020 round 17: 5.31 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 18: 6.57 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 19: 5.47 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 20: 4.96 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 21: 5.40 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 22: 5.43 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 23: 5.25 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 24: 5.85 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 25: 5.65 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 26: 5.67 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 27: 5.45 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 28: 5.14 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 29: 5.12 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 30: 5.22 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 31: 5.41 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 32: 5.51 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 33: 5.25 (n=191) 10-game average · E2020 round 34: 5.76 (n=191) 10-game average · E2021 round 4: 6.19 (n=164) 10-game average · E2021 round 5: 5.68 (n=164) 10-game average · E2021 round 6: 5.98 (n=170) 10-game average · E2021 round 7: 5.32 (n=171) 10-game average · E2021 round 8: 4.86 (n=172) 10-game average · E2021 round 9: 5.31 (n=173) 10-game average · E2021 round 10: 6.02 (n=174) 10-game average · E2021 round 11: 5.67 (n=175) 10-game average · E2021 round 12: 5.30 (n=175) 10-game average · E2021 round 13: 5.34 (n=175) 10-game average · E2021 round 14: 5.76 (n=176) 10-game average · E2021 round 15: 5.27 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 16: 5.42 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 17: 6.77 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 18: 6.09 (n=160) 10-game average · E2021 round 19: 6.14 (n=141) 10-game average · E2021 round 20: 5.82 (n=160) 10-game average · E2021 round 21: 6.08 (n=139) 10-game average · E2021 round 22: 6.28 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 23: 5.50 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 24: 5.44 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 25: 4.90 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 26: 5.83 (n=177) 10-game average · E2021 round 27: 5.80 (n=127) 10-game average · E2021 round 28: 5.17 (n=125) 10-game average · E2021 round 29: 5.75 (n=130) 10-game average · E2021 round 30: 6.00 (n=126) 10-game average · E2021 round 31: 5.82 (n=145) 10-game average · E2021 round 32: 4.68 (n=130) 10-game average · E2021 round 33: 6.03 (n=147) 10-game average · E2021 round 34: 6.20 (n=127) 10-game average · E2022 round 4: 6.21 (n=177) 10-game average · E2022 round 5: 5.15 (n=180) 10-game average · E2022 round 6: 5.37 (n=184) 10-game average · E2022 round 7: 5.63 (n=189) 10-game average · E2022 round 8: 6.09 (n=191) 10-game average · E2022 round 9: 5.29 (n=193) 10-game average · E2022 round 10: 4.91 (n=195) 10-game average · E2022 round 11: 5.77 (n=196) 10-game average · E2022 round 12: 5.20 (n=197) 10-game average · E2022 round 13: 5.53 (n=197) 10-game average · E2022 round 14: 6.06 (n=197) 10-game average · E2022 round 15: 5.20 (n=197) 10-game average · E2022 round 16: 6.31 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 17: 5.21 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 18: 5.88 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 19: 5.78 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 20: 5.71 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 21: 5.92 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 22: 5.66 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 23: 5.45 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 24: 5.75 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 25: 5.50 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 26: 5.64 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 27: 5.85 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 28: 5.11 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 29: 5.18 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 30: 5.46 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 31: 5.28 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 32: 5.63 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 33: 5.60 (n=198) 10-game average · E2022 round 34: 5.50 (n=198) 10-game average · E2023 round 4: 5.95 (n=185) 10-game average · E2023 round 5: 5.61 (n=188) 10-game average · E2023 round 6: 5.90 (n=190) 10-game average · E2023 round 7: 5.52 (n=192) 10-game average · E2023 round 8: 5.35 (n=195) 10-game average · E2023 round 9: 5.64 (n=196) 10-game average · E2023 round 10: 5.46 (n=196) 10-game average · E2023 round 11: 5.14 (n=196) 10-game average · E2023 round 12: 5.65 (n=196) 10-game average · E2023 round 13: 4.97 (n=198) 10-game average · E2023 round 14: 5.62 (n=198) 10-game average · E2023 round 15: 5.08 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 16: 5.27 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 17: 5.65 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 18: 5.90 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 19: 5.45 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 20: 5.03 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 21: 6.26 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 22: 5.80 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 23: 6.07 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 24: 6.31 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 25: 5.86 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 26: 5.40 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 27: 6.00 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 28: 5.17 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 29: 5.01 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 30: 5.66 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 31: 5.12 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 32: 5.67 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 33: 5.27 (n=199) 10-game average · E2023 round 34: 5.45 (n=199) 10-game average · E2024 round 4: 5.98 (n=181) 10-game average · E2024 round 5: 5.52 (n=182) 10-game average · E2024 round 6: 5.25 (n=184) 10-game average · E2024 round 7: 5.78 (n=186) 10-game average · E2024 round 8: 5.82 (n=186) 10-game average · E2024 round 9: 5.60 (n=190) 10-game average · E2024 round 10: 5.78 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 11: 5.65 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 12: 5.52 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 13: 5.50 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 14: 4.79 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 15: 6.10 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 16: 6.14 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 17: 5.44 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 18: 5.29 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 19: 5.42 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 20: 6.76 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 21: 6.04 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 22: 5.95 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 23: 5.73 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 24: 5.92 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 25: 4.80 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 26: 5.12 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 27: 6.15 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 28: 5.03 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 29: 5.46 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 30: 6.25 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 31: 5.56 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 32: 5.46 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 33: 5.91 (n=191) 10-game average · E2024 round 34: 5.50 (n=191) 10-game average · E2025 round 4: 6.37 (n=195) 10-game average · E2025 round 5: 6.17 (n=197) 10-game average · E2025 round 6: 5.86 (n=198) 10-game average · E2025 round 7: 5.87 (n=201) 10-game average · E2025 round 8: 5.81 (n=201) 10-game average · E2025 round 9: 5.76 (n=203) 10-game average · E2025 round 10: 5.64 (n=204) 10-game average · E2025 round 11: 5.73 (n=205) 10-game average · E2025 round 12: 6.01 (n=205) 10-game average · E2025 round 13: 5.68 (n=207) 10-game average · E2025 round 14: 5.93 (n=207) 10-game average · E2025 round 15: 5.99 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 16: 5.81 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 17: 5.91 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 18: 5.87 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 19: 5.98 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 20: 6.44 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 21: 5.82 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 22: 5.43 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 23: 5.45 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 24: 5.51 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 25: 6.12 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 26: 6.10 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 27: 5.54 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 28: 5.81 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 29: 6.39 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 30: 5.49 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 31: 5.52 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 32: 5.71 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 33: 5.41 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 34: 6.15 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 35: 5.81 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 36: 6.40 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 37: 5.81 (n=208) 10-game average · E2025 round 38: 5.60 (n=208) 10-game average · E2026 round 4: 5.94 (n=219) 10-game average · E2026 round 5: 5.74 (n=226) 10-game average · E2026 round 6: 5.77 (n=226) 10-game average · E2026 round 7: 6.17 (n=226) 10-game average · E2026 round 8: 6.05 (n=226) 10-game average · E2026 round 9: 5.78 (n=226) pir-2stage-v2 pir-2stage-v1 pir-lgbm-v1 Positional average 10-game average
Model drift ⓘ ✓ No alerts: no signs of model degradation.
4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 4: 6.71 (n=176) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 5: 6.46 (n=353) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 6: 6.04 (n=537) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 7: 6.05 (n=723) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 8: 6.00 (n=909) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 9: 5.71 (n=920) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 10: 5.68 (n=930) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 11: 5.79 (n=933) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 12: 5.67 (n=935) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 13: 5.57 (n=937) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 14: 5.61 (n=939) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 15: 5.40 (n=941) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 16: 5.31 (n=943) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 17: 5.25 (n=946) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 18: 5.44 (n=949) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 19: 5.41 (n=951) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 20: 5.38 (n=953) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 21: 5.36 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 22: 5.40 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 23: 5.16 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 24: 5.26 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 25: 5.43 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 26: 5.50 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 27: 5.49 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 28: 5.44 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 29: 5.34 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 30: 5.23 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 31: 5.19 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 32: 5.23 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 33: 5.32 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2020 round 34: 5.38 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 4: 5.64 (n=164) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 5: 5.50 (n=328) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 6: 5.60 (n=498) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 7: 5.51 (n=669) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 8: 5.36 (n=841) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 9: 5.24 (n=850) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 10: 5.36 (n=860) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 11: 5.33 (n=865) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 12: 5.26 (n=869) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 13: 5.35 (n=872) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 14: 5.48 (n=875) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 15: 5.33 (n=878) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 16: 5.27 (n=880) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 17: 5.62 (n=882) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 18: 5.76 (n=867) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 19: 5.81 (n=832) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 20: 5.91 (n=815) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 21: 6.02 (n=777) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 22: 5.94 (n=777) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 23: 5.81 (n=794) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 24: 5.70 (n=830) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 25: 5.52 (n=847) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 26: 5.56 (n=885) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 27: 5.45 (n=835) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 28: 5.38 (n=783) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 29: 5.42 (n=736) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 30: 5.69 (n=685) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 31: 5.63 (n=653) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 32: 5.40 (n=656) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 33: 5.56 (n=678) pir-2stage-v2 · E2021 round 34: 5.59 (n=675) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 4: 5.89 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 5: 5.45 (n=357) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 6: 5.35 (n=541) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 7: 5.37 (n=730) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 8: 5.48 (n=921) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 9: 5.35 (n=937) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 10: 5.33 (n=952) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 11: 5.40 (n=964) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 12: 5.32 (n=972) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 13: 5.22 (n=978) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 14: 5.31 (n=982) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 15: 5.33 (n=984) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 16: 5.45 (n=986) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 17: 5.45 (n=987) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 18: 5.53 (n=988) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 19: 5.54 (n=989) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 20: 5.61 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 21: 5.55 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 22: 5.66 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 23: 5.51 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 24: 5.49 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 25: 5.52 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 26: 5.41 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 27: 5.42 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 28: 5.43 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 29: 5.38 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 30: 5.34 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 31: 5.33 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 32: 5.33 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 33: 5.39 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2022 round 34: 5.39 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 4: 5.68 (n=185) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 5: 5.51 (n=373) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 6: 5.58 (n=563) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 7: 5.55 (n=755) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 8: 5.47 (n=950) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 9: 5.41 (n=961) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 10: 5.42 (n=969) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 11: 5.33 (n=975) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 12: 5.35 (n=979) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 13: 5.30 (n=982) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 14: 5.33 (n=984) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 15: 5.22 (n=987) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 16: 5.22 (n=990) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 17: 5.26 (n=993) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 18: 5.43 (n=994) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 19: 5.39 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 20: 5.39 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 21: 5.57 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 22: 5.53 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 23: 5.56 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 24: 5.68 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 25: 5.83 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 26: 5.69 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 27: 5.74 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 28: 5.59 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 29: 5.38 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 30: 5.39 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 31: 5.30 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 32: 5.24 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 33: 5.28 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2023 round 34: 5.38 (n=995) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 4: 6.02 (n=181) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 5: 5.64 (n=363) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 6: 5.47 (n=547) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 7: 5.48 (n=733) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 8: 5.51 (n=919) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 9: 5.41 (n=928) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 10: 5.50 (n=937) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 11: 5.62 (n=944) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 12: 5.58 (n=949) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 13: 5.56 (n=954) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 14: 5.41 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 15: 5.48 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 16: 5.50 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 17: 5.52 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 18: 5.48 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 19: 5.61 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 20: 5.68 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 21: 5.68 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 22: 5.75 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 23: 5.84 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 24: 5.92 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 25: 5.53 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 26: 5.37 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 27: 5.44 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 28: 5.25 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 29: 5.12 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 30: 5.44 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 31: 5.53 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 32: 5.42 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 33: 5.61 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2024 round 34: 5.68 (n=955) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 4: 6.25 (n=195) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 5: 5.95 (n=392) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 6: 5.84 (n=590) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 7: 5.80 (n=791) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 8: 5.75 (n=992) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 9: 5.65 (n=1000) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 10: 5.63 (n=1007) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 11: 5.64 (n=1014) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 12: 5.70 (n=1018) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 13: 5.65 (n=1024) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 14: 5.66 (n=1028) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 15: 5.73 (n=1032) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 16: 5.72 (n=1035) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 17: 5.66 (n=1038) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 18: 5.73 (n=1039) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 19: 5.74 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 20: 5.83 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 21: 5.80 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 22: 5.77 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 23: 5.71 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 24: 5.62 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 25: 5.52 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 26: 5.60 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 27: 5.56 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 28: 5.65 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 29: 5.84 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 30: 5.70 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 31: 5.59 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 32: 5.67 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 33: 5.56 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 34: 5.49 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 35: 5.61 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 36: 5.81 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 37: 5.79 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2025 round 38: 5.84 (n=1040) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 4: 5.48 (n=219) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 5: 5.52 (n=445) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 6: 5.56 (n=671) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 7: 5.68 (n=897) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 8: 5.71 (n=1123) pir-2stage-v2 · E2026 round 9: 5.73 (n=1130) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 4: 6.71 (n=176) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 5: 6.46 (n=353) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 6: 6.04 (n=537) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 7: 6.05 (n=723) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 8: 6.00 (n=909) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 9: 5.87 (n=1096) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 10: 5.90 (n=1283) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 11: 5.88 (n=1470) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 12: 5.84 (n=1658) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 13: 5.78 (n=1846) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 14: 5.66 (n=1859) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 15: 5.54 (n=1871) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 16: 5.55 (n=1876) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 17: 5.46 (n=1881) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 18: 5.51 (n=1886) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 19: 5.51 (n=1890) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 20: 5.39 (n=1894) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 21: 5.34 (n=1898) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 22: 5.33 (n=1901) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 23: 5.30 (n=1904) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 24: 5.33 (n=1906) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 25: 5.41 (n=1908) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 26: 5.43 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 27: 5.44 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 28: 5.30 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 29: 5.30 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 30: 5.33 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 31: 5.35 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 32: 5.36 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 33: 5.38 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2020 round 34: 5.36 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 4: 5.64 (n=164) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 5: 5.50 (n=328) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 6: 5.60 (n=498) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 7: 5.51 (n=669) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 8: 5.36 (n=841) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 9: 5.30 (n=1014) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 10: 5.39 (n=1188) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 11: 5.43 (n=1363) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 12: 5.37 (n=1538) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 13: 5.36 (n=1713) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 14: 5.36 (n=1725) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 15: 5.34 (n=1738) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 16: 5.30 (n=1745) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 17: 5.44 (n=1751) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 18: 5.55 (n=1739) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 19: 5.64 (n=1707) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 20: 5.61 (n=1693) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 21: 5.62 (n=1657) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 22: 5.77 (n=1659) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 23: 5.78 (n=1661) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 24: 5.75 (n=1662) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 25: 5.71 (n=1662) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 26: 5.78 (n=1662) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 27: 5.68 (n=1612) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 28: 5.60 (n=1577) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 29: 5.57 (n=1566) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 30: 5.59 (n=1532) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 31: 5.59 (n=1538) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 32: 5.43 (n=1491) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 33: 5.47 (n=1461) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2021 round 34: 5.50 (n=1411) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 4: 5.89 (n=177) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 5: 5.45 (n=357) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 6: 5.35 (n=541) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 7: 5.37 (n=730) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 8: 5.48 (n=921) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 9: 5.43 (n=1114) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 10: 5.37 (n=1309) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 11: 5.38 (n=1505) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 12: 5.34 (n=1702) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 13: 5.35 (n=1899) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 14: 5.33 (n=1919) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 15: 5.33 (n=1936) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 16: 5.43 (n=1950) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 17: 5.39 (n=1959) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 18: 5.38 (n=1966) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 19: 5.42 (n=1971) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 20: 5.47 (n=1974) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 21: 5.50 (n=1976) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 22: 5.55 (n=1977) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 23: 5.52 (n=1978) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 24: 5.51 (n=1979) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 25: 5.56 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 26: 5.48 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 27: 5.54 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 28: 5.47 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 29: 5.44 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 30: 5.43 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 31: 5.37 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 32: 5.38 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 33: 5.41 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2022 round 34: 5.39 (n=1980) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 4: 5.68 (n=185) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 5: 5.51 (n=373) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 6: 5.58 (n=563) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 7: 5.55 (n=755) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 8: 5.47 (n=950) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 9: 5.45 (n=1146) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 10: 5.45 (n=1342) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 11: 5.42 (n=1538) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 12: 5.44 (n=1734) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 13: 5.38 (n=1932) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 14: 5.37 (n=1945) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 15: 5.32 (n=1956) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 16: 5.28 (n=1965) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 17: 5.30 (n=1972) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 18: 5.37 (n=1976) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 19: 5.36 (n=1979) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 20: 5.31 (n=1982) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 21: 5.39 (n=1985) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 22: 5.39 (n=1988) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 23: 5.50 (n=1989) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 24: 5.53 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 25: 5.62 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 26: 5.63 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 27: 5.64 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 28: 5.57 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 29: 5.53 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 30: 5.61 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 31: 5.50 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 32: 5.49 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 33: 5.43 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2023 round 34: 5.38 (n=1990) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 4: 6.02 (n=181) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 5: 5.64 (n=363) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 6: 5.47 (n=547) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 7: 5.48 (n=733) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 8: 5.51 (n=919) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 9: 5.51 (n=1109) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 10: 5.54 (n=1300) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 11: 5.57 (n=1491) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 12: 5.54 (n=1682) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 13: 5.53 (n=1873) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 14: 5.41 (n=1883) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 15: 5.49 (n=1892) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 16: 5.56 (n=1899) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 17: 5.55 (n=1904) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 18: 5.52 (n=1909) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 19: 5.51 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 20: 5.58 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 21: 5.59 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 22: 5.64 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 23: 5.66 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 24: 5.76 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 25: 5.60 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 26: 5.53 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 27: 5.60 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 28: 5.55 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 29: 5.52 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 30: 5.49 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 31: 5.45 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 32: 5.43 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 33: 5.43 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2024 round 34: 5.40 (n=1910) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 4: 6.25 (n=195) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 5: 5.95 (n=392) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 6: 5.84 (n=590) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 7: 5.80 (n=791) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 8: 5.75 (n=992) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 9: 5.75 (n=1195) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 10: 5.72 (n=1399) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 11: 5.71 (n=1604) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 12: 5.74 (n=1809) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 13: 5.70 (n=2016) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 14: 5.65 (n=2028) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 15: 5.68 (n=2039) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 16: 5.68 (n=2049) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 17: 5.68 (n=2056) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 18: 5.69 (n=2063) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 19: 5.70 (n=2068) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 20: 5.78 (n=2072) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 21: 5.76 (n=2075) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 22: 5.71 (n=2078) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 23: 5.72 (n=2079) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 24: 5.68 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 25: 5.68 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 26: 5.70 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 27: 5.67 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 28: 5.68 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 29: 5.73 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 30: 5.61 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 31: 5.60 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 32: 5.62 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 33: 5.60 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 34: 5.66 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 35: 5.65 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 36: 5.70 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 37: 5.73 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2025 round 38: 5.70 (n=2080) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2026 round 4: 5.48 (n=219) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2026 round 5: 5.52 (n=445) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2026 round 6: 5.56 (n=671) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2026 round 7: 5.68 (n=897) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2026 round 8: 5.71 (n=1123) pir-2stage-v2·10 · E2026 round 9: 5.68 (n=1349) Rolling MAE, 5 rounds Rolling MAE, 10 rounds
Season Round n MAE RMSE Corr P10–P90 MAE 5 MAE 10 E2020 4 176 6.71 8.31 0.48 74% 6.71 6.71 E2020 5 177 6.21 7.83 0.32 88% 6.46 6.46 E2020 6 184 5.22 6.62 0.51 83% 6.04 6.04 E2020 7 186 6.08 7.87 0.31 75% 6.05 6.05 E2020 8 186 5.82 7.68 0.36 79% 6.00 6.00 E2020 9 187 5.25 6.82 0.51 93% 5.71 5.87 E2020 10 187 6.04 7.40 0.49 78% 5.68 5.90 E2020 11 187 5.75 7.15 0.49 80% 5.79 5.88 E2020 12 188 5.50 6.77 0.44 82% 5.67 5.84 E2020 13 188 5.30 7.03 0.48 80% 5.57 5.78 E2020 14 189 5.47 6.94 0.57 82% 5.61 5.66 E2020 15 189 4.95 6.33 0.57 82% 5.40 5.54 E2020 16 189 5.32 7.17 0.50 81% 5.31 5.55 E2020 17 191 5.20 7.07 0.41 80% 5.25 5.46 E2020 18 191 6.26 7.92 0.42 72% 5.44 5.51 E2020 19 191 5.28 6.73 0.56 90% 5.41 5.51 E2020 20 191 4.85 6.17 0.52 83% 5.38 5.39 E2020 21 191 5.22 7.19 0.50 84% 5.36 5.34 E2020 22 191 5.40 7.26 0.43 84% 5.40 5.33 E2020 23 191 5.05 6.37 0.51 78% 5.16 5.30 E2020 24 191 5.81 7.54 0.48 78% 5.26 5.33 E2020 25 191 5.69 7.24 0.42 84% 5.43 5.41 E2020 26 191 5.56 7.17 0.50 81% 5.50 5.43 E2020 27 191 5.33 6.64 0.61 78% 5.49 5.44 E2020 28 191 4.83 6.50 0.60 82% 5.44 5.30 E2020 29 191 5.28 6.90 0.60 84% 5.34 5.30 E2020 30 191 5.15 6.67 0.58 78% 5.23 5.33 E2020 31 191 5.37 6.84 0.48 81% 5.19 5.35 E2020 32 191 5.53 7.52 0.57 79% 5.23 5.36 E2020 33 191 5.27 6.62 0.57 84% 5.32 5.38 E2020 34 191 5.60 7.16 0.42 80% 5.38 5.36 E2021 4 164 5.64 7.13 0.44 76% 5.64 5.64 E2021 5 164 5.36 6.91 0.42 84% 5.50 5.50 E2021 6 170 5.78 7.27 0.45 74% 5.60 5.60 E2021 7 171 5.28 6.67 0.53 86% 5.51 5.51 E2021 8 172 4.78 6.09 0.59 86% 5.36 5.36 E2021 9 173 5.01 6.58 0.51 83% 5.24 5.30 E2021 10 174 5.93 7.91 0.50 76% 5.36 5.39 E2021 11 175 5.64 7.21 0.43 83% 5.33 5.43 E2021 12 175 4.93 6.48 0.44 89% 5.26 5.37 E2021 13 175 5.22 6.82 0.58 81% 5.35 5.36 E2021 14 176 5.66 7.24 0.53 80% 5.48 5.36 E2021 15 177 5.16 6.59 0.51 84% 5.33 5.34 E2021 16 177 5.35 7.07 0.52 80% 5.27 5.30 E2021 17 177 6.67 8.23 0.48 70% 5.62 5.44 E2021 18 160 5.95 7.43 0.45 89% 5.76 5.55 E2021 19 141 5.96 7.45 0.46 79% 5.81 5.64 E2021 20 160 5.60 7.02 0.49 78% 5.91 5.61 E2021 21 139 5.82 7.58 0.35 83% 6.02 5.62 E2021 22 177 6.31 7.70 0.41 73% 5.94 5.77 E2021 23 177 5.36 6.80 0.49 84% 5.81 5.78 E2021 24 177 5.42 7.20 0.60 81% 5.70 5.75 E2021 25 177 4.75 6.05 0.53 85% 5.52 5.71 E2021 26 177 5.96 7.79 0.46 71% 5.56 5.78 E2021 27 127 5.86 7.13 0.50 90% 5.45 5.68 E2021 28 125 4.93 6.41 0.66 89% 5.38 5.60 E2021 29 130 5.67 7.43 0.57 75% 5.42 5.57 E2021 30 126 5.93 7.22 0.53 88% 5.69 5.59 E2021 31 145 5.76 7.18 0.51 81% 5.63 5.59 E2021 32 130 4.68 5.78 0.60 91% 5.40 5.43 E2021 33 147 5.74 7.43 0.45 75% 5.56 5.47 E2021 34 127 5.83 7.15 0.41 80% 5.59 5.50 E2022 4 177 5.89 7.19 0.49 80% 5.89 5.89 E2022 5 180 5.01 6.29 0.60 90% 5.45 5.45 E2022 6 184 5.18 6.56 0.57 84% 5.35 5.35 E2022 7 189 5.40 6.76 0.49 79% 5.37 5.37 E2022 8 191 5.92 7.41 0.44 82% 5.48 5.48 E2022 9 193 5.22 6.73 0.52 86% 5.35 5.43 E2022 10 195 4.96 6.50 0.59 83% 5.33 5.37 E2022 11 196 5.52 7.43 0.48 80% 5.40 5.38 E2022 12 197 5.01 6.45 0.50 85% 5.32 5.34 E2022 13 197 5.40 6.89 0.52 81% 5.22 5.35 E2022 14 197 5.64 7.34 0.46 75% 5.31 5.33 E2022 15 197 5.08 6.61 0.48 86% 5.33 5.33 E2022 16 198 6.13 8.05 0.43 73% 5.45 5.43 E2022 17 198 5.01 6.56 0.40 89% 5.45 5.39 E2022 18 198 5.80 7.29 0.45 79% 5.53 5.38 E2022 19 198 5.66 7.40 0.43 84% 5.54 5.42 E2022 20 198 5.44 6.83 0.42 83% 5.61 5.47 E2022 21 198 5.86 7.61 0.47 81% 5.55 5.50 E2022 22 198 5.53 6.89 0.39 79% 5.66 5.55 E2022 23 198 5.05 6.52 0.46 87% 5.51 5.52 E2022 24 198 5.57 7.26 0.48 78% 5.49 5.51 E2022 25 198 5.58 7.44 0.42 82% 5.52 5.56 E2022 26 198 5.30 6.78 0.51 79% 5.41 5.48 E2022 27 198 5.58 6.98 0.38 81% 5.42 5.54 E2022 28 198 5.11 6.33 0.51 85% 5.43 5.47 E2022 29 198 5.34 6.58 0.66 83% 5.38 5.44 E2022 30 198 5.39 6.85 0.60 79% 5.34 5.43 E2022 31 198 5.24 6.86 0.56 86% 5.33 5.37 E2022 32 198 5.59 6.96 0.47 80% 5.33 5.38 E2022 33 198 5.37 6.79 0.48 85% 5.39 5.41 E2022 34 198 5.38 6.91 0.53 83% 5.39 5.39 E2023 4 185 5.68 7.04 0.47 82% 5.68 5.68 E2023 5 188 5.34 6.67 0.55 79% 5.51 5.51 E2023 6 190 5.71 7.00 0.46 80% 5.58 5.58 E2023 7 192 5.48 7.23 0.51 86% 5.55 5.55 E2023 8 195 5.14 6.63 0.48 86% 5.47 5.47 E2023 9 196 5.38 6.94 0.56 82% 5.41 5.45 E2023 10 196 5.41 6.85 0.55 82% 5.42 5.45 E2023 11 196 5.27 6.82 0.63 85% 5.33 5.42 E2023 12 196 5.56 6.98 0.49 79% 5.35 5.44 E2023 13 198 4.90 6.55 0.66 84% 5.30 5.38 E2023 14 198 5.51 6.96 0.57 80% 5.33 5.37 E2023 15 199 4.88 6.46 0.53 87% 5.22 5.32 E2023 16 199 5.25 6.83 0.56 81% 5.22 5.28 E2023 17 199 5.74 7.08 0.48 80% 5.26 5.30 E2023 18 199 5.78 7.49 0.47 83% 5.43 5.37 E2023 19 199 5.29 7.14 0.59 85% 5.39 5.36 E2023 20 199 4.91 6.19 0.58 85% 5.39 5.31 E2023 21 199 6.12 7.87 0.42 75% 5.57 5.39 E2023 22 199 5.55 7.35 0.50 84% 5.53 5.39 E2023 23 199 5.92 7.51 0.44 76% 5.56 5.50 E2023 24 199 5.91 7.64 0.42 82% 5.68 5.53 E2023 25 199 5.68 7.06 0.58 86% 5.83 5.62 E2023 26 199 5.37 7.13 0.50 81% 5.69 5.63 E2023 27 199 5.84 7.60 0.38 77% 5.74 5.64 E2023 28 199 5.13 6.45 0.60 88% 5.59 5.57 E2023 29 199 4.87 6.30 0.55 82% 5.38 5.53 E2023 30 199 5.73 7.33 0.53 77% 5.39 5.61 E2023 31 199 4.96 6.57 0.58 86% 5.30 5.50 E2023 32 199 5.49 7.48 0.53 83% 5.24 5.49 E2023 33 199 5.33 6.70 0.53 81% 5.28 5.43 E2023 34 199 5.37 6.93 0.43 83% 5.38 5.38 E2024 4 181 6.02 7.73 0.56 77% 6.02 6.02 E2024 5 182 5.26 6.89 0.51 91% 5.64 5.64 E2024 6 184 5.14 6.43 0.47 83% 5.47 5.47 E2024 7 186 5.51 6.79 0.47 79% 5.48 5.48 E2024 8 186 5.60 7.17 0.42 82% 5.51 5.51 E2024 9 190 5.51 7.50 0.59 80% 5.41 5.51 E2024 10 191 5.72 7.24 0.58 75% 5.50 5.54 E2024 11 191 5.77 7.29 0.57 84% 5.62 5.57 E2024 12 191 5.30 7.16 0.59 83% 5.58 5.54 E2024 13 191 5.48 6.80 0.57 80% 5.56 5.53 E2024 14 191 4.78 6.31 0.69 86% 5.41 5.41 E2024 15 191 6.07 7.51 0.54 76% 5.48 5.49 E2024 16 191 5.88 7.76 0.46 83% 5.50 5.56 E2024 17 191 5.39 7.03 0.54 84% 5.52 5.55 E2024 18 191 5.30 6.60 0.54 85% 5.48 5.52 E2024 19 191 5.38 7.07 0.52 76% 5.61 5.51 E2024 20 191 6.42 8.19 0.35 81% 5.68 5.58 E2024 21 191 5.88 7.44 0.55 84% 5.68 5.59 E2024 22 191 5.78 7.46 0.54 79% 5.75 5.64 E2024 23 191 5.72 7.21 0.54 81% 5.84 5.66 E2024 24 191 5.79 7.60 0.50 83% 5.92 5.76 E2024 25 191 4.48 5.84 0.65 84% 5.53 5.60 E2024 26 191 5.10 6.63 0.62 83% 5.37 5.53 E2024 27 191 6.13 7.73 0.39 74% 5.44 5.60 E2024 28 191 4.78 6.21 0.56 89% 5.25 5.55 E2024 29 191 5.10 6.81 0.52 84% 5.12 5.52 E2024 30 191 6.11 7.92 0.39 74% 5.44 5.49 E2024 31 191 5.54 6.89 0.62 87% 5.53 5.45 E2024 32 191 5.57 7.00 0.61 76% 5.42 5.43 E2024 33 191 5.71 7.38 0.54 87% 5.61 5.43 E2024 34 191 5.47 7.16 0.58 82% 5.68 5.40 E2025 4 195 6.25 7.80 0.39 79% 6.25 6.25 E2025 5 197 5.64 7.24 0.46 84% 5.95 5.95 E2025 6 198 5.62 7.30 0.48 83% 5.84 5.84 E2025 7 201 5.68 7.23 0.54 87% 5.80 5.80 E2025 8 201 5.57 6.95 0.56 81% 5.75 5.75 E2025 9 203 5.72 7.55 0.49 86% 5.65 5.75 E2025 10 204 5.59 7.31 0.49 78% 5.63 5.72 E2025 11 205 5.66 7.21 0.46 79% 5.64 5.71 E2025 12 205 5.98 7.57 0.45 81% 5.70 5.74 E2025 13 207 5.30 7.34 0.43 85% 5.65 5.70 E2025 14 207 5.77 7.38 0.47 80% 5.66 5.65 E2025 15 208 5.94 7.54 0.54 78% 5.73 5.68 E2025 16 208 5.60 7.21 0.52 84% 5.72 5.68 E2025 17 208 5.67 7.16 0.54 82% 5.66 5.68 E2025 18 208 5.68 7.40 0.50 81% 5.73 5.69 E2025 19 208 5.80 7.34 0.51 76% 5.74 5.70 E2025 20 208 6.40 8.27 0.35 82% 5.83 5.78 E2025 21 208 5.45 6.92 0.49 91% 5.80 5.76 E2025 22 208 5.53 7.06 0.47 83% 5.77 5.71 E2025 23 208 5.38 6.82 0.55 85% 5.71 5.72 E2025 24 208 5.33 6.98 0.52 84% 5.62 5.68 E2025 25 208 5.92 7.55 0.42 80% 5.52 5.68 E2025 26 208 5.81 7.38 0.49 79% 5.60 5.70 E2025 27 208 5.37 6.76 0.56 83% 5.56 5.67 E2025 28 208 5.82 7.26 0.47 79% 5.65 5.68 E2025 29 208 6.27 7.97 0.41 76% 5.84 5.73 E2025 30 208 5.20 6.54 0.47 86% 5.70 5.61 E2025 31 208 5.32 7.11 0.51 81% 5.59 5.60 E2025 32 208 5.74 7.29 0.40 78% 5.67 5.62 E2025 33 208 5.26 6.75 0.50 82% 5.56 5.60 E2025 34 208 5.92 7.79 0.51 78% 5.49 5.66 E2025 35 208 5.81 7.52 0.49 85% 5.61 5.65 E2025 36 208 6.33 8.10 0.53 73% 5.81 5.70 E2025 37 208 5.64 7.33 0.45 89% 5.79 5.73 E2025 38 208 5.51 7.22 0.49 80% 5.84 5.70 E2026 4 219 5.48 7.07 0.42 78% 5.48 5.48 E2026 5 226 5.57 6.97 0.41 80% 5.52 5.52 E2026 6 226 5.64 7.34 0.42 79% 5.56 5.56 E2026 7 226 6.01 7.36 0.39 82% 5.68 5.68 E2026 8 226 5.87 7.24 0.40 80% 5.71 5.71 E2026 9 226 5.54 6.99 0.44 83% 5.73 5.68
CSV ↓
Error by player type ⓘ Stable role Stable role: MAE 5.66, RMSE 7.22, bias -0.02, n=33086 5.66 n=33086 New (<3 games) New (<3 games): MAE 4.52, RMSE 5.95, bias -0.14, n=652 4.52 n=652 After absence After absence: MAE 3.61, RMSE 5.08, bias -0.51, n=2230 3.61 n=2230 Role change Role change: MAE 6.06, RMSE 7.79, bias 0.75, n=1458 6.06 n=1458 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 Stable role 33086 5.66 7.22 -0.02 0.48 57% 6.01 81% New (<3 games) 652 4.52 5.95 -0.14 0.43 72% 4.78 87% After absence 2230 3.61 5.08 -0.51 0.16 83% 3.80 92% Role change 1458 6.06 7.79 0.75 0.47 58% 6.43 79%
CSV ↓
Error by team (current season) ⓘ ASV ASV: MAE 4.95, RMSE 6.43, bias 0.23, n=66 4.95 n=66 BAR BAR: MAE 5.71, RMSE 7.06, bias -0.97, n=70 5.71 n=70 BAS BAS: MAE 5.81, RMSE 7.31, bias -0.80, n=72 5.81 n=72 BES BES: MAE 5.54, RMSE 6.97, bias -0.94, n=66 5.54 n=66 DUB DUB: MAE 6.00, RMSE 7.30, bias 0.29, n=72 6.00 n=72 HTA HTA: MAE 7.06, RMSE 9.25, bias 0.64, n=60 7.06 n=60 IST IST: MAE 5.99, RMSE 7.19, bias 0.39, n=65 5.99 n=65 MAD MAD: MAE 5.48, RMSE 7.29, bias 1.53, n=72 5.48 n=72 MIL MIL: MAE 5.82, RMSE 7.34, bias -0.40, n=60 5.82 n=60 MUN MUN: MAE 6.83, RMSE 8.14, bias -0.65, n=72 6.83 n=72 OLY OLY: MAE 6.63, RMSE 8.56, bias 0.44, n=60 6.63 n=60 PAM PAM: MAE 5.19, RMSE 6.68, bias -0.45, n=78 5.19 n=78 PAN PAN: MAE 5.38, RMSE 6.66, bias -1.92, n=71 5.38 n=71 PAR PAR: MAE 6.13, RMSE 7.47, bias -1.77, n=66 6.13 n=66 PRS PRS: MAE 5.86, RMSE 7.43, bias 0.99, n=72 5.86 n=72 RED RED: MAE 5.95, RMSE 7.26, bias 0.45, n=65 5.95 n=65 TEL TEL: MAE 5.14, RMSE 6.34, bias 0.44, n=72 5.14 n=72 ULK ULK: MAE 5.60, RMSE 6.70, bias -1.86, n=60 5.60 n=60 VIR VIR: MAE 4.86, RMSE 6.01, bias 0.09, n=65 4.86 n=65 ZAL ZAL: MAE 3.98, RMSE 5.15, bias 0.32, n=65 3.98 n=65 Table Group n MAE RMSE Bias Corr Directional FP MAE P10–P90 ASV 66 4.95 6.43 0.23 0.33 69% – – BAR 70 5.71 7.06 -0.97 0.43 59% – – BAS 72 5.81 7.31 -0.80 0.26 58% – – BES 66 5.54 6.97 -0.94 0.34 58% – – DUB 72 6.00 7.30 0.29 0.62 51% – – HTA 60 7.06 9.25 0.64 0.35 63% – – IST 65 5.99 7.19 0.39 0.40 46% – – MAD 72 5.48 7.29 1.53 0.51 56% – – MIL 60 5.82 7.34 -0.40 0.26 63% – – MUN 72 6.83 8.14 -0.65 0.01 60% – – OLY 60 6.63 8.56 0.44 0.44 70% – – PAM 78 5.19 6.68 -0.45 0.52 53% – – PAN 71 5.38 6.66 -1.92 0.56 64% – – PAR 66 6.13 7.47 -1.77 0.33 56% – – PRS 72 5.86 7.43 0.99 0.29 64% – – RED 65 5.95 7.26 0.45 0.45 52% – – TEL 72 5.14 6.34 0.44 0.52 47% – – ULK 60 5.60 6.70 -1.86 0.49 63% – – VIR 65 4.86 6.01 0.09 0.42 65% – – ZAL 65 3.98 5.15 0.32 0.61 55% – –
CSV ↓
Backtest results do not guarantee future performance. Projections are based on historical data and can be affected by injuries, rotation changes and other unpredictable factors.