EuroLeague · Round 12 · Tuesday 17 November at 21:30
Baskonia vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 12)
Automatic analysis from official stats and the full-season play-by-play. Refreshed with every site update until tip-off.
1. The picture before tip-off
| Baskonia | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 20th · 1-10 | 10th · 6-5 |
| Home / away | 1-4 / 0-6 | 4-2 / 2-3 |
| Form (5) | LLLLL | WWLLL |
| Points for / against | 79.9 / 91.9 | 90.4 / 87.2 |
| Net rating | -15.7 (20th) | +4.2 (8th) |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
Baskonia: L @ Panathinaikos 79-85 · L vs Real Madrid 86-104 · L @ ASVEL 79-94 · L @ Fenerbahce 65-84 · L @ Partizan 66-80
Hapoel Tel Aviv: W vs Virtus Bologna 90-81 · W vs Anadolu Efes 118-88 · L @ Dubai Basketball 83-97 · L vs Barcelona 90-93 · L @ Maccabi Tel Aviv 73-80
Our model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv 73%, with a projected score of 85-93, about 178 total points and a pace of 76.9 possessions. Confidence: high.
2. What will decide the game
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on defense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 6th, while Baskonia's offense is 20th. Hapoel Tel Aviv can shut this down.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on offense, turnovers: they rank 2nd in the league while Baskonia's defense ranks only 15th. A clear edge for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 4th in the league while Baskonia's defense ranks only 16th. A clear edge for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Absences: Marcio Santos (Baskonia), Tadas Sedekerskis (Baskonia).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Baskonia | Hapoel Tel Aviv | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 104.4 (20th) | 119.1 (5th) | 115.1 |
| Defensive rating | 120.1 (16th) | 114.9 (9th) | 115.1 |
| Pace (possessions) | 76.5 (5th) | 75.9 (9th) | 75.1 |
| eFG% | 49.5% (20th) | 56.3% (4th) | 54.6% |
| TS% | 54.0% (20th) | 60.3% (4th) | 58.5% |
| 3PA rate | 41.4% | 39.0% | – |
| Assist rate | 69.4% (2nd) | 51.0% (19th) | 62.0% |
| Turnover % | 19.8% (20th) | 13.8% (2nd) | 17.1% |
| OREB% | 32.4% (13th) | 28.2% (20th) | 33.0% |
| DREB% | 66.8% (13th) | 68.2% (6th) | 67.0% |
| Free-throw rate | 32.3% (5th) | 29.9% (11th) | 29.9% |
| Opponent eFG% | 57.2% (16th) | 52.3% (6th) | 54.6% |
| Opponent TOV% | 16.2% (15th) | 15.2% (18th) | 17.1% |
| Opponent FTr | 29.9% (9th) | 31.5% (13th) | 29.9% |
Baskonia: Strengths: gets to the line often. Weaknesses: poor shooting and turns the ball over a lot.
Hapoel Tel Aviv: Strengths: protects the ball and efficient shooting. Weaknesses: few offensive rebounds and forces few turnovers.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Baskonia offense | Hapoel Tel Aviv defense | Hapoel Tel Aviv offense | Baskonia defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 49.5% (20th) | 52.3% (6th) | 56.3% (4th) | 57.2% (16th) |
| turnovers | 19.8% (20th) | 15.2% (18th) | 13.8% (2nd) | 16.2% (15th) |
| offensive rebounds | 32.4% (13th) | 31.8% (6th) | 28.2% (20th) | 33.2% (13th) |
| free throws | 32.3% (5th) | 31.5% (13th) | 29.9% (11th) | 29.9% (9th) |
4. Shots and zones
Baskonia take 16% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 79% (league 79%), and Hapoel Tel Aviv allow 80% there. That is Baskonia's biggest edge.
Hapoel Tel Aviv take 20% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 83% (league 79%), and Baskonia allow 84% there. That is Hapoel Tel Aviv's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Baskonia | 16% · 79% | 34% · 47% | 8% · 37% | 4% · 41% | 29% · 28% | 8% · 28% |
| Defense Hapoel Tel Aviv | 20% · 80% | 28% · 42% | 13% · 37% | 5% · 37% | 25% · 31% | 8% · 37% |
| Offense Hapoel Tel Aviv | 20% · 83% | 33% · 42% | 8% · 40% | 5% · 41% | 24% · 37% | 10% · 41% |
| Defense Baskonia | 17% · 84% | 37% · 50% | 9% · 39% | 2% · 58% | 27% · 35% | 8% · 39% |
| League | 17% · 79% | 31% · 47% | 11% · 42% | 6% · 39% | 27% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Baskonia: 6% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Hapoel Tel Aviv: 5% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Shot chart Baskonia · Shot chart Hapoel Tel Aviv
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Baskonia
Best lineups
- Matteo Spagnolo, Kenneth Faried, Dj Stewart, Kobi Simmons, A.J. Lawson: -12.9 net in 31 possessions
On/Off
- Rodions Kurucs: the team is +32.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Marcio Santos (out): the team is +25.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Dj Stewart: the team is 32.2 better with him off the court
Baskonia: -31.4 net in 19 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 16-22 in points.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best lineups
- Vasilije Micic, Zach Leday, Elijah Bryant, Dan Oturu, Antonio Blakeney: +33.3 net in 39 possessions
- Vasilije Micic, Zach Leday, Elijah Bryant, Dan Oturu, Amir Coffey: +10.6 net in 47 possessions
On/Off
- Zach Leday: the team is +22.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Antonio Blakeney: the team is +12.4 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Bruno Caboclo: the team is 43.3 better with him off the court
Hapoel Tel Aviv: +3.6 net in 28 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 36-35 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Baskonia
- Kenneth Faried Centers: 8.7 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.0 ast, 13.8 PIR
- Chris Duarte Forwards: 9.9 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.8 ast, 10.6 PIR
- A.J. Lawson Forwards: 11.5 pts, 3.0 reb, 2.1 ast, 9.4 PIR
- Dj Stewart Forwards: 8.5 pts, 2.1 reb, 1.1 ast, 7.9 PIR
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Elijah Bryant Guards: 14.5 pts, 5.4 reb, 4.0 ast, 21.6 PIR
- Dan Oturu Centers: 11.2 pts, 6.0 reb, 0.5 ast, 14.8 PIR
- Zach Leday Forwards: 10.2 pts, 4.4 reb, 0.7 ast, 12.5 PIR
- Vasilije Micic Guards: 14.5 pts, 2.9 reb, 4.3 ast, 11.6 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Baskonia produce | Hapoel Tel Aviv allow | Hapoel Tel Aviv produce | Baskonia allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 14.0 | 36.0 | 56.5 | 42.9 |
| Forwards | 38.3 | 28.4 | 19.5 | 33.1 |
| Centers | 13.8 | 23.4 | 23.5 | 27.5 |
The most open matchup: Hapoel Tel Aviv's guards (56.5 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 42.9 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Baskonia
- Markus Howard: Has missed his team's last 8 games
- Marcio Santos: Injured: Calf tear
- Tadas Sedekerskis: Injured: Thigh
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- No known absences
8. Head-to-head
In their last 2 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Baskonia 1, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.
- 2026-03-27: Baskonia – Hapoel Tel Aviv 118-109
- 2025-11-11: Hapoel Tel Aviv – Baskonia 114-89
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Baskonia 27% – Hapoel Tel Aviv 73%, a score of about 85-93. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Projections are statistical estimates, not betting advice or a guarantee of any result. Gambling is for adults (18+) only. Please play responsibly.