EuroLeague bet of the day: Tuesday 17 November
The pick, the underdog and the combo of the day for the EuroLeague games (Tuesday 17 November), from the BasketballStats prediction model: probability, fair odds and the best market price. Pick: Fenerbahce to win (85%).
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Pick of the day
Fenerbahce to win
Fenerbahce – ASVEL · 20:00
The highest win probability of the day according to our model.
Underdog of the day
Partizan to win
Partizan – Valencia Basket · 21:45
The underdog most likely to win: our model gives it 40%.
Combo of the day
Fenerbahce to win and Talen Horton Tucker over 6.5 points
Fenerbahce – ASVEL · 20:00 · Talen Horton Tucker
Win at 85% and Talen Horton Tucker over 6.5 at 78% (projected 12.8 points). The two usually go together, so the real probability is slightly higher.
How our picks are doing
| Type | Picks | Won | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pick of the day | 3 | 3 (100%) | 2.3 |
| Underdog of the day | 3 | 1 (33%) | 1.3 |
| Combo of the day | 3 | 2 (67%) | 1.7 |
| Date | Pick | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | Pick of the day Anadolu Efes to win | 70% | ✓ |
| 13 Nov | Underdog of the day ASVEL to win | 48% | ✗ |
| 13 Nov | Combo of the day Anadolu Efes to win and Cameron Payne over 9.5 points (9 pts) | 53% | ✗ |
| 12 Nov | Pick of the day Valencia Basket to win | 83% | ✓ |
| 12 Nov | Underdog of the day Crvena Zvezda to win | 37% | ✗ |
| 12 Nov | Combo of the day Valencia Basket to win and Tj Shorts over 8.5 points (14 pts) | 61% | ✓ |
| 11 Nov | Pick of the day Partizan to win | 78% | ✓ |
| 11 Nov | Underdog of the day Paris Basketball to win | 44% | ✓ |
| 11 Nov | Combo of the day Partizan to win and Carlik Jones over 6.5 points (16 pts) | 61% | ✓ |
Frequently asked questions
How is the bet of the day chosen?
Automatically, from the site’s prediction model: the pick is the team with the highest win probability of the day, the underdog is the non-favourite with the best chance, and the combo pairs the favourite’s win with one of its players’ points. Picks lock at the first tip-off of the day.
What are “fair odds”?
The odds that match the model’s probability (1 ÷ probability). If a bookmaker offers higher odds, EV is positive; if lower, the pick has no value at that price.
Is this betting advice?
No. These are statistical estimates and can be wrong; we publish how many came in. Betting is for adults 18+ only.
Estimates are statistical and are not betting advice or a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18+ only. Gamble responsibly.