EuroCup · Round 8
Chemnitz – Tofas
Wednesday 18 November at 20:00 (Athens time)
Matchup Center
CHE Chemnitz53%
47%Tofas TOF
Projected score86-85
Margin+1.3
Projected total170.4
Pace76.5
Model confidenceLow
Chemnitz 53% win probability | Projected score: 86-85 | Projected total: 170 | Pace: 76.5 | Model confidence: Low
Model mp-1.0 (lightgbm) · last updated 4 Nov, 21:30 · how accurate it is
Scenario simulator
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Team comparison
| Chemnitz | Tofas | |
|---|---|---|
| 112.3 65% | Offensive Rating | 114.6 71% |
| 104.0 84% | Defensive Rating | 103.6 87% |
| +8.3 77% | Net Rating | +10.9 87% |
| 77.9 90% | Pace | 77.8 84% |
| 52.0% 42% | eFG% | 54.7% 65% |
| 56.9% 45% | TS% | 59.0% 68% |
| 63.1% 68% | AST% | 49.2% 0% |
| 18.4% 48% | TOV% | 17.8% 65% |
| 34.9% 77% | OREB% | 33.3% 60% |
| 67.9% 58% | DREB% | 67.6% 52% |
| 31.0% 39% | FT rate | 38.4% 87% |
| 3-0 · Net +24.3 | Home / away | 2-1 · Net +7.8 |
| WWWWL | Form (5) | WWLWW |
The % is the league percentile (100 = best). Bold marks the better side.
Key matchups
- Top scorer vs defense: Cobe Williams (16.0 pts) vs a defense with DRtg 103.6 (5) · Bryce Jones (19.3 pts) vs a defense with DRtg 104.0 (6)
- Rebounding battle: Chemnitz OREB% 34.9% vs DREB% 67.6% Tofas · Tofas OREB% 33.3% vs DREB% 67.9% Chemnitz
- Pace battle: Chemnitz 77.9 – Tofas 77.8 · projected 76.5
- Coaches: Rodrigo Pastore – Massimo Cancellieri
Players to watch
ChemnitzTofas
Projected PIR
- Ben Burnham 19.0 PIR
- Nighael Ceaser 13.3 PIR
- Cobe Williams 13.2 PIR
- Stefan Smith 9.3 PIR
- Mateo Seric 9.2 PIR
- Bryce Jones 21.8 PIR
- Shavar Reynolds Jr 15.8 PIR
- Zach Nutall 13.2 PIR
- Tre'Shawn Thurman 13.0 PIR
- Jamuni Mcneace 12.6 PIR
Scorers
- Cobe Williams 16.0 pts
- Ben Burnham 14.5 pts
- Mateo Seric 10.8 pts
- Stefan Smith 10.0 pts
- Phlandrous Fleming Jr 9.3 pts
- Bryce Jones 19.3 pts
- Zach Nutall 15.0 pts
- Shavar Reynolds Jr 12.7 pts
- Tre'Shawn Thurman 10.8 pts
- Jamuni Mcneace 9.4 pts
Rebounders
- Ben Burnham 6.2 reb
- Nighael Ceaser 5.8 reb
- Urald King 3.8 reb
- Jannis Von Seckendorff 3.0 reb
- Mateo Seric 3.0 reb
- Jamuni Mcneace 6.6 reb
- Tre'Shawn Thurman 4.7 reb
- Sadik Kabaca 4.2 reb
- Terrell Carter Ii 4.2 reb
- Bryce Jones 3.7 reb
Playmakers
- Cobe Williams 4.5 ast
- Phlandrous Fleming Jr 4.0 ast
- Stefan Smith 3.7 ast
- Ben Burnham 1.5 ast
- Nighael Ceaser 1.3 ast
- Bryce Jones 4.3 ast
- Shavar Reynolds Jr 4.0 ast
- Tre'Shawn Thurman 1.5 ast
- Zach Nutall 1.3 ast
- Sadik Kabaca 1.0 ast
Injury watch
No known absences.
Historical context
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Tofas – Chemnitz | 82-69 |
- At this venue: Chemnitz 3-0 at home · Tofas 2-1 away
- On short rest (≤2 days): Chemnitz 0-0 · Tofas 0-0
- On regular rest: Chemnitz 4-1 · Tofas 4-1
- Rest before this game: Chemnitz 10 · Tofas 10 days
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guaranteed tips. Gambling is for adults only (21+ in Greece, 18+ elsewhere). Play responsibly.