EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Tobias Jensen

Tobias Jensen (Bayern Munich, Guard) in Round 12: projected 0.8 PIR in 2.3 minutes, range -1.3–4.6.

Doubtful · Next game: @ Zalgiris, Tuesday 17/11 · Team win probability 21%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 2.3 minutes × 0.34 PIR/min (last 10: 0.30)
• Opponent: -0.2 PIR
• Form: -0.2 PIR
• Role (starter, usage): +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.4 PIR): -6.6

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 4.7 · L10 4.7

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1941 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.3 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.5); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.