EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Sergio Llull

Sergio Llull (Real Madrid, Guard) in Round 12: projected 5.0 PIR in 17.8 minutes, range -2.5–14.6.

Playing · Next game: @ Besiktas, Wednesday 18/11 · Team win probability 59%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 17.8 minutes × 0.28 PIR/min (last 10: 0.35)
• Role (starter, usage): +0.4 PIR
• Opponent: -0.2 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.4 PIR): -2.4

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 6.5 · L10 6.5

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1941 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.3 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.5); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.