EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Niels Giffey

Niels Giffey (Bayern Munich, Forward) in Round 12: projected 1.4 PIR in 5.2 minutes, range -3.5–9.8.

Playing · Next game: @ Zalgiris, Tuesday 17/11 · Team win probability 21%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 5.2 minutes × 0.27 PIR/min (last 10: 0.14)
• Opponent: -0.1 PIR
• Form: -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 6.7 PIR): -5.3

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 1.0 · L10 1.0

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1941 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.3 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.5); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.