EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Mario Nakic

Mario Nakic (Partizan, Forward) in Round 12: projected 0.8 PIR in 2.1 minutes, range -4.1–9.5.

Playing · Next game: vs Valencia Basket, Tuesday 17/11 · Team win probability 51%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 2.1 minutes × 0.37 PIR/min (last 10: 0.20)
• Form: -0.2 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 6.7 PIR): -5.9

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 1.3 · L10 1.3

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1941 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.3 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.5); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.