EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections
Johnathan Motley
Johnathan Motley (Crvena Zvezda, Center) in Round 12: projected 0.7 PIR in 2.0 minutes, range -1.3–5.1.
0.7Proj. PIR
-1.3 / 1.2 / 5.1P10 / P50 / P90
2.0Proj. minutes
0.36Proj. PIR/min
47Confidence
4.0Price
Doubtful · Next game: @ Olimpia Milano, Tuesday 17/11 · Team win probability 63%
What drives the projection
- Baseline: 2.0 minutes × 0.36 PIR/min (last 10: -0.25)
- Form: -0.2 PIR
Compared with the position median (Center: 8.3 PIR): -7.6
PIR history
Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 -3.2 · L10 -3.2
Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.
Backtest on 1941 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.3 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.5); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.