EuroLeague · Round 11 · Thursday 12 November at 21:05
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 11)
Automatic analysis from official stats and the full-season play-by-play. Refreshed with every site update until tip-off.
1. The picture before tip-off
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 18th · 2-8 | 9th · 6-4 |
| Home / away | 1-3 / 1-5 | 4-2 / 2-2 |
| Form (5) | WLLLL | WWWLL |
| Points for / against | 84.7 / 94.0 | 92.1 / 87.9 |
| Net rating | -12.4 (19th) | +5.5 (7th) |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv: W @ Valencia Basket 91-88 · L vs Real Madrid 99-113 · L @ Crvena Zvezda 78-100 · L vs Paris Basketball 94-99 · L @ Partizan 67-88
Hapoel Tel Aviv: W @ Panathinaikos 91-81 · W vs Virtus Bologna 90-81 · W vs Anadolu Efes 118-88 · L @ Dubai Basketball 83-97 · L vs Barcelona 90-93
Our model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv 70%, with a projected score of 88-95, about 182 total points and a pace of 76.6 possessions. Confidence: medium.
2. What will decide the game
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 4th in the league while Maccabi Tel Aviv's defense ranks only 20th. A clear edge for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv on offense, turnovers: they rank 1st in the league while Maccabi Tel Aviv's defense ranks only 15th. A clear edge for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv on defense, offensive rebounds: they rank 8th, while Hapoel Tel Aviv's offense is 20th. Maccabi Tel Aviv can shut this down.
- Absences: Iffe Lundberg (Maccabi Tel Aviv).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 113.0 (13th) | 121.4 (3rd) | 115.0 |
| Defensive rating | 125.4 (20th) | 115.9 (11th) | 115.0 |
| Pace (possessions) | 75.0 (11th) | 75.8 (9th) | 75.1 |
| eFG% | 55.2% (11th) | 56.8% (4th) | 54.4% |
| TS% | 58.8% (10th) | 60.8% (3rd) | 58.3% |
| 3PA rate | 39.5% | 38.8% | – |
| Assist rate | 60.4% (14th) | 49.5% (19th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 18.3% (14th) | 12.8% (1st) | 17.0% |
| OREB% | 31.1% (15th) | 28.0% (20th) | 32.9% |
| DREB% | 67.8% (8th) | 68.2% (7th) | 67.0% |
| Free-throw rate | 28.3% (14th) | 29.7% (12th) | 30.0% |
| Opponent eFG% | 60.4% (20th) | 52.6% (6th) | 54.5% |
| Opponent TOV% | 16.4% (15th) | 14.8% (19th) | 17.0% |
| Opponent FTr | 34.3% (19th) | 32.8% (16th) | 30.0% |
Maccabi Tel Aviv: Weaknesses: allows easy shots.
Hapoel Tel Aviv: Strengths: protects the ball and efficient shooting. Weaknesses: few offensive rebounds and forces few turnovers.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Maccabi Tel Aviv offense | Hapoel Tel Aviv defense | Hapoel Tel Aviv offense | Maccabi Tel Aviv defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 55.2% (11th) | 52.6% (6th) | 56.8% (4th) | 60.4% (20th) |
| turnovers | 18.3% (14th) | 14.8% (19th) | 12.8% (1st) | 16.4% (15th) |
| offensive rebounds | 31.1% (15th) | 31.8% (7th) | 28.0% (20th) | 32.2% (8th) |
| free throws | 28.3% (14th) | 32.8% (16th) | 29.7% (12th) | 34.3% (19th) |
4. Shots and zones
Maccabi Tel Aviv take 13% of their shots top-of-the-key threes (league 9%) at 37% (league 35%), and Hapoel Tel Aviv allow 40% there. That is Maccabi Tel Aviv's biggest edge.
Hapoel Tel Aviv take 24% of their shots wing threes (league 27%) at 37% (league 35%), and Maccabi Tel Aviv allow 43% there. That is Hapoel Tel Aviv's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Maccabi Tel Aviv | 17% · 83% | 31% · 45% | 13% · 48% | 4% · 36% | 23% · 35% | 13% · 37% |
| Defense Hapoel Tel Aviv | 22% · 80% | 28% · 41% | 14% · 36% | 5% · 37% | 24% · 31% | 8% · 40% |
| Offense Hapoel Tel Aviv | 21% · 82% | 32% · 41% | 8% · 41% | 6% · 39% | 24% · 37% | 10% · 45% |
| Defense Maccabi Tel Aviv | 17% · 77% | 22% · 45% | 9% · 50% | 10% · 43% | 30% · 43% | 13% · 40% |
| League | 17% · 79% | 31% · 47% | 11% · 41% | 6% · 39% | 27% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Maccabi Tel Aviv: 6% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Hapoel Tel Aviv: 4% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Shot chart Maccabi Tel Aviv · Shot chart Hapoel Tel Aviv
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Best lineups
- Daniel Theis, Jaylen Hoard, Yam Madar, O'Shae J Brissett, Keaton Wallace: -62.0 net in 26 possessions
- Jaylen Hoard, Yam Madar, Roman Sorkin, Jimmy Clark Iii, O'Shae J Brissett: +4.4 net in 23 possessions
On/Off
- William Rayman: the team is +29.0 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Iffe Lundberg (out): the team is +17.9 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Tj Leaf: the team is 29.1 better with him off the court
Maccabi Tel Aviv: -5.4 net in 18 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 21-22 in points.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best lineups
- Vasilije Micic, Zach Leday, Elijah Bryant, Dan Oturu, Antonio Blakeney: +33.3 net in 39 possessions
- Vasilije Micic, Zach Leday, Elijah Bryant, Dan Oturu, Amir Coffey: +27.0 net in 37 possessions
On/Off
- Zach Leday: the team is +29.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Tai Odiase: the team is +13.8 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Bruno Caboclo: the team is 43.3 better with him off the court
Hapoel Tel Aviv: +31.3 net in 22 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 33-26 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Yam Madar Guards: 11.7 pts, 2.3 reb, 4.6 ast, 14.4 PIR
- O'Shae J Brissett Forwards: 8.5 pts, 4.6 reb, 1.1 ast, 11.7 PIR
- Bonzie Colson Forwards: 10.4 pts, 3.1 reb, 0.6 ast, 11.4 PIR
- Daniel Theis Centers: 7.9 pts, 3.4 reb, 1.9 ast, 10.9 PIR
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Elijah Bryant Guards: 14.8 pts, 5.4 reb, 3.9 ast, 22.1 PIR
- Dan Oturu Centers: 11.0 pts, 5.8 reb, 0.5 ast, 14.3 PIR
- Zach Leday Forwards: 11.2 pts, 4.5 reb, 0.8 ast, 13.5 PIR
- Vasilije Micic Guards: 14.6 pts, 2.7 reb, 4.6 ast, 12.3 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Maccabi Tel Aviv produce | Hapoel Tel Aviv allow | Hapoel Tel Aviv produce | Maccabi Tel Aviv allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 26.4 | 35.0 | 57.5 | 41.1 |
| Forwards | 46.0 | 26.3 | 18.0 | 35.8 |
| Centers | 12.8 | 24.1 | 22.8 | 18.0 |
The most open matchup: Hapoel Tel Aviv's guards (57.5 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 41.1 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Iffe Lundberg: Injured: Partial quadriceps tendon tear
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- No known absences
8. Head-to-head
In their last 2 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Maccabi Tel Aviv 1, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.
- 2026-04-12: Maccabi Tel Aviv – Hapoel Tel Aviv 88-99
- 2025-10-08: Hapoel Tel Aviv – Maccabi Tel Aviv 90-103
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Maccabi Tel Aviv 30% – Hapoel Tel Aviv 70%, a score of about 88-95. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Projections are statistical estimates, not betting advice or a guarantee of any result. Gambling is for adults (18+) only. Please play responsibly.