EuroLeague · Round 11 · Friday 13 November at 21:30
ASVEL vs Besiktas: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 11)
Automatic analysis from official stats and the full-season play-by-play. Refreshed with every site update until tip-off.
1. The picture before tip-off
| ASVEL | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 16th · 4-6 | 13th · 4-6 |
| Home / away | 3-3 / 1-3 | 1-4 / 3-2 |
| Form (5) | LLWWL | WLLWL |
| Points for / against | 88.3 / 93.0 | 87.7 / 90.9 |
| Net rating | -6.1 (16th) | -4.2 (13th) |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
ASVEL: L @ Real Madrid 92-111 · L @ Zalgiris 85-105 · W vs Partizan 82-75 · W vs Baskonia 94-79 · L vs Bayern Munich 95-99
Besiktas: W vs Bayern Munich 95-87 · L @ Anadolu Efes 80-89 · L vs Olympiacos 73-81 · W @ Virtus Bologna 103-101 · L vs Zalgiris 67-83
Our model gives Besiktas 53%, with a projected score of 89-90, about 179 total points and a pace of 76.8 possessions. Confidence: low.
2. What will decide the game
- ASVEL on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 1st in the league while Besiktas's defense ranks only 12th. A clear edge for ASVEL.
- Besiktas on offense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 7th in the league while ASVEL's defense ranks only 17th. A clear edge for Besiktas.
- Besiktas on defense, offensive rebounds: they rank 11th, while ASVEL's offense is 17th. Besiktas can shut this down.
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| ASVEL | Besiktas | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 115.5 (7th) | 115.5 (9th) | 115.0 |
| Defensive rating | 121.7 (17th) | 119.7 (15th) | 115.0 |
| Pace (possessions) | 76.4 (6th) | 75.9 (8th) | 75.1 |
| eFG% | 58.6% (1st) | 56.0% (7th) | 54.4% |
| TS% | 61.3% (2nd) | 59.3% (8th) | 58.3% |
| 3PA rate | 41.5% | 42.2% | – |
| Assist rate | 69.0% (4th) | 63.4% (8th) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 18.3% (15th) | 15.9% (7th) | 17.0% |
| OREB% | 28.6% (17th) | 28.4% (19th) | 32.9% |
| DREB% | 59.3% (20th) | 67.1% (11th) | 67.0% |
| Free-throw rate | 28.1% (15th) | 26.1% (18th) | 30.0% |
| Opponent eFG% | 58.2% (17th) | 55.5% (12th) | 54.5% |
| Opponent TOV% | 18.7% (3rd) | 16.7% (11th) | 17.0% |
| Opponent FTr | 31.1% (12th) | 43.9% (20th) | 30.0% |
ASVEL: Strengths: efficient shooting and forces turnovers. Weaknesses: concedes second chances and few offensive rebounds.
Besiktas: Weaknesses: few offensive rebounds and rarely gets to the line.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | ASVEL offense | Besiktas defense | Besiktas offense | ASVEL defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 58.6% (1st) | 55.5% (12th) | 56.0% (7th) | 58.2% (17th) |
| turnovers | 18.3% (15th) | 16.7% (11th) | 15.9% (7th) | 18.7% (3rd) |
| offensive rebounds | 28.6% (17th) | 32.9% (11th) | 28.4% (19th) | 40.7% (20th) |
| free throws | 28.1% (15th) | 43.9% (20th) | 26.1% (18th) | 31.1% (12th) |
4. Shots and zones
ASVEL take 25% of their shots wing threes (league 27%) at 42% (league 35%), and Besiktas allow 34% there. That is ASVEL's biggest edge.
Besiktas take 29% of their shots wing threes (league 27%) at 43% (league 35%), and ASVEL allow 36% there. That is Besiktas's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense ASVEL | 18% · 71% | 25% · 53% | 15% · 40% | 8% · 51% | 25% · 42% | 8% · 35% |
| Defense Besiktas | 18% · 85% | 34% · 47% | 13% · 44% | 3% · 32% | 24% · 34% | 8% · 40% |
| Offense Besiktas | 15% · 82% | 31% · 47% | 12% · 38% | 5% · 47% | 29% · 43% | 9% · 22% |
| Defense ASVEL | 22% · 70% | 27% · 56% | 8% · 33% | 6% · 47% | 30% · 36% | 6% · 47% |
| League | 17% · 79% | 31% · 47% | 11% · 41% | 6% · 39% | 27% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
ASVEL: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Besiktas: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart ASVEL · Shot chart Besiktas
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
ASVEL
Best lineups
- Joel Bolomboy, Both Gach, Hugo Besson, Tremont Waters, Jae Crowder: +6.6 net in 61 possessions
- Joel Bolomboy, Both Gach, Tyty Washington Jr, Patty Mills, Jae Crowder: -2.4 net in 41 possessions
On/Off
- Tyty Washington Jr: the team is +29.3 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Patty Mills: the team is +29.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Both Gach: the team is 32.4 better with him off the court
ASVEL: +23.8 net in 42 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 49-39 in points.
Besiktas
Best lineups
- Berk Ugurlu, Ante Zizic, Anthony Brown, Conor Morgan, Jaylen Nowell: -10.3 net in 29 possessions
- Ante Zizic, Anthony Brown, Conor Morgan, Devon Dotson, Jaylen Nowell: +14.1 net in 28 possessions
On/Off
- Devon Dotson: the team is +20.0 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Wenyen Gabriel: the team is +15.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Berk Ugurlu: the team is 20.7 better with him off the court
Besiktas: +162.8 net in 9 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 23-9 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
ASVEL
- Patty Mills Guards: 15.9 pts, 0.6 reb, 2.1 ast, 14.0 PIR
- Hugo Besson Guards: 11.6 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.9 ast, 12.5 PIR
- Tyty Washington Jr Guards: 10.5 pts, 2.8 reb, 4.0 ast, 12.3 PIR
- Jae Crowder Forwards: 10.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.9 ast, 11.0 PIR
Besiktas
- Devon Dotson Guards: 9.5 pts, 2.1 reb, 3.9 ast, 13.0 PIR
- Ante Zizic Centers: 7.3 pts, 4.8 reb, 1.2 ast, 11.8 PIR
- Scottie Wilbekin Guards: 13.3 pts, 1.5 reb, 2.9 ast, 10.9 PIR
- Anthony Brown Forwards: 9.1 pts, 3.8 reb, 1.8 ast, 9.1 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | ASVEL produce | Besiktas allow | Besiktas produce | ASVEL allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 44.9 | 40.0 | 34.0 | 37.0 |
| Forwards | 34.3 | 42.2 | 9.1 | 39.2 |
| Centers | 8.6 | 21.0 | 35.2 | 25.0 |
The most open matchup: ASVEL's guards (44.9 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 40.0 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
ASVEL
- No known absences
Besiktas
- No known absences
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: ASVEL 47% – Besiktas 53%, a score of about 89-90. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Projections are statistical estimates, not betting advice or a guarantee of any result. Gambling is for adults (18+) only. Please play responsibly.