EuroLeague · Round 11 · Wednesday 11 November at 21:45
Partizan vs Baskonia: in-depth preview (EuroLeague round 11)
Automatic analysis from official stats and the full-season play-by-play. Refreshed with every site update until tip-off.
1. The picture before tip-off
| Partizan | Baskonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Position / record | 11th · 5-5 | 20th · 1-9 |
| Home / away | 3-1 / 2-4 | 1-4 / 0-5 |
| Form (5) | LWLLW | LLLLL |
| Points for / against | 79.4 / 78.9 | 81.3 / 93.1 |
| Net rating | +0.7 (11th) | -15.3 (20th) |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
Partizan: L @ Fenerbahce 65-74 · W vs Crvena Zvezda 85-82 · L @ ASVEL 75-82 · L @ Zalgiris 80-87 · W vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 88-67
Baskonia: L @ Virtus Bologna 78-86 · L @ Panathinaikos 79-85 · L vs Real Madrid 86-104 · L @ ASVEL 79-94 · L @ Fenerbahce 65-84
Our model gives Partizan 78%, with a projected score of 88-80, about 168 total points and a pace of 75.1 possessions. Confidence: high.
2. What will decide the game
- Partizan on defense, turnovers: they rank 1st, while Baskonia's offense is 20th. Partizan can shut this down.
- Partizan on defense, shooting (eFG%): they rank 5th, while Baskonia's offense is 20th. Partizan can shut this down.
- Baskonia on offense, free throws: they rank 3rd in the league while Partizan's defense ranks only 15th. A clear edge for Baskonia.
- Pace: Baskonia play faster (77.2 possessions) than Partizan (72.2). Whoever imposes their tempo takes the first step; the model expects 75.1.
- Absences: Tonye Jekiri (Partizan).
3. Offense and defense in detail
Per 100 possessions from play-by-play · league rank in brackets (1st = best, 20 teams)
| Partizan | Baskonia | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 108.6 (19th) | 105.4 (20th) | 115.0 |
| Defensive rating | 107.9 (4th) | 120.7 (16th) | 115.0 |
| Pace (possessions) | 72.2 (20th) | 77.2 (3rd) | 75.1 |
| eFG% | 51.0% (18th) | 49.3% (20th) | 54.4% |
| TS% | 54.2% (19th) | 54.1% (20th) | 58.3% |
| 3PA rate | 36.7% | 41.3% | – |
| Assist rate | 70.1% (1st) | 69.8% (2nd) | 61.9% |
| Turnover % | 14.5% (3rd) | 19.4% (20th) | 17.0% |
| OREB% | 29.3% (16th) | 32.7% (13th) | 32.9% |
| DREB% | 69.4% (3rd) | 65.8% (17th) | 67.0% |
| Free-throw rate | 30.9% (11th) | 32.9% (3rd) | 30.0% |
| Opponent eFG% | 52.0% (5th) | 57.4% (16th) | 54.5% |
| Opponent TOV% | 19.4% (1st) | 16.7% (12th) | 17.0% |
| Opponent FTr | 32.5% (15th) | 31.1% (13th) | 30.0% |
Partizan: Strengths: forces turnovers and protects the ball. Weaknesses: poor shooting and few offensive rebounds.
Baskonia: Strengths: gets to the line often. Weaknesses: poor shooting and turns the ball over a lot.
Four Factors head-to-head
| Factor | Partizan offense | Baskonia defense | Baskonia offense | Partizan defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shooting (eFG%) | 51.0% (18th) | 57.4% (16th) | 49.3% (20th) | 52.0% (5th) |
| turnovers | 14.5% (3rd) | 16.7% (12th) | 19.4% (20th) | 19.4% (1st) |
| offensive rebounds | 29.3% (16th) | 34.2% (17th) | 32.7% (13th) | 30.6% (3rd) |
| free throws | 30.9% (11th) | 31.1% (13th) | 32.9% (3rd) | 32.5% (15th) |
4. Shots and zones
Partizan take 29% of their shots in the paint (league 31%) at 49% (league 47%), and Baskonia allow 51% there. That is Partizan's biggest edge.
Baskonia take 16% of their shots at the rim (league 17%) at 81% (league 79%), and Partizan allow 78% there. That is Baskonia's biggest edge.
| Share of shots · FG% | Rim | Paint | Mid | Corner 3 | Wing 3 | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense Partizan | 20% · 72% | 29% · 49% | 14% · 34% | 5% · 30% | 27% · 31% | 5% · 38% |
| Defense Baskonia | 17% · 83% | 37% · 51% | 9% · 35% | 2% · 60% | 27% · 37% | 8% · 40% |
| Offense Baskonia | 16% · 81% | 35% · 47% | 8% · 35% | 4% · 42% | 29% · 28% | 8% · 24% |
| Defense Partizan | 17% · 78% | 32% · 45% | 11% · 39% | 4% · 30% | 28% · 35% | 7% · 29% |
| League | 17% · 79% | 31% · 47% | 11% · 41% | 6% · 39% | 27% · 35% | 9% · 35% |
Partizan: 6% of shots in transition and 6% on second chances. Baskonia: 7% of shots in transition and 7% on second chances. Shot chart Partizan · Shot chart Baskonia
5. Lineups, On/Off and clutch
Partizan
Best lineups
- Nikola Tanaskovic, Alessandro Pajola, Kevarrius Hayes, Carlik Jones, Ethan Thompson: -18.8 net in 37 possessions
On/Off
- Robert Franks: the team is +52.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Tonye Jekiri (out): the team is +18.5 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Joffrey Lauvergne: the team is 33.2 better with him off the court
Partizan: -34.1 net in 32 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 24-35 in points.
Baskonia
Best lineups
- Matteo Spagnolo, Kenneth Faried, Dj Stewart, Kobi Simmons, A.J. Lawson: -12.9 net in 31 possessions
On/Off
- Rodions Kurucs: the team is +31.6 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Marcio Santos: the team is +25.2 better with him on court (net per 100 possessions)
- Dj Stewart: the team is 29.3 better with him off the court
Baskonia: -31.4 net in 19 clutch possessions (last 5′, margin ≤5), 16-22 in points.
6. Key players and matchups by position
Partizan
- Carlik Jones Guards: 13.6 pts, 2.9 reb, 6.0 ast, 15.0 PIR
- Lamar Stevens Forwards: 10.8 pts, 5.0 reb, 0.8 ast, 12.1 PIR
- Kevarrius Hayes Centers: 9.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.4 ast, 10.7 PIR
- Nikola Tanaskovic Centers: 7.8 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.1 ast, 9.2 PIR
Baskonia
- Kenneth Faried Centers: 8.8 pts, 6.8 reb, 0.9 ast, 13.8 PIR
- Tadas Sedekerskis Forwards: 10.1 pts, 4.7 reb, 0.3 ast, 13.0 PIR
- A.J. Lawson Forwards: 12.1 pts, 3.0 reb, 2.3 ast, 10.0 PIR
- Marcio Santos Centers: 8.3 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.7 ast, 9.6 PIR
PIR per game by position · production excludes injured players
| PIR / game | Partizan produce | Baskonia allow | Baskonia produce | Partizan allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 33.0 | 40.5 | 15.1 | 33.4 |
| Forwards | 18.0 | 34.2 | 46.0 | 30.8 |
| Centers | 19.1 | 25.0 | 20.5 | 18.6 |
The most open matchup: Baskonia's forwards (46.0 PIR per game) against a defense allowing 30.8 PIR at that position.
7. Absences and their impact
Partizan
- Kyle Allman: Has missed his team's last 2 games
- Tonye Jekiri: Injured: Groin strain
Baskonia
- Rodions Kurucs: Has missed his team's last 3 games
- Tadas Sedekerskis: Has missed his team's last 3 games
8. Head-to-head
In their last 6 EuroLeague meetings (since 2023): Partizan 4, Baskonia 2.
- 2026-04-16: Partizan – Baskonia 91-79
- 2025-10-17: Baskonia – Partizan 79-91
- 2025-02-28: Partizan – Baskonia 86-73
- 2024-10-03: Baskonia – Partizan 88-82
- 2024-03-19: Partizan – Baskonia 87-83
- 2023-11-03: Baskonia – Partizan 84-83
9. Our view
All of the above comes together in the model's projection: Partizan 78% – Baskonia 22%, a score of about 88-80. Try your own scenarios (absences, rest, venue) in the Matchup Center and follow the game live on the game page.
Projections are statistical estimates, not betting advice or a guarantee of any result. Gambling is for adults (18+) only. Please play responsibly.