EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Nigel Hayes-Davis

Nigel Hayes-Davis (Panathinaikos, Forward) in Round 10: projected 10.8 PIR in 24.2 minutes, range 1.0–22.4.

Playing · Next game: @ Real Madrid, Wednesday 04/11 · Team win probability 43%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 24.2 minutes × 0.45 PIR/min (last 10: 0.44)
• Role (starter, usage): +0.6 PIR
• Form: -0.3 PIR
• Opponent: +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 7.0 PIR): +3.8

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 9.4 · L10 11.6

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.