EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Nicolo Melli

Nicolo Melli (Fenerbahce, Forward) in Round 10: projected 8.2 PIR in 19.8 minutes, range 0.9–17.5.

Playing · Next game: vs Baskonia, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 82%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 19.8 minutes × 0.41 PIR/min (last 10: 0.38)
• Opponent: +0.8 PIR
• Role (starter, usage): -0.6 PIR
• Form: -0.4 PIR
• Rest / schedule: +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 7.0 PIR): +1.1

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 7.2 · L10 7.7

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.