EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Matthew Strazel

Matthew Strazel (Anadolu Efes, Guard) in Round 10: projected 12.3 PIR in 23.0 minutes, range 3.4–23.5.

Playing · Next game: vs Paris Basketball, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 64%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 23.0 minutes × 0.54 PIR/min (last 10: 0.52)
• Role (starter, usage): +1.3 PIR
• Opponent: +0.5 PIR
• Form: +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.5 PIR): +4.8

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 15.0 · L10 11.8

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.