EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Matteo Spagnolo

Matteo Spagnolo (Baskonia, Guard) in Round 10: projected 3.7 PIR in 13.3 minutes, range -3.1–13.1.

Playing · Next game: @ Fenerbahce, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 18%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 13.3 minutes × 0.28 PIR/min (last 10: 0.21)
• Opponent: -1.0 PIR
• Form: -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.5 PIR): -3.8

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 2.2 · L10 3.0

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.