EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Marius Grigonis

Marius Grigonis (Zalgiris, Guard) in Round 10: projected 6.7 PIR in 15.5 minutes, range -0.8–15.9.

Playing · Next game: @ Besiktas, Friday 06/11 · Team win probability 46%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 15.5 minutes × 0.43 PIR/min (last 10: 0.48)
• Role (starter, usage): -0.4 PIR
• Rest / schedule: +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.5 PIR): -0.8

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 7.8 · L10 8.1

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.