EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas (Zalgiris, Center) in Round 10: projected 17.2 PIR in 21.2 minutes, range 8.0–28.0.

Playing · Next game: @ Besiktas, Friday 06/11 · Team win probability 46%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 21.2 minutes × 0.81 PIR/min (last 10: 0.90)
• Role (starter, usage): +0.7 PIR
• Opponent: +0.6 PIR
• Form: +0.3 PIR

Compared with the position median (Center: 7.5 PIR): +9.7

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 18.6 · L10 19.3

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.