EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Jared Butler

Jared Butler (Crvena Zvezda, Guard) in Round 10: projected 7.0 PIR in 16.5 minutes, range -0.7–17.7.

Playing · Next game: @ Olympiacos, Friday 06/11 · Team win probability 44%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 16.5 minutes × 0.42 PIR/min (last 10: 0.43)
• Role (starter, usage): +0.4 PIR
• Opponent: -0.3 PIR
• Rest / schedule: +0.1 PIR
• Form: -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.5 PIR): -0.5

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 6.8 · L10 7.2

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.