EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Francesco Ferrari

Francesco Ferrari (Virtus Bologna, Forward) in Round 10: projected 1.7 PIR in 4.1 minutes, range -4.6–11.6.

Playing · Next game: vs Dubai Basketball, Friday 06/11 · Team win probability 52%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 4.1 minutes × 0.41 PIR/min (last 10: 0.46)
• Rest / schedule: +0.5 PIR
• Form: -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 7.0 PIR): -5.3

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 1.2 · L10 1.2

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.