EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

David Lighty

David Lighty (ASVEL, Forward) in Round 10: projected 4.7 PIR in 11.0 minutes, range -1.9–13.3.

Playing · Next game: vs Bayern Munich, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 68%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 11.0 minutes × 0.42 PIR/min (last 10: 0.43)
• Opponent: +0.3 PIR
• Rest / schedule: +0.2 PIR
• Role (starter, usage): -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 7.0 PIR): -2.3

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 3.0 · L10 4.7

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.