EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Daron Russell

Daron Russell (Anadolu Efes, Guard) in Round 10: projected 2.2 PIR in 5.9 minutes, range -4.4–13.1.

Playing · Next game: vs Paris Basketball, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 64%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 5.9 minutes × 0.38 PIR/min (last 10: 0.31)
• Rest / schedule: +0.5 PIR
• Form: -0.3 PIR
• Role (starter, usage): +0.2 PIR
• Opponent: +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.5 PIR): -5.3

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 3.0 · L10 2.8

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.