EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Dario Saric

Dario Saric (Anadolu Efes, Forward) in Round 10: projected 14.3 PIR in 24.6 minutes, range 3.8–24.9.

Playing · Next game: vs Paris Basketball, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 64%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 24.6 minutes × 0.58 PIR/min (last 10: 0.58)
• Role (starter, usage): +1.1 PIR
• Opponent: +0.5 PIR
• Rest / schedule: -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 7.0 PIR): +7.3

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 16.4 · L10 14.9

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.