EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Daniel Theis

Daniel Theis (Maccabi Tel Aviv, Center) in Round 10: projected 5.3 PIR in 10.6 minutes, range -2.4–16.2.

Playing · Next game: @ Partizan, Friday 06/11 · Team win probability 29%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 10.6 minutes × 0.50 PIR/min (last 10: 0.56)
• Form: -3.1 PIR
• Opponent: -0.2 PIR

Compared with the position median (Center: 7.5 PIR): -2.2

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 9.8 · L10 10.3

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.