EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Chris Duarte

Chris Duarte (Baskonia, Forward) in Round 10: projected 0.8 PIR in 1.7 minutes, range -2.2–5.5.

Doubtful · Next game: @ Fenerbahce, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 18%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 1.7 minutes × 0.49 PIR/min (last 10: 0.58)
• Form: -2.2 PIR
• Rest / schedule: +0.6 PIR
• Opponent: -0.1 PIR
• Role (starter, usage): +0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Forward: 7.0 PIR): -6.3

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 11.8 · L10 11.7

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.