EuroLeague Fantasy PIR Projections

Alvaro Cardenas

Alvaro Cardenas (Valencia Basket, Guard) in Round 10: projected 4.9 PIR in 13.1 minutes, range -2.4–13.8.

Playing · Next game: @ Olimpia Milano, Thursday 05/11 · Team win probability 65%

What drives the projection

• Baseline: 13.1 minutes × 0.37 PIR/min (last 10: 0.33)
• Opponent: +0.3 PIR
• Form: +0.2 PIR
• Role (starter, usage): -0.1 PIR

Compared with the position median (Guard: 7.5 PIR): -2.6

PIR history

Bars: PIR by round · last bar: P10–P90 range and projection · line: position median. L5 4.8 · L10 3.7

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Projections are statistical estimates and do not guarantee performance. Prices are our own estimates (based on PIR), not the official EuroLeague Fantasy prices; you can change the budget in the optimizer.

Backtest on 1415 player-games of past rounds: mean error 5.7 PIR (simple 10-game average: 5.9); the P10–P90 range contained 80% of outcomes.